2026/05/16 11:30

1:1

AI match insights

Match Preview: MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash between a dominant home side and a mid-table challenger

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.81

PPG

1.35

2.17

Last 6 PPG

1.5

2.56

Home/away PPG

1.28

2.89

xG overall

2.81

2.93

Home/away xG overall

2.85

1.51

xG for per game

1.40

1.38

xG against per game

1.41

1.61

Home/away xG for per game

1.32

Home/away xG against per game

1.53

Last X

Home wins

(27%)

Draws

(28%)

Away wins

(45%)

2025/12/21

0:0

2024/02/17

1:0

2023/09/23

2:0

2023/04/17

2:2

2022/10/22

1:1

2022/03/05

2:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Osnabrück	37	23	8	6	62	31	31	77	2.17^0.09	1.34	58.64^3.36	47.21^16.21
2	Energie Cottbus	37	20	9	8	71	51	20	69	2.00^0.14	1.36	62.52^8.48	53.21^2.21
3	MSV Duisburg	37	19	10	8	65	48	17	67	2.17^0.36	1.36	55.71^9.29	50.88^2.88
4	Rot-Weiss Essen	37	19	10	8	75	64	11	67	1.50^-0.31	1.36	66.11^8.89	57.02^-6.98
5	Hansa Rostock	37	17	13	7	70	46	24	64	1.83^0.10	1.36	64.37^5.63	50.95^4.95
6	Verl	37	17	10	10	79	48	31	61	1.17^-0.48	1.37	65.66^13.34	44.46^-3.54
7	Alemannia Aachen	37	18	7	12	70	56	14	61	2.33^0.68	1.37	55.73^14.27	55.20^-0.80
8	1860 München	37	15	11	11	54	50	4	56	1.00^-0.51	1.37	51.89^2.11	59.48^9.48
9	Waldhof Mannheim	37	15	7	15	58	67	-9	52	1.00^-0.41	1.38	58.68^-0.68	58.85^-8.15
10	Wehen Wiesbaden	37	14	8	15	52	52	0	50	0.33^-1.02	1.38	55.37^-3.37	55.89^3.89
11	Viktoria Köln	37	15	5	17	50	52	-2	50	1.50^0.15	1.38	51.81^-1.81	52.13^0.13
12	Jahn Regensburg	37	14	7	16	54	57	-3	49	1.67^0.35	1.38	57.89^-3.89	58.00^1.00
13	Ingolstadt	37	12	10	15	60	55	5	46	1.00^-0.24	1.39	58.05^1.95	65.75^10.75
14	Stuttgart II	37	13	7	17	54	65	-11	46	0.83^-0.41	1.39	58.58^-4.58	58.83^-6.17
15	Saarbrucken	37	10	14	13	48	53	-5	44	1.33^0.14	1.39	59.19^-11.19	57.14^4.14
16	Hoffenheim II	37	12	7	18	65	69	-4	43	0.83^-0.33	1.39	61.44^3.56	60.70^-8.30
17	Havelse	37	9	8	20	56	83	-27	35	2.00^1.05	1.40	52.71^3.29	73.58^-9.42
18	Ulm	37	9	6	22	47	75	-28	33	0.83^-0.06	1.41	53.47^-6.47	59.33^-15.67
19	Erzgebirge Aue	37	6	13	18	47	68	-21	31	1.17^0.33	1.41	52.98^-5.98	63.80^-4.20
20	Schweinfurt	37	5	6	26	36	83	-47	21	0.67^0.10	1.42	51.61^-15.61	69.98^-13.02
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
18	Played	18
2.17	Avg goals for/against	1.39
1	Avg goals against/for	1.39
3.17	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.97)	2.78
94%	Scoring rate	72%
83%	Conceding rate	67%
17%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	28%
6%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
50%	Scored in both halves (39.0%)	28%
83%	Scored first	56%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (44.5%)	39%
6%	Losing/Leading at half-time (19.5%)	33%
5.44	Avg corners for/against	4.61
4	Avg corners against/for	4.28
9.44	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.16)	8.89
5.17	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.50)	5.83
94%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	94%
89%	GF+GA over 1.5 (86.0%)	83%
72%	GF+GA over 2.5 (64.0%)	56%
39%	GF+GA over 3.5 (33.5%)	28%
11%	GF+GA over 4.5 (14.0%)	17%
11%	GF+GA over 5.5 (5.5%)	0%
83%	Both teams scored (63.5%)	44%
78%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (78.0%)	78%
44%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (47.0%)	50%
17%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (11.5%)	6%
67%	Over 7.5 total corners (61.5%)	56%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (53.0%)	50%
44%	Over 9.5 total corners (41.5%)	39%
33%	Over 10.5 total corners (33.0%)	33%
28%	Over 11.5 total corners (25.0%)	22%
22%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.5%)	17%
11%	Over 13.5 total corners (14.0%)	17%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
5 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (1)	No win	0 (1)
5 (0)	No draw	7 (13)
18 (2)	No defeat	1 (0)
9(0)	1 goal scored or more	1(0)
2(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(1)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(1)
0(1)	No goal conceded	1(0)
2(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(1)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	2(0)
2(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



15/18 (83%)	Scored first, home/away	10/18 (56%)
21/37 (57%)	Scored first, overall	18/37 (49%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source11 matches29 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.09

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.64

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.55

Exp goals after