Match data

Value betting model

NAC Breda

2026/04/25 18:00

0:2

Ajax

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: NAC Breda vs Ajax (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A David vs

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.83

PPG

1.7

0.83

Last 6 PPG

1.33

1.13

Home/away PPG

1.4

2.94

xG overall

3.18

2.96

Home/away xG overall

3.09

1.49

xG for per game

1.71

1.45

xG against per game

1.47

1.55

Home/away xG for per game

1.53

1.41

Home/away xG against per game

1.56

Last X

Home wins

(6%)

Draws

(19%)

Away wins

(75%)

2025/09/27

2:1

2025/04/06

3:1

2024/08/18

2:1

2019/02/17

5:0

2018/11/24

0:3

2018/02/04

3:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	PSV	33	26	3	4	96	44	52	81	2.17^-0.28	1.31	68.17^27.83	41.90^-2.10
2	Feyenoord	33	18	8	7	68	44	24	62	1.67^-0.21	1.34	62.79^5.21	40.72^-3.28
3	Twente	33	15	13	5	58	35	23	58	2.33^0.57	1.35	65.80^-7.80	40.10^5.10
4	NEC	33	15	11	7	75	52	23	56	1.17^-0.53	1.35	63.07^11.93	43.66^-8.34
5	Ajax	33	14	13	6	62	41	21	55	1.33^-0.34	1.35	55.91^6.09	48.66^7.66
6	AZ	33	14	9	10	55	48	7	51	1.50^-0.05	1.36	57.39^-2.39	45.14^-2.86
7	Utrecht	33	14	8	11	53	42	11	50	2.00^0.48	1.36	53.80^-0.80	49.04^7.04
8	Heerenveen	33	14	8	11	57	53	4	50	1.67^0.15	1.36	54.92^2.08	50.97^-2.03
9	Groningen	33	13	6	14	47	44	3	45	1.67^0.31	1.37	57.44^-10.44	43.59^-0.41
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	12	7	14	38	59	-21	43	0.83^-0.47	1.37	47.74^-9.74	60.37^1.37
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	11	6	16	49	61	-12	39	0.67^-0.51	1.38	45.63^3.37	57.30^-3.70
12	Go Ahead Eagles	33	8	14	11	53	51	2	38	1.00^-0.15	1.38	47.50^5.50	64.18^13.18
13	PEC Zwolle	33	9	10	14	44	69	-25	37	1.17^0.05	1.38	37.21^6.79	62.89^-6.11
14	Excelsior	33	9	8	16	40	54	-14	35	1.50^0.44	1.39	45.51^-5.51	55.06^1.06
15	Telstar	33	8	10	15	47	54	-7	34	1.67^0.64	1.39	48.52^-1.52	60.79^6.79
16	Volendam	33	8	8	17	34	53	-19	32	0.83^-0.14	1.39	40.50^-6.50	66.13^13.13
17	NAC Breda	33	6	10	17	32	55	-23	28	0.83^-0.02	1.40	49.45^-17.45	48.77^-6.23
18	Heracles	33	5	4	24	34	83	-49	19	0.17^-0.41	1.42	40.55^-6.55	62.65^-20.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	15
1.2	Avg goals for/against	1.87
1.4	Avg goals against/for	1.6
2.6	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.04)	3.47
67%	Scoring rate	87%
80%	Conceding rate	93%
20%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
33%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	7%
13%	Scored in both halves (23.0%)	33%
33%	Scored first	47%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (23.5%)	27%
40%	Losing/Leading at half-time (30.0%)	20%
5.67	Avg corners for/against	4.4
4.27	Avg corners against/for	5.6
9.94	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.97)	10
4.4	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.27)	4.13
93%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	93%
60%	GF+GA over 1.5 (76.5%)	93%
47%	GF+GA over 2.5 (60.0%)	73%
27%	GF+GA over 3.5 (43.5%)	60%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (16.5%)	20%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (10.0%)	7%
53%	Both teams scored (70.0%)	87%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (73.5%)	80%
33%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (46.5%)	60%
20%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (16.5%)	13%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (76.5%)	73%
73%	Over 8.5 total corners (66.5%)	60%
60%	Over 9.5 total corners (56.5%)	53%
60%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.0%)	40%
27%	Over 11.5 total corners (30.0%)	33%
27%	Over 12.5 total corners (27.0%)	27%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (20.0%)	27%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (1)
2 (2)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
2 (6)	No win	0 (0)
0 (0)	No draw	1 (2)
3 (2)	No defeat	2 (1)
1(1)	1 goal scored or more	4(8)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(2)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
1(1)	No goal conceded	2(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(2)
3(5)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(2)

Opening goals



5/15 (33%)	Scored first, home/away	7/15 (47%)
8/30 (27%)	Scored first, overall	19/30 (63%)