Match data

Value betting model

Dundalk

2025/09/26 18:45

3:2

UCD

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Soccer Match Preview: Dundalk vs

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

2.16

PPG

1.53

1.5

Last 6 PPG

1.67

2.25

Home/away PPG

1.73

2.85

xG overall

2.82

2.81

Home/away xG overall

2.83

1.83

xG for per game

1.54

1.02

xG against per game

1.28

1.87

Home/away xG for per game

1.44

0.94

Home/away xG against per game

1.39

Last X

Home wins

(76%)

Draws

(14%)

Away wins

(10%)

2025/08/01

0:1

2025/06/13

1:1

2025/04/04

0:1

2023/11/03

1:5

2023/06/05

4:1

2023/05/01

0:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Dundalk	34	21	10	3	69	30	39	73	1.50^-0.65	1.29	62.14^6.86	34.37^4.37
2	Cobh Ramblers	34	21	6	7	68	33	35	69	2.17^0.14	1.30	53.21^14.79	41.95^8.95
3	Bray Wanderers	34	19	2	13	57	50	7	59	1.00^-0.74	1.33	53.48^3.52	53.68^3.68
4	UCD	33	14	7	12	38	38	0	49	1.67^0.19	1.36	50.74^-12.74	43.43^5.43
5	Wexford	33	12	8	13	43	43	0	44	1.83^0.50	1.38	43.21^-0.21	53.15^10.15
6	Treaty United	33	11	9	13	46	45	1	42	1.17^-0.10	1.39	45.50^0.50	45.30^0.30
7	Longford Town	33	9	9	15	36	56	-20	36	1.33^0.24	1.41	37.29^-1.29	57.25^1.25
8	Finn Harps	32	8	11	13	38	47	-9	35	1.17^0.08	1.41	42.79^-4.79	47.94^0.94
9	Kerry	32	8	8	16	36	50	-14	32	1.17^0.17	1.42	41.14^-5.14	47.59^-2.41
10	Athlone Town	34	3	10	21	26	65	-39	19	0.33^-0.23	1.46	40.13^-14.13	44.96^-20.04
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
16	Played	15
2.25	Avg goals for/against	1.27
1	Avg goals against/for	1.07
3.25	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.79)	2.33
100%	Scoring rate	67%
69%	Conceding rate	73%
31%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	33%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	27%
56%	Scored in both halves (46.0%)	36%
88%	Scored first	47%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (35.5%)	21%
6%	Losing/Leading at half-time (13.5%)	21%
6.81	Avg corners for/against	4.73
3	Avg corners against/for	4.13
9.81	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.34)	8.86
3.44	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.33)	5.22
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
81%	GF+GA over 1.5 (74.0%)	67%
56%	GF+GA over 2.5 (51.5%)	47%
44%	GF+GA over 3.5 (32.0%)	20%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (12.5%)	0%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	0%
69%	Both teams scored (54.5%)	40%
75%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (69.5%)	64%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (43.0%)	36%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	0%
63%	Over 7.5 total corners (65.0%)	67%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (58.5%)	67%
38%	Over 9.5 total corners (39.0%)	40%
31%	Over 10.5 total corners (29.0%)	27%
19%	Over 11.5 total corners (16.0%)	13%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.0%)	7%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (2)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
0 (1)	No win	2 (0)
1 (2)	No draw	1 (4)
16 (0)	No defeat	0 (2)
17(4)	1 goal scored or more	1(3)
6(4)	1 goal conceded or more	4(6)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
6(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(3)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
6(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(3)
1(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



14/16 (88%)	Scored first, home/away	7/15 (47%)
25/32 (78%)	Scored first, overall	13/32 (41%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source21 matches72 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.57

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.43

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.86

Exp goals after