Match data

Value betting model

Modena

2025/05/09 18:30

2:2

Brescia

AI match insights

Match Preview: Modena vs Brescia (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A mid-table clash where Modena hosts Brescia

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.22

PPG

1.08

1.17

Last 6 PPG

1.47

Home/away PPG

1.17

2.89

xG overall

3.00

2.89

Home/away xG overall

2.96

1.38

xG for per game

1.46

1.51

xG against per game

1.54

1.46

Home/away xG for per game

1.24

1.43

Home/away xG against per game

1.72

Last X

Home wins

(29%)

Draws

(30%)

Away wins

(41%)

2024/12/26

3:3

2024/01/13

1:2

2023/10/24

0:1

2023/02/11

0:1

2022/09/10

1:3

2016/02/20

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Sassuolo	37	25	7	5	78	37	41	82	1.67^-0.55	1.28	58.51^19.49	51.94^14.94
2	Pisa	37	21	8	8	60	36	24	71	1.67^-0.25	1.30	53.13^6.87	44.63^8.63
3	Spezia	37	16	15	6	56	32	24	63	1.33^-0.37	1.31	64.44^-8.44	45.47^13.47
4	Cremonese	37	16	13	8	61	42	19	61	2.00^0.35	1.31	63.67^-2.67	43.18^1.18
5	Juve Stabia	37	14	12	11	42	41	1	54	1.33^-0.13	1.32	46.37^-4.37	49.51^8.51
6	Catanzaro	37	11	19	7	51	45	6	52	1.00^-0.41	1.33	48.60^2.40	52.53^7.53
7	Palermo	37	14	9	14	51	42	9	51	1.50^0.12	1.33	57.68^-6.68	54.78^12.78
8	Cesena	37	13	11	13	45	47	-2	50	1.33^-0.02	1.33	49.45^-4.45	49.78^2.78
9	Bari 1908	37	10	17	10	41	40	1	47	1.17^-0.10	1.33	50.88^-9.88	56.18^16.18
10	Modena	37	10	15	12	48	49	-1	45	1.17^-0.05	1.34	50.91^-2.91	56.02^7.02
11	Südtirol	37	12	9	16	50	57	-7	45	1.83^0.61	1.34	51.31^-1.31	54.92^-2.08
12	Reggiana	37	11	11	15	41	50	-9	44	2.00^0.81	1.34	48.02^-7.02	54.25^4.25
13	Carrarese	37	11	11	15	38	48	-10	44	1.33^0.14	1.34	46.59^-8.59	56.82^8.82
14	Mantova	37	10	13	14	47	56	-9	43	1.67^0.51	1.34	52.14^-5.14	56.79^0.79
15	Brescia	37	8	16	13	40	47	-7	40	1.00^-0.08	1.34	54.20^-14.20	56.88^9.88
16	Sampdoria	37	8	16	13	38	49	-11	40	1.33^0.25	1.34	49.76^-11.76	56.17^7.17
17	Frosinone	37	8	16	13	36	50	-14	40	0.67^-0.41	1.34	50.54^-14.54	53.13^3.13
18	Cittadella	37	10	10	17	31	52	-21	40	0.83^-0.25	1.34	48.02^-17.02	57.37^5.37
19	Salernitana	37	10	9	18	35	47	-12	39	1.50^0.45	1.35	53.89^-18.89	49.40^2.40
20	Cosenza	37	7	13	17	31	53	-22	30	0.83^-0.09	1.35	53.01^-22.01	51.39^-1.61
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	18
1.47	Avg goals for/against	0.83
1.24	Avg goals against/for	1.11
2.71	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.33)	1.94
88%	Scoring rate	72%
76%	Conceding rate	67%
24%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	28%
12%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
28%	Scored in both halves (19.5%)	11%
35%	Scored first	44%
41%	Leading/Losing at half-time (34.5%)	28%
24%	Losing/Leading at half-time (26.0%)	28%
4.94	Avg corners for/against	4.56
3.82	Avg corners against/for	6.17
8.76	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.75)	10.73
6	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.86)	5.72
94%	GF+GA over 0.5 (91.5%)	89%
82%	GF+GA over 1.5 (74.5%)	67%
53%	GF+GA over 2.5 (43.0%)	33%
35%	GF+GA over 3.5 (20.5%)	6%
6%	GF+GA over 4.5 (3.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
71%	Both teams scored (60.5%)	50%
76%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (71.5%)	67%
41%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (31.5%)	22%
18%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.0%)	6%
59%	Over 7.5 total corners (63.0%)	67%
53%	Over 8.5 total corners (57.0%)	61%
41%	Over 9.5 total corners (51.0%)	61%
35%	Over 10.5 total corners (42.5%)	50%
24%	Over 11.5 total corners (37.0%)	50%
18%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.5%)	33%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (14.0%)	28%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
2 (2)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
2 (2)	No win	0 (1)
3 (8)	No draw	1 (0)
0 (0)	No defeat	3 (2)
8(8)	1 goal scored or more	5(1)
8(10)	1 goal conceded or more	1(1)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
4(8)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(1)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(1)	2 goals scored or more	1(1)
3(3)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



6/17 (35%)	Scored first, home/away	8/18 (44%)
13/36 (36%)	Scored first, overall	15/36 (42%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source17 matches37 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.18

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.18

Exp goals after

Referee

Alberto Santoro
Matches	99
Cards/match	4.60
Cards (home team)/match	2.10
Cards (away team)/match	2.50
Over 0.5 cards	98.7%
Over 1.5 cards	90.2%
Over 2.5 cards	80.5%
Over 3.5 cards	64.7%
Over 4.5 cards	42.3%
Over 5.5 cards	28.9%
Minutes/card	22
Penalties given/match	0.34
Penalties given (home team)/match	0.18
Penalties given (away team)/match	0.17
Goals/match	2.27
Goals (home team)/match	1.45
Goals (away team)/match	0.82