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  1. England Championship
  2. Stoke City vs Millwall
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Stoke City
Stoke City
2026/04/21 18:45
1:3
FT
Millwall
Millwall

AI match insights

Football Match Preview: Stoke City vs Millwall (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

43
Matches played
43
17
Table position
3
15
W
22
10
D
10
18
L
11
9
Home/away W
10
6
Home/away D
7
6
Home/away L
4
1.28
PPG
1.77
0.67
Last 6 PPG
1.83
1.57
Home/away PPG
1.76
2.67
xG overall
2.85
2.71
Home/away xG overall
2.88
1.27
xG for per game
1.42
1.40
xG against per game
1.43
1.47
Home/away xG for per game
1.29
1.24
Home/away xG against per game
1.59

Last X

2
Home wins
(13%)
5
Draws
(34%)
8
Away wins
(53%)
2025/10/21
Millwall FC2:0Stoke City FC
2025/03/15
Millwall FC1:0Stoke City FC
2024/11/09
Stoke City FC1:1Millwall FC
2023/12/23
Stoke City FC0:0Millwall FC
2023/08/26
Millwall FC1:0Stoke City FC
2023/02/25
Stoke City FC0:1Millwall FC

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Coventry City452711793454892
2.00
-0.04
1.34
82.12
10.88
57.20
12.20
2Ipswich Town452215877473081
1.50
-0.30
1.35
74.85
2.15
53.04
6.04
3Millwall4523111162491380
1.83
0.05
1.35
64.73
-2.73
63.80
14.80
4Middlesbrough4522131070452579
1.33
-0.43
1.35
81.05
-11.05
51.03
6.03
5Southampton4521141079552477
2.33
0.62
1.35
73.80
5.20
60.52
5.52
6Wrexham451913136763470
1.17
-0.39
1.36
57.11
9.89
68.66
5.66
7Hull City452010156865370
0.67
-0.89
1.36
58.18
9.82
74.38
9.38
8Derby County45209166657969
1.50
-0.03
1.36
55.72
10.28
65.47
8.47
9Norwich City45198186254865
1.83
0.39
1.36
64.89
-2.89
60.44
6.44
10Birmingham City451712165655163
1.67
0.27
1.37
67.95
-11.95
55.23
0.23
11Swansea City451710185458-461
1.50
0.14
1.37
60.20
-6.20
64.33
6.33
12Preston North End451515155459-560
1.33
0.00
1.37
56.18
-2.18
70.39
11.39
13Bristol City451611185759-259
1.33
0.02
1.37
61.26
-4.26
66.72
7.72
14Queens Park Rangers451610196170-958
0.83
-0.46
1.37
63.51
-2.51
62.34
-7.66
15Sheffield United45176226465-157
1.17
-0.10
1.37
68.00
-4.00
62.28
-2.72
16Watford451415165361-857
0.17
-1.10
1.37
67.22
-14.22
61.29
0.29
17Stoke City451510205154-355
0.67
-0.55
1.37
57.30
-6.30
62.76
8.76
18Portsmouth451412194863-1554
2.17
0.97
1.37
61.85
-13.85
59.19
-3.81
19West Bromwich Albion451314184756-953
1.67
0.49
1.38
65.44
-18.44
54.19
-1.81
20Charlton Athletic451314184355-1253
0.83
-0.35
1.38
56.24
-13.24
74.91
19.91
21Blackburn Rovers451313194255-1352
1.50
0.34
1.38
58.67
-16.67
58.85
3.85
22Leicester City451116185768-1149
0.67
-0.42
1.38
63.29
-6.29
64.99
-3.01
23Oxford United451114204557-1247
1.33
0.29
1.38
58.12
-13.12
69.93
12.93
24Sheffield Wednesday45112322788-6115
0.50
0.17
1.41
44.15
-17.15
79.89
-8.11
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

Stoke City FC
(Avg)
Millwall FC
21
Played
21
1.52
Avg goals for/against
1.29
1.05
Avg goals against/for
1.05
2.57
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.45)
2.33
76%
Scoring rate
67%
71%
Conceding rate
81%
29%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
33%
24%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
19%
33%
Scored in both halves
(23.5%)
14%
57%
Scored first
48%
52%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(33.0%)
14%
19%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(24.0%)
29%
6.1
Avg corners for/against
5.1
4.48
Avg corners against/for
5.95
10.58
Avg total corners (F+A)
(10.82)
11.05
4.24
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.19)
4.14
90%
GF+GA over 0.5
(90.0%)
90%
71%
GF+GA over 1.5
(76.0%)
81%
52%
GF+GA over 2.5
(47.5%)
43%
24%
GF+GA over 3.5
(21.5%)
19%
10%
GF+GA over 4.5
(5.0%)
0%
10%
GF+GA over 5.5
(5.0%)
0%
57%
Both teams scored
(57.0%)
57%
76%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(69.0%)
62%
19%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(26.0%)
33%
10%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(5.0%)
0%
90%
Over 7.5 total corners
(83.0%)
76%
76%
Over 8.5 total corners
(71.5%)
67%
56%
Over 9.5 total corners
(54.0%)
52%
43%
Over 10.5 total corners
(45.5%)
48%
38%
Over 11.5 total corners
(38.0%)
38%
33%
Over 12.5 total corners
(30.5%)
28%
19%
Over 13.5 total corners
(21.5%)
24%

Streaks

Stoke City FCHome
(Overall)
Millwall FC
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
0 (1)
1  (0)
Consecutive draws
1 (0)
0  (1)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
1  (3)
No win
1 (0)
0  (1)
No draw
0 (1)
6  (0)
No defeat
7 (2)
8(2)1 goal scored or more2(3)
3(5)1 goal conceded or more2(2)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
0(0)No goal conceded0(0)
2(2)Match total goals over 2.50(0)
0(0)Match total goals under 2.51(1)
0(0)2 goals scored or more0(0)
2(3)2 goals conceded or more0(0)

Opening goals

Stoke City FC
Millwall FC
12/21
(57%)
Scored first, home/away
10/21
(48%)
21/43
(49%)
Scored first, overall
23/43
(53%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source15 matches20 goals
Stoke City FC
Overall
Millwall FC
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
0.4
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.33
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
0.93
Exp goals after
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