Match data

Value betting model

Ingolstadt

2026/05/03 17:30

3:5

Erzgebirge Aue

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Match Preview: Ingolstadt vs Erzgebirge Aue (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.23

PPG

0.77

Last 6 PPG

1.17

1.18

Home/away PPG

0.47

3.36

xG overall

3.16

3.31

Home/away xG overall

3.04

1.57

xG for per game

1.45

1.79

xG against per game

1.71

1.67

Home/away xG for per game

1.34

1.64

Home/away xG against per game

1.70

Last X

Home wins

(32%)

Draws

(40%)

Away wins

(28%)

2025/12/07

2:2

2025/05/04

1:0

2024/12/07

1:0

2023/12/19

1:1

2023/08/06

1:0

2023/05/20

0:3

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Osnabrück	37	23	8	6	62	31	31	77	2.17^0.09	1.34	58.64^3.36	47.21^16.21
2	Energie Cottbus	37	20	9	8	71	51	20	69	2.00^0.14	1.36	62.52^8.48	53.21^2.21
3	MSV Duisburg	37	19	10	8	65	48	17	67	2.17^0.36	1.36	55.71^9.29	50.88^2.88
4	Rot-Weiss Essen	37	19	10	8	75	64	11	67	1.50^-0.31	1.36	66.11^8.89	57.02^-6.98
5	Hansa Rostock	37	17	13	7	70	46	24	64	1.83^0.10	1.36	64.37^5.63	50.95^4.95
6	Verl	37	17	10	10	79	48	31	61	1.17^-0.48	1.37	65.66^13.34	44.46^-3.54
7	Alemannia Aachen	37	18	7	12	70	56	14	61	2.33^0.68	1.37	55.73^14.27	55.20^-0.80
8	1860 München	37	15	11	11	54	50	4	56	1.00^-0.51	1.37	51.89^2.11	59.48^9.48
9	Waldhof Mannheim	37	15	7	15	58	67	-9	52	1.00^-0.41	1.38	58.68^-0.68	58.85^-8.15
10	Wehen Wiesbaden	37	14	8	15	52	52	0	50	0.33^-1.02	1.38	55.37^-3.37	55.89^3.89
11	Viktoria Köln	37	15	5	17	50	52	-2	50	1.50^0.15	1.38	51.81^-1.81	52.13^0.13
12	Jahn Regensburg	37	14	7	16	54	57	-3	49	1.67^0.35	1.38	57.89^-3.89	58.00^1.00
13	Ingolstadt	37	12	10	15	60	55	5	46	1.00^-0.24	1.39	58.05^1.95	65.75^10.75
14	Stuttgart II	37	13	7	17	54	65	-11	46	0.83^-0.41	1.39	58.58^-4.58	58.83^-6.17
15	Saarbrucken	37	10	14	13	48	53	-5	44	1.33^0.14	1.39	59.19^-11.19	57.14^4.14
16	Hoffenheim II	37	12	7	18	65	69	-4	43	0.83^-0.33	1.39	61.44^3.56	60.70^-8.30
17	Havelse	37	9	8	20	56	83	-27	35	2.00^1.05	1.40	52.71^3.29	73.58^-9.42
18	Ulm	37	9	6	22	47	75	-28	33	0.83^-0.06	1.41	53.47^-6.47	59.33^-15.67
19	Erzgebirge Aue	37	6	13	18	47	68	-21	31	1.17^0.33	1.41	52.98^-5.98	63.80^-4.20
20	Schweinfurt	37	5	6	26	36	83	-47	21	0.67^0.10	1.42	51.61^-15.61	69.98^-13.02
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	17
1.35	Avg goals for/against	1
1.35	Avg goals against/for	1.94
2.71	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.83)	2.94
76%	Scoring rate	88%
82%	Conceding rate	82%
18%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	12%
24%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	18%
24%	Scored in both halves (15.0%)	6%
35%	Scored first	29%
18%	Leading/Losing at half-time (21.0%)	24%
18%	Losing/Leading at half-time (32.5%)	47%
4.76	Avg corners for/against	5.71
5.88	Avg corners against/for	5.88
10.64	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.12)	11.59
4.47	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.38)	4.29
82%	GF+GA over 0.5 (88.0%)	94%
76%	GF+GA over 1.5 (76.0%)	76%
65%	GF+GA over 2.5 (65.0%)	65%
24%	GF+GA over 3.5 (32.5%)	41%
24%	GF+GA over 4.5 (18.0%)	12%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (3.0%)	6%
76%	Both teams scored (76.0%)	76%
65%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (76.5%)	88%
47%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (41.0%)	35%
6%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.0%)	6%
76%	Over 7.5 total corners (79.0%)	82%
71%	Over 8.5 total corners (76.5%)	82%
59%	Over 9.5 total corners (62.0%)	65%
53%	Over 10.5 total corners (56.0%)	59%
35%	Over 11.5 total corners (35.0%)	35%
35%	Over 12.5 total corners (31.5%)	28%
28%	Over 13.5 total corners (26.0%)	24%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (3)
4 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
5 (0)	No win	12 (16)
4 (8)	No draw	0 (0)
0 (1)	No defeat	1 (3)
1(3)	1 goal scored or more	2(0)
5(2)	1 goal conceded or more	9(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(1)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(1)
1(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
1(3)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
1(0)	2 goals conceded or more	2(0)

Opening goals



6/17 (35%)	Scored first, home/away	5/17 (29%)
15/35 (43%)	Scored first, overall	11/35 (31%)