Match data

Value betting model

Cerro Porteño

2025/09/20 22:00

2:0

Sportivo Ameliano

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Cerro Porteño vs

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.79

PPG

1.18

1.5

Last 6 PPG

0.67

1.76

Home/away PPG

1.12

2.68

xG overall

2.50

2.76

Home/away xG overall

2.60

1.58

xG for per game

1.20

1.10

xG against per game

1.30

1.73

Home/away xG for per game

1.19

1.03

Home/away xG against per game

1.41

Last X

Home wins

(81%)

Draws

(13%)

Away wins

(6%)

2025/07/12

0:1

2025/05/21

0:0

2025/03/16

2:0

2024/09/22

0:1

2024/08/01

1:0

2024/04/15

3:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Guaraní	13	9	1	3	31	12	22	28	2.50^0.61	1.29	44.42^-13.42	47.77^35.77
2	Cerro Porteño	13	7	4	2	23	16	22	25	1.50^-0.33	1.30	56.10^-33.10	38.12^22.12
3	Nacional Asunción	13	6	4	3	16	11	0	22	1.67^0.33	1.34	52.19^-36.19	40.32^29.32
4	Sportivo Trinidense	13	6	3	4	19	17	7	21	1.17^-0.40	1.32	49.97^-30.97	55.66^38.66
5	2 de Mayo	13	5	4	4	15	17	-13	19	1.33^0.27	1.37	42.62^-27.62	38.98^21.98
6	Deportivo Recoleta	13	5	3	5	20	19	-1	18	1.83^0.54	1.35	46.53^-26.53	54.42^35.42
7	General Caballero JLM	13	5	3	5	14	18	-11	18	1.83^0.69	1.36	43.61^-29.61	51.45^33.45
8	Libertad	13	4	5	4	15	11	24	17	0.67^-1.07	1.31	48.50^-33.50	37.79^26.79
9	Sportivo Luqueño	13	5	2	6	18	21	-15	17	1.17^0.06	1.36	44.95^-26.95	57.99^36.99
10	Olimpia	13	3	4	6	17	24	-2	13	0.83^-0.48	1.35	51.09^-34.09	40.43^16.43
11	Sportivo Ameliano	13	3	2	8	13	23	-7	11	0.67^-0.47	1.36	41.56^-28.56	46.36^23.36
12	Atlético Tembetary	13	1	3	9	14	26	-26	6	1.00^0.31	1.40	40.76^-26.76	53.02^27.02
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	17
1.35	Avg goals for/against	1.12
0.94	Avg goals against/for	1.41
2.29	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.41)	2.53
76%	Scoring rate	82%
65%	Conceding rate	59%
35%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	18%
24%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	41%
24%	Scored in both halves (18.0%)	12%
41%	Scored first	29%
35%	Leading/Losing at half-time (32.0%)	29%
6%	Losing/Leading at half-time (20.5%)	35%
5.06	Avg corners for/against	3.47
2.82	Avg corners against/for	4.41
7.88	Avg total corners (F+A) (7.88)	7.88
5.41	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.38)	5.35
82%	GF+GA over 0.5 (85.0%)	88%
65%	GF+GA over 1.5 (65.0%)	65%
47%	GF+GA over 2.5 (44.0%)	41%
29%	GF+GA over 3.5 (32.0%)	35%
6%	GF+GA over 4.5 (15.0%)	24%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
59%	Both teams scored (56.0%)	53%
53%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (62.0%)	71%
24%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (24.0%)	24%
6%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (9.0%)	12%
53%	Over 7.5 total corners (50.0%)	47%
35%	Over 8.5 total corners (31.5%)	28%
24%	Over 9.5 total corners (21.0%)	18%
18%	Over 10.5 total corners (15.0%)	12%
6%	Over 11.5 total corners (9.0%)	12%
6%	Over 12.5 total corners (9.0%)	12%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (3.0%)	6%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (1)
1 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
3 (4)	No win	0 (0)
0 (0)	No draw	2 (3)
1 (1)	No defeat	1 (1)
3(5)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	6(2)
0(0)	No goal scored	2(2)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
2(3)	Match total goals under 2.5	3(2)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(1)

Opening goals



7/17 (41%)	Scored first, home/away	5/17 (29%)
18/34 (53%)	Scored first, overall	12/34 (35%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source15 matches35 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.53

Exp goals after