Match data

Value betting model

De Graafschap

2026/04/06 14:45

5:0

AZ II

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Match Preview: De Graafschap vs AZ II (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.65

PPG

1.09

1.83

Last 6 PPG

1.17

1.59

Home/away PPG

1.53

3.77

xG overall

3.09

3.92

Home/away xG overall

3.12

1.99

xG for per game

1.60

1.78

xG against per game

1.49

2.22

Home/away xG for per game

1.45

1.70

Home/away xG against per game

1.67

Last X

Home wins

(47%)

Draws

(26%)

Away wins

(27%)

2025/09/22

1:3

2025/02/21

5:1

2024/09/23

2:2

2024/03/29

2:1

2023/10/23

3:0

2023/04/03

0:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	ADO Den Haag	37	28	2	7	87	36	51	86	2.50^0.18	1.34	79.26^7.74	35.92^-0.08
2	Cambuur	37	22	9	6	73	47	26	75	0.83^-1.20	1.36	63.72^9.28	51.79^4.79
3	Willem II	37	19	8	10	57	41	16	65	2.50^0.74	1.37	62.29^-5.29	62.06^21.06
4	De Graafschap	37	18	9	10	74	57	17	63	1.83^0.13	1.37	74.66^-0.66	64.44^7.44
5	Almere City	37	18	4	15	77	60	17	58	1.67^0.10	1.38	67.36^9.64	58.41^-1.59
6	Vitesse	37	15	11	11	63	53	10	56	2.33^0.82	1.38	60.45^2.55	53.57^0.57
7	PSV II	37	17	5	15	65	60	5	56	1.00^-0.51	1.38	60.46^4.54	70.46^10.46
8	RKC Waalwijk	37	15	10	12	67	58	9	55	1.33^-0.16	1.38	61.82^5.18	52.05^-5.95
9	Roda JC	37	14	13	10	59	52	7	55	1.33^-0.16	1.38	58.87^0.13	54.76^2.76
10	Den Bosch	37	14	9	14	64	66	-2	51	1.83^0.45	1.39	57.27^6.73	62.60^-3.40
11	Dordrecht	37	12	11	14	47	54	-7	47	0.83^-0.44	1.40	59.78^-12.78	55.92^1.92
12	Eindhoven	37	13	5	19	50	69	-19	44	0.67^-0.52	1.40	57.98^-7.98	64.23^-4.77
13	Utrecht II	37	11	10	16	56	62	-6	43	1.17^0.01	1.40	57.72^-1.72	57.27^-4.73
14	VVV	37	12	6	19	47	57	-10	42	0.83^-0.31	1.40	57.85^-10.85	60.04^3.04
15	Emmen	37	11	9	17	57	72	-15	42	0.83^-0.31	1.40	56.26^0.74	58.64^-13.36
16	Oss	37	10	11	16	52	64	-12	41	2.17^1.06	1.40	51.31^0.69	74.33^10.33
17	Helmond Sport	37	10	9	18	42	61	-19	39	1.00^-0.05	1.41	48.79^-6.79	56.22^-4.78
18	MVV	37	9	11	17	41	71	-30	38	0.50^-0.53	1.41	46.97^-5.97	73.53^2.53
19	AZ II	37	11	4	22	59	76	-17	37	1.17^0.17	1.41	59.61^-0.61	57.70^-18.30
20	Ajax II	37	9	8	20	50	71	-21	35	1.00^0.05	1.41	50.88^-0.88	69.39^-1.61
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	17
1.88	Avg goals for/against	2.06
1.65	Avg goals against/for	1.88
3.53	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.73)	3.94
94%	Scoring rate	88%
82%	Conceding rate	82%
18%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	12%
6%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	18%
24%	Scored in both halves (38.5%)	53%
53%	Scored first	47%
47%	Leading/Losing at half-time (35.5%)	24%
29%	Losing/Leading at half-time (32.0%)	35%
7.06	Avg corners for/against	4.06
5.35	Avg corners against/for	7.18
12.41	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.82)	11.24
2.71	Avg total cards (F+A) (2.88)	3.06
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (97.0%)	94%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (88.0%)	88%
65%	GF+GA over 2.5 (70.5%)	76%
53%	GF+GA over 3.5 (59.0%)	65%
41%	GF+GA over 4.5 (44.0%)	47%
6%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.0%)	18%
76%	Both teams scored (76.0%)	76%
82%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (85.0%)	88%
41%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (53.0%)	65%
12%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (20.5%)	29%
82%	Over 7.5 total corners (88.0%)	94%
76%	Over 8.5 total corners (70.5%)	65%
65%	Over 9.5 total corners (65.0%)	65%
53%	Over 10.5 total corners (53.0%)	53%
47%	Over 11.5 total corners (44.0%)	41%
41%	Over 12.5 total corners (41.0%)	41%
35%	Over 13.5 total corners (31.5%)	28%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (2)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
1 (1)	No win	0 (0)
5 (0)	No draw	12 (2)
0 (2)	No defeat	1 (3)
16(12)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
1(2)	1 goal conceded or more	5(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	2(3)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
5(4)	Match total goals over 2.5	4(1)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(5)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	5(3)

Opening goals



9/17 (53%)	Scored first, home/away	8/17 (47%)
17/34 (50%)	Scored first, overall	13/34 (38%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source15 matches52 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.93

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.47

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.53

Exp goals after