Match data

Value betting model

Pescara

2026/05/08 18:30

1:1

Spezia

AI match insights

Match Preview: Pescara vs Spezia (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A desperate clash at the bottom of the table

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.92

PPG

0.92

0.83

Last 6 PPG

0.67

1.17

Home/away PPG

0.72

3.15

xG overall

2.78

3.16

Home/away xG overall

2.95

1.56

xG for per game

1.33

1.59

xG against per game

1.45

1.69

Home/away xG for per game

1.31

1.47

Home/away xG against per game

1.64

Last X

Home wins

(36%)

Draws

(21%)

Away wins

(43%)

2025/12/27

2:1

2020/03/04

2:0

2019/10/19

1:2

2019/03/03

2:0

2018/10/19

1:3

2018/04/22

3:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Venezia	37	23	10	4	75	31	44	79	2.00^-0.14	1.30	68.29^6.71	42.08^11.08
2	Frosinone	37	22	12	3	71	34	37	78	2.67^0.56	1.30	68.32^2.68	56.62^22.62
3	Monza	37	22	9	6	59	30	29	75	1.83^-0.20	1.31	58.27^0.73	47.61^17.61
4	Palermo	37	20	12	5	61	31	30	72	2.33^0.38	1.31	57.87^3.13	48.09^17.09
5	Catanzaro	37	15	14	8	60	48	12	59	1.17^-0.42	1.33	50.33^9.67	52.21^4.21
6	Modena	37	15	10	12	49	35	14	55	0.83^-0.66	1.34	62.36^-13.36	43.55^8.55
7	Juve Stabia	37	11	17	9	43	44	-1	50	1.33^-0.02	1.34	48.99^-5.99	45.99^1.99
8	Mantova	37	13	7	17	45	52	-7	46	2.00^0.76	1.35	57.53^-12.53	52.12^0.12
9	Cesena	37	12	10	15	42	52	-10	46	1.00^-0.24	1.35	51.79^-9.79	54.00^2.00
10	Avellino	37	12	10	15	42	55	-13	46	1.17^-0.07	1.35	41.57^0.43	58.21^3.21
11	Carrarese	37	10	14	13	46	50	-4	44	1.33^0.14	1.35	53.44^-7.44	50.76^0.76
12	Sampdoria	37	11	11	15	35	47	-12	44	2.17^0.98	1.35	50.52^-15.52	45.96^-1.04
13	Calcio Padova	37	11	10	16	35	46	-11	43	1.50^0.34	1.35	44.49^-9.49	62.99^16.99
14	Empoli	37	9	13	15	45	52	-7	40	1.17^0.09	1.36	50.61^-5.61	52.67^0.67
15	Südtirol	37	8	16	13	37	47	-10	40	0.33^-0.75	1.36	51.73^-14.73	51.61^4.61
16	Virtus Entella	37	9	12	16	34	50	-16	39	1.33^0.28	1.36	50.58^-16.58	50.60^0.60
17	Bari 1908	37	9	10	18	35	58	-23	37	1.00^0.00	1.36	41.53^-6.53	66.80^8.80
18	Pescara	37	7	13	17	50	65	-15	34	0.83^-0.09	1.37	56.26^-6.26	57.28^-7.72
19	Spezia	37	8	10	19	42	58	-16	34	0.67^-0.25	1.37	49.28^-7.28	53.76^-4.24
20	Reggiana	37	8	10	19	35	56	-21	34	0.67^-0.25	1.37	41.78^-6.78	62.64^6.64
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
18	Played	18
1.5	Avg goals for/against	1.06
1.39	Avg goals against/for	1.78
2.89	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.86)	2.83
78%	Scoring rate	83%
83%	Conceding rate	67%
17%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	17%
22%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
22%	Scored in both halves (19.5%)	17%
44%	Scored first	50%
17%	Leading/Losing at half-time (14.0%)	11%
28%	Losing/Leading at half-time (28.0%)	28%
5.78	Avg corners for/against	4.94
4.44	Avg corners against/for	5.39
10.22	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.28)	10.33
4.33	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.78)	5.22
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (97.0%)	94%
94%	GF+GA over 1.5 (83.0%)	72%
61%	GF+GA over 2.5 (58.5%)	56%
33%	GF+GA over 3.5 (36.0%)	39%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (8.5%)	17%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (3.0%)	6%
61%	Both teams scored (58.5%)	56%
72%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (72.0%)	72%
44%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (41.5%)	39%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
78%	Over 7.5 total corners (72.5%)	67%
67%	Over 8.5 total corners (67.0%)	67%
61%	Over 9.5 total corners (55.5%)	50%
50%	Over 10.5 total corners (47.0%)	44%
44%	Over 11.5 total corners (36.0%)	28%
33%	Over 12.5 total corners (30.5%)	28%
11%	Over 13.5 total corners (16.5%)	22%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	4 (0)
2 (4)	No win	5 (2)
0 (1)	No draw	4 (0)
1 (0)	No defeat	0 (1)
5(0)	1 goal scored or more	3(3)
2(6)	1 goal conceded or more	6(13)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	6(3)
1(2)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(3)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	6(2)

Opening goals



8/18 (44%)	Scored first, home/away	9/18 (50%)
18/37 (49%)	Scored first, overall	17/37 (46%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source14 matches41 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.29

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.93

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.64

Exp goals after