Match data

Value betting model

Groningen

2026/05/02 16:45

2:3

Excelsior

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Match Preview: Groningen vs SBV Excelsior (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.35

PPG

1.67

Last 6 PPG

1.5

1.47

Home/away PPG

0.93

3.06

xG overall

3.08

3.02

Home/away xG overall

3.07

1.76

xG for per game

1.37

1.30

xG against per game

1.71

1.83

Home/away xG for per game

1.29

1.19

Home/away xG against per game

1.78

Last X

Home wins

(61%)

Draws

(17%)

Away wins

(22%)

2025/12/05

0:2

2024/01/16

0:2

2023/02/25

3:0

2023/01/08

1:0

2021/12/15

2:4

2019/04/06

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	PSV	33	26	3	4	96	44	52	81	2.17^-0.28	1.31	68.17^27.83	41.90^-2.10
2	Feyenoord	33	18	8	7	68	44	24	62	1.67^-0.21	1.34	62.79^5.21	40.72^-3.28
3	Twente	33	15	13	5	58	35	23	58	2.33^0.57	1.35	65.80^-7.80	40.10^5.10
4	NEC	33	15	11	7	75	52	23	56	1.17^-0.53	1.35	63.07^11.93	43.66^-8.34
5	Ajax	33	14	13	6	62	41	21	55	1.33^-0.34	1.35	55.91^6.09	48.66^7.66
6	AZ	33	14	9	10	55	48	7	51	1.50^-0.05	1.36	57.39^-2.39	45.14^-2.86
7	Utrecht	33	14	8	11	53	42	11	50	2.00^0.48	1.36	53.80^-0.80	49.04^7.04
8	Heerenveen	33	14	8	11	57	53	4	50	1.67^0.15	1.36	54.92^2.08	50.97^-2.03
9	Groningen	33	13	6	14	47	44	3	45	1.67^0.31	1.37	57.44^-10.44	43.59^-0.41
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	12	7	14	38	59	-21	43	0.83^-0.47	1.37	47.74^-9.74	60.37^1.37
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	11	6	16	49	61	-12	39	0.67^-0.51	1.38	45.63^3.37	57.30^-3.70
12	Go Ahead Eagles	33	8	14	11	53	51	2	38	1.00^-0.15	1.38	47.50^5.50	64.18^13.18
13	PEC Zwolle	33	9	10	14	44	69	-25	37	1.17^0.05	1.38	37.21^6.79	62.89^-6.11
14	Excelsior	33	9	8	16	40	54	-14	35	1.50^0.44	1.39	45.51^-5.51	55.06^1.06
15	Telstar	33	8	10	15	47	54	-7	34	1.67^0.64	1.39	48.52^-1.52	60.79^6.79
16	Volendam	33	8	8	17	34	53	-19	32	0.83^-0.14	1.39	40.50^-6.50	66.13^13.13
17	NAC Breda	33	6	10	17	32	55	-23	28	0.83^-0.02	1.40	49.45^-17.45	48.77^-6.23
18	Heracles	33	5	4	24	34	83	-49	19	0.17^-0.41	1.42	40.55^-6.55	62.65^-20.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	15
1.53	Avg goals for/against	1.13
0.93	Avg goals against/for	2
2.47	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.80)	3.13
73%	Scoring rate	87%
60%	Conceding rate	80%
40%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
27%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	20%
47%	Scored in both halves (37.0%)	27%
53%	Scored first	33%
33%	Leading/Losing at half-time (30.0%)	27%
13%	Losing/Leading at half-time (26.5%)	40%
7.13	Avg corners for/against	3.87
4.73	Avg corners against/for	6.4
11.86	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.06)	10.27
3.33	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.10)	2.87
87%	GF+GA over 0.5 (90.0%)	93%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (86.5%)	93%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (63.5%)	67%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (26.5%)	33%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (10.0%)	20%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (3.5%)	7%
47%	Both teams scored (60.0%)	73%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (73.5%)	80%
33%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.5%)	40%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.0%)	13%
87%	Over 7.5 total corners (87.0%)	87%
87%	Over 8.5 total corners (77.0%)	67%
67%	Over 9.5 total corners (60.0%)	53%
53%	Over 10.5 total corners (46.5%)	40%
40%	Over 11.5 total corners (33.5%)	27%
40%	Over 12.5 total corners (30.0%)	20%
27%	Over 13.5 total corners (23.5%)	20%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
1 (0)	Consecutive draws	2 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
1 (2)	No win	4 (0)
0 (1)	No draw	0 (1)
3 (0)	No defeat	2 (2)
2(3)	1 goal scored or more	6(4)
2(3)	1 goal conceded or more	5(2)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
2(2)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	2(0)

Opening goals



8/15 (53%)	Scored first, home/away	5/15 (33%)
16/31 (52%)	Scored first, overall	14/31 (45%)