Match data

Value betting model

Grimsby Town

2026/04/11 14:00

3:2

Crewe Alexandra

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Match Preview: Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.63

PPG

1.57

2.5

Last 6 PPG

1.67

Home/away PPG

1.24

2.79

xG overall

2.95

2.85

Home/away xG overall

2.86

1.61

xG for per game

1.40

1.18

xG against per game

1.55

1.84

Home/away xG for per game

1.33

1.01

Home/away xG against per game

1.53

Last X

Home wins

(47%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(53%)

2025/10/25

3:2

2025/04/01

2:0

2024/12/14

0:2

2024/04/13

0:3

2023/12/09

2:1

2023/04/25

2:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Milton Keynes Dons	45	24	13	8	85	44	41	85	1.83^-0.06	1.36	65.58^19.42	56.29^12.29
2	Bromley	45	23	15	7	68	45	25	84	0.83^-1.04	1.36	71.52^-3.52	63.15^18.15
3	Cambridge United	45	22	15	8	66	33	33	81	1.50^-0.30	1.36	64.41^1.59	46.08^13.08
4	Salford City	45	25	5	15	61	51	10	80	2.17^0.39	1.36	73.18^-12.18	60.26^9.26
5	Notts County	45	24	7	14	73	51	22	79	1.50^-0.26	1.36	63.57^9.43	55.50^4.50
6	Grimsby Town	45	22	11	12	73	49	24	77	2.50^0.79	1.36	73.47^-0.47	55.22^6.22
7	Chesterfield	45	20	16	9	69	55	15	76	2.33^0.64	1.37	65.01^3.99	57.80^2.80
8	Swindon Town	45	22	9	14	69	57	11	75	1.00^-0.67	1.37	61.57^7.43	67.44^10.44
9	Barnet	45	20	13	12	68	52	17	73	2.67^1.05	1.37	76.55^-8.55	52.71^0.71
10	Crewe Alexandra	45	19	9	17	64	58	6	66	1.00^-0.47	1.37	62.84^1.16	71.47^13.47
11	Oldham Athletic	45	17	14	14	57	44	16	65	0.67^-0.77	1.38	69.45^-12.45	63.79^19.79
12	Walsall	45	18	11	16	55	53	0	65	0.83^-0.61	1.38	60.85^-5.85	61.49^8.49
13	Colchester United	45	17	12	16	58	48	13	63	1.50^0.10	1.38	66.34^-8.34	61.56^13.56
14	Bristol Rovers	45	19	4	22	55	64	-9	61	3.00^1.64	1.38	60.81^-5.81	61.18^-2.82
15	Fleetwood Town	45	15	15	15	56	57	-1	60	1.00^-0.33	1.38	64.94^-8.94	66.08^9.08
16	Accrington Stanley	45	14	11	20	47	55	-11	53	0.83^-0.35	1.39	60.38^-13.38	65.07^10.07
17	Cheltenham Town	45	14	10	21	52	75	-26	52	1.67^0.51	1.39	53.47^-1.47	75.30^0.30
18	Gillingham	45	12	14	19	52	72	-19	50	0.83^-0.28	1.39	66.17^-14.17	65.44^-6.56
19	Shrewsbury Town	45	13	10	22	42	68	-27	49	1.33^0.24	1.39	57.01^-15.01	63.62^-4.38
20	Tranmere Rovers	45	10	10	25	53	78	-25	40	0.67^-0.22	1.40	61.19^-8.19	72.03^-5.97
21	Newport County	45	11	7	27	46	76	-29	40	1.50^0.61	1.40	55.01^-9.01	73.19^-2.81
22	Crawley Town	45	8	15	22	44	68	-24	39	1.33^0.46	1.40	67.21^-23.21	66.00^-2.00
23	Harrogate Town	45	10	9	26	38	66	-29	39	1.50^0.63	1.40	58.32^-20.32	79.68^13.68
24	Barrow	45	9	9	27	44	76	-33	36	0.67^-0.13	1.40	55.98^-11.98	74.46^-1.54
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
21	Played	21
1.62	Avg goals for/against	1.33
0.95	Avg goals against/for	1.19
2.57	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.54)	2.52
81%	Scoring rate	86%
62%	Conceding rate	67%
38%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	14%
19%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
19%	Scored in both halves (21.5%)	24%
52%	Scored first	43%
24%	Leading/Losing at half-time (28.5%)	33%
29%	Losing/Leading at half-time (26.5%)	24%
7.57	Avg corners for/against	5.1
3.76	Avg corners against/for	4.95
11.33	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.69)	10.05
4.76	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.50)	4.24
95%	GF+GA over 0.5 (95.0%)	95%
62%	GF+GA over 1.5 (66.5%)	71%
48%	GF+GA over 2.5 (48.0%)	48%
29%	GF+GA over 3.5 (29.0%)	29%
10%	GF+GA over 4.5 (10.0%)	10%
5%	GF+GA over 5.5 (2.5%)	0%
48%	Both teams scored (52.5%)	57%
62%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (64.5%)	67%
38%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (35.5%)	33%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (9.5%)	5%
95%	Over 7.5 total corners (85.5%)	76%
81%	Over 8.5 total corners (78.5%)	76%
67%	Over 9.5 total corners (69.0%)	71%
52%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.0%)	48%
43%	Over 11.5 total corners (31.0%)	19%
33%	Over 12.5 total corners (23.5%)	14%
24%	Over 13.5 total corners (17.0%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
1 (0)	No win	1 (0)
3 (5)	No draw	2 (4)
0 (1)	No defeat	0 (1)
12(9)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	3(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(1)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
4(5)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(1)
2(3)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	3(3)

Opening goals



11/21 (52%)	Scored first, home/away	9/21 (43%)
23/40 (57%)	Scored first, overall	22/42 (52%)