Match data

Value betting model

Heerenveen

2026/04/05 12:30

4:1

Heracles

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Heerenveen vs Heracles (Data-Driven Analysis) Match Background: A mismatch in form and stability

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.46

PPG

0.68

1.67

Last 6 PPG

0.17

1.64

Home/away PPG

0.29

3.19

xG overall

3.14

3.11

Home/away xG overall

2.93

1.68

xG for per game

1.24

1.51

xG against per game

1.90

1.78

Home/away xG for per game

0.96

1.33

Home/away xG against per game

1.97

Last X

Home wins

(41%)

Draws

(15%)

Away wins

(44%)

2025/12/20

0:3

2025/03/15

1:1

2024/09/27

2:1

2024/04/14

0:2

2023/10/28

3:0

2022/03/18

2:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	PSV	33	26	3	4	96	44	52	81	2.17^-0.28	1.31	68.17^27.83	41.90^-2.10
2	Feyenoord	33	18	8	7	68	44	24	62	1.67^-0.21	1.34	62.79^5.21	40.72^-3.28
3	Twente	33	15	13	5	58	35	23	58	2.33^0.57	1.35	65.80^-7.80	40.10^5.10
4	NEC	33	15	11	7	75	52	23	56	1.17^-0.53	1.35	63.07^11.93	43.66^-8.34
5	Ajax	33	14	13	6	62	41	21	55	1.33^-0.34	1.35	55.91^6.09	48.66^7.66
6	AZ	33	14	9	10	55	48	7	51	1.50^-0.05	1.36	57.39^-2.39	45.14^-2.86
7	Utrecht	33	14	8	11	53	42	11	50	2.00^0.48	1.36	53.80^-0.80	49.04^7.04
8	Heerenveen	33	14	8	11	57	53	4	50	1.67^0.15	1.36	54.92^2.08	50.97^-2.03
9	Groningen	33	13	6	14	47	44	3	45	1.67^0.31	1.37	57.44^-10.44	43.59^-0.41
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	12	7	14	38	59	-21	43	0.83^-0.47	1.37	47.74^-9.74	60.37^1.37
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	11	6	16	49	61	-12	39	0.67^-0.51	1.38	45.63^3.37	57.30^-3.70
12	Go Ahead Eagles	33	8	14	11	53	51	2	38	1.00^-0.15	1.38	47.50^5.50	64.18^13.18
13	PEC Zwolle	33	9	10	14	44	69	-25	37	1.17^0.05	1.38	37.21^6.79	62.89^-6.11
14	Excelsior	33	9	8	16	40	54	-14	35	1.50^0.44	1.39	45.51^-5.51	55.06^1.06
15	Telstar	33	8	10	15	47	54	-7	34	1.67^0.64	1.39	48.52^-1.52	60.79^6.79
16	Volendam	33	8	8	17	34	53	-19	32	0.83^-0.14	1.39	40.50^-6.50	66.13^13.13
17	NAC Breda	33	6	10	17	32	55	-23	28	0.83^-0.02	1.40	49.45^-17.45	48.77^-6.23
18	Heracles	33	5	4	24	34	83	-49	19	0.17^-0.41	1.42	40.55^-6.55	62.65^-20.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
14	Played	14
1.93	Avg goals for/against	0.79
1.57	Avg goals against/for	2.93
3.5	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.60)	3.71
86%	Scoring rate	100%
93%	Conceding rate	50%
7%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
14%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	50%
56%	Scored in both halves (35.0%)	14%
50%	Scored first	14%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (32.0%)	14%
36%	Losing/Leading at half-time (61.0%)	86%
5.43	Avg corners for/against	4.29
4.64	Avg corners against/for	6.93
10.07	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.64)	11.22
2.93	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.36)	3.79
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 (100.0%)	100%
71%	GF+GA over 2.5 (75.0%)	79%
43%	GF+GA over 3.5 (46.5%)	50%
21%	GF+GA over 4.5 (21.0%)	21%
14%	GF+GA over 5.5 (14.0%)	14%
79%	Both teams scored (64.5%)	50%
93%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (96.5%)	100%
36%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.0%)	36%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (21.5%)	29%
93%	Over 7.5 total corners (93.0%)	93%
86%	Over 8.5 total corners (86.0%)	86%
64%	Over 9.5 total corners (60.0%)	56%
43%	Over 10.5 total corners (43.0%)	43%
14%	Over 11.5 total corners (25.0%)	36%
7%	Over 12.5 total corners (21.5%)	36%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (18.0%)	36%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
3 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	6 (0)
0 (1)	No win	7 (7)
3 (0)	No draw	6 (0)
4 (4)	No defeat	0 (1)
6(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
2(1)	1 goal conceded or more	17(7)
0(1)	No goal scored	2(4)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
5(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(1)
0(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
5(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



7/14 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	2/14 (14%)
13/28 (46%)	Scored first, overall	7/28 (25%)