Match data

Value betting model

Oxford United

2026/04/11 14:00

2:0

Watford

AI match insights

Match Preview: Oxford United vs Watford (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A battle of desperation vs stability

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

PPG

1.39

1.33

Last 6 PPG

0.17

1.15

Home/away PPG

2.83

xG overall

2.85

2.71

Home/away xG overall

2.70

1.25

xG for per game

1.52

1.58

xG against per game

1.33

1.43

Home/away xG for per game

1.31

1.28

Home/away xG against per game

1.39

Last X

Home wins

(25%)

Draws

(25%)

Away wins

(50%)

2025/10/04

2:1

2025/03/15

1:0

2024/11/08

1:0

2020/09/15

1:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Coventry City	45	27	11	7	93	45	48	92	2.00^-0.04	1.34	82.12^10.88	57.20^12.20
2	Ipswich Town	45	22	15	8	77	47	30	81	1.50^-0.30	1.35	74.85^2.15	53.04^6.04
3	Millwall	45	23	11	11	62	49	13	80	1.83^0.05	1.35	64.73^-2.73	63.80^14.80
4	Middlesbrough	45	22	13	10	70	45	25	79	1.33^-0.43	1.35	81.05^-11.05	51.03^6.03
5	Southampton	45	21	14	10	79	55	24	77	2.33^0.62	1.35	73.80^5.20	60.52^5.52
6	Wrexham	45	19	13	13	67	63	4	70	1.17^-0.39	1.36	57.11^9.89	68.66^5.66
7	Hull City	45	20	10	15	68	65	3	70	0.67^-0.89	1.36	58.18^9.82	74.38^9.38
8	Derby County	45	20	9	16	66	57	9	69	1.50^-0.03	1.36	55.72^10.28	65.47^8.47
9	Norwich City	45	19	8	18	62	54	8	65	1.83^0.39	1.36	64.89^-2.89	60.44^6.44
10	Birmingham City	45	17	12	16	56	55	1	63	1.67^0.27	1.37	67.95^-11.95	55.23^0.23
11	Swansea City	45	17	10	18	54	58	-4	61	1.50^0.14	1.37	60.20^-6.20	64.33^6.33
12	Preston North End	45	15	15	15	54	59	-5	60	1.33^0.00	1.37	56.18^-2.18	70.39^11.39
13	Bristol City	45	16	11	18	57	59	-2	59	1.33^0.02	1.37	61.26^-4.26	66.72^7.72
14	Queens Park Rangers	45	16	10	19	61	70	-9	58	0.83^-0.46	1.37	63.51^-2.51	62.34^-7.66
15	Sheffield United	45	17	6	22	64	65	-1	57	1.17^-0.10	1.37	68.00^-4.00	62.28^-2.72
16	Watford	45	14	15	16	53	61	-8	57	0.17^-1.10	1.37	67.22^-14.22	61.29^0.29
17	Stoke City	45	15	10	20	51	54	-3	55	0.67^-0.55	1.37	57.30^-6.30	62.76^8.76
18	Portsmouth	45	14	12	19	48	63	-15	54	2.17^0.97	1.37	61.85^-13.85	59.19^-3.81
19	West Bromwich Albion	45	13	14	18	47	56	-9	53	1.67^0.49	1.38	65.44^-18.44	54.19^-1.81
20	Charlton Athletic	45	13	14	18	43	55	-12	53	0.83^-0.35	1.38	56.24^-13.24	74.91^19.91
21	Blackburn Rovers	45	13	13	19	42	55	-13	52	1.50^0.34	1.38	58.67^-16.67	58.85^3.85
22	Leicester City	45	11	16	18	57	68	-11	49	0.67^-0.42	1.38	63.29^-6.29	64.99^-3.01
23	Oxford United	45	11	14	20	45	57	-12	47	1.33^0.29	1.38	58.12^-13.12	69.93^12.93
24	Sheffield Wednesday	45	1	12	32	27	88	-61	15	0.50^0.17	1.41	44.15^-17.15	79.89^-8.11
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
20	Played	20
0.9	Avg goals for/against	1.1
1.25	Avg goals against/for	1.4
2.15	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.33)	2.5
60%	Scoring rate	90%
80%	Conceding rate	75%
20%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	10%
40%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
20%	Scored in both halves (15.0%)	10%
40%	Scored first	35%
30%	Leading/Losing at half-time (20.0%)	10%
35%	Losing/Leading at half-time (37.5%)	40%
4.1	Avg corners for/against	4.55
6	Avg corners against/for	5.5
10.1	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.07)	10.05
3.3	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.00)	4.7
90%	GF+GA over 0.5 (92.5%)	95%
65%	GF+GA over 1.5 (67.5%)	70%
45%	GF+GA over 2.5 (47.5%)	50%
15%	GF+GA over 3.5 (22.5%)	30%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (2.5%)	5%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (60.0%)	70%
80%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (75.0%)	70%
40%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (37.5%)	35%
15%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.5%)	10%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (77.5%)	75%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (65.0%)	70%
45%	Over 9.5 total corners (55.0%)	65%
40%	Over 10.5 total corners (47.5%)	55%
30%	Over 11.5 total corners (30.0%)	30%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (17.5%)	15%
15%	Over 13.5 total corners (12.5%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
2 (2)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	2 (0)
2 (4)	No win	3 (3)
0 (0)	No draw	2 (0)
4 (2)	No defeat	0 (1)
1(1)	1 goal scored or more	1(1)
2(3)	1 goal conceded or more	9(6)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
1(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(2)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	5(4)

Opening goals



8/20 (40%)	Scored first, home/away	7/20 (35%)
16/41 (39%)	Scored first, overall	14/41 (34%)