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  1. England Championship
  2. Southampton vs Derby County
  3. Value betting model
Match dataValue betting model
Southampton
Southampton
2026/04/11 14:00
2:1
FT
Derby County
Derby County

Reference odds

B
 
1
1.65
X
3.90
2
4.75
P
 
1
1.63
X
4.16
2
5.49

Match results

Home win
1.90 (52.6%)
Draw
4.27 (23.4%)
Away win
4.17 (24.0%)

Double chance

1X
1.32 (76.0%)
X2
2.11 (47.4%)
12
1.31 (76.6%)

Both teams to score

Yes1.79 (55.9%)
No2.27 (44.1%)

Exact goals

0
17.99 (5.6%)
1
6.23 (16.1%)
2
4.31 (23.2%)
3
4.47 (22.4%)
4
6.20 (16.1%)
5
10.72 (9.3%)
6
22.22 (4.5%)
7+
35.84 (2.8%)

Asian goal line

HandicapOverUnder
4.56.021.20
4.255.531.22
45.051.25
3.753.721.37
3.53.051.49
3.252.711.59
32.371.73
2.752.021.98
2.51.812.23
2.251.602.66
21.393.55
1.751.324.09
1.51.284.63
1.251.176.77
11.0715.10
0.751.0616.54
0.51.0617.99

Match results

Home win
1.90 (52.6%)
Draw
4.27 (23.4%)
Away win
4.17 (24.0%)

Double chance

1X
1.32 (76.0%)
X2
2.11 (47.4%)
12
1.31 (76.6%)

Handicap

Win
Draw
Lose
-3
20.66 (4.8%)
12.12 (8.3%)
1.15 (86.9%)
-2
7.64 (13.1%)
6.21 (16.1%)
1.41 (70.8%)
-1
3.43 (29.2%)
4.28 (23.4%)
2.11 (47.4%)
1
1.32 (76.0%)
6.76 (14.8%)
10.89 (9.2%)
2
1.10 (90.8%)
15.50 (6.5%)
36.63 (2.7%)
3
1.03 (97.3%)
48.08 (2.1%)
153.85 (0.7%)

Asian handicap

HandicapHomeAway
-318.961.06
-2.7510.691.10
-2.57.641.15
-2.257.021.17
-26.411.18
-1.754.351.30
-1.53.431.41
-1.253.031.49
-12.621.62
-0.752.161.86
-0.51.902.11
-0.251.682.47
01.463.19
HandicapHomeAway
31.01150.65
2.751.0258.56
2.51.0336.63
2.251.0335.45
21.0334.27
1.751.0716.25
1.51.1010.89
1.251.1110.09
11.129.28
0.751.225.59
0.51.324.17
0.251.373.68
01.463.19

Scores

Home win
1:0
10.16 (9.8%)
2:0
11.48 (8.7%)
2:1
10.26 (9.8%)
3:0
19.46 (5.1%)
3:1
17.39 (5.8%)
3:2
31.06 (3.2%)
4:0
44.05 (2.3%)
4:1
39.22 (2.5%)
4:2
69.93 (1.4%)
4:3
188.68 (0.5%)
Draw
0:0
17.99 (5.6%)
1:1
9.07 (11.0%)
2:2
18.32 (5.5%)
3:3
83.33 (1.2%)
4:4
666.67 (0.1%)
Away win
0:1
16.08 (6.2%)
0:2
28.65 (3.5%)
0:3
76.92 (1.3%)
0:4
277.78 (0.4%)
1:2
16.21 (6.2%)
1:3
43.48 (2.3%)
1:4
156.25 (0.6%)
2:3
49.02 (2.0%)
2:4
175.44 (0.6%)
3:4
294.12 (0.3%)
Other25.32 (4.0%)
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