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  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina Premier League of Bosnia
  2. Velež vs Sarajevo
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Velež
Velež
2026/05/21 18:30
2:3
FT
Sarajevo
Sarajevo

AI match insights

Match Preview: Velež vs Sarajevo (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A high-stakes clash in the Bosnian Premier League, with Sarajevo (3rd) visiting Velež (4th)

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Match overview

34
Matches played
34
4
Table position
3
14
W
17
9
D
8
11
L
9
9
Home/away W
6
4
Home/away D
3
4
Home/away L
8
1.5
PPG
1.74
1.83
Last 6 PPG
2.17
1.82
Home/away PPG
1.24
2.58
xG overall
2.41
2.57
Home/away xG overall
2.37
1.32
xG for per game
1.40
1.26
xG against per game
1.01
1.51
Home/away xG for per game
1.32
1.06
Home/away xG against per game
1.05

Last X

8
Home wins
(28%)
10
Draws
(34%)
11
Away wins
(38%)
2026/03/22
FK Sarajevo1:0FK Velež Mostar
2026/03/11
FK Velež Mostar4:1FK Sarajevo
2026/02/25
FK Sarajevo0:1FK Velež Mostar
2025/12/02
FK Velež Mostar0:0FK Sarajevo
2025/09/20
FK Sarajevo2:0FK Velež Mostar
2025/05/18
FK Velež Mostar2:2FK Sarajevo

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Borac Banja Luka35265474205483
2.33
-0.04
1.26
60.78
13.22
33.51
13.51
2Zrinjski35208745252068
1.50
-0.44
1.31
50.66
-5.66
35.40
10.40
3Sarajevo36198954371765
2.17
0.36
1.32
50.02
3.98
36.07
-0.93
4Velež35149123632451
1.83
0.37
1.36
45.67
-9.67
43.93
11.93
5Široki Brijeg361112133748-1145
1.33
0.08
1.38
39.89
-2.89
53.32
5.32
6Željezničar361012143437-342
0.83
-0.34
1.39
43.51
-9.51
47.61
10.61
7Radnik Bijeljina36811172745-1835
0.83
-0.14
1.41
39.85
-12.85
52.74
7.74
8Posusje35810172539-1434
0.50
-0.47
1.41
41.45
-16.45
45.50
6.50
9Sloga Doboj35710182046-2631
1.17
0.28
1.42
34.70
-14.70
47.93
1.93
10Rudar Prijedor3579193154-2330
0.67
-0.19
1.43
43.01
-12.01
53.51
-0.49
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

FK Velež Mostar
(Avg)
FK Sarajevo
17
Played
17
1
Avg goals for/against
1.06
0.53
Avg goals against/for
1.35
1.53
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(1.97)
2.41
65%
Scoring rate
65%
35%
Conceding rate
65%
65%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
35%
35%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
35%
12%
Scored in both halves
(12.0%)
12%
47%
Scored first
35%
24%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(21.0%)
18%
18%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(26.5%)
35%
5.29
Avg corners for/against
4.12
3.12
Avg corners against/for
2.94
8.41
Avg total corners (F+A)
(7.73)
7.06
4.41
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.58)
4.76
82%
GF+GA over 0.5
(85.0%)
88%
29%
GF+GA over 1.5
(47.0%)
65%
18%
GF+GA over 2.5
(32.5%)
47%
12%
GF+GA over 3.5
(15.0%)
18%
6%
GF+GA over 4.5
(9.0%)
12%
6%
GF+GA over 5.5
(9.0%)
12%
18%
Both teams scored
(29.5%)
41%
41%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(50.0%)
59%
18%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(23.5%)
29%
6%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(9.0%)
12%
53%
Over 7.5 total corners
(50.0%)
47%
41%
Over 8.5 total corners
(38.0%)
35%
41%
Over 9.5 total corners
(32.5%)
24%
18%
Over 10.5 total corners
(15.0%)
12%
12%
Over 11.5 total corners
(9.0%)
6%
6%
Over 12.5 total corners
(6.0%)
6%
6%
Over 13.5 total corners
(3.0%)
0%

Streaks

FK Velež MostarHome
(Overall)
FK Sarajevo
Away
(Overall)
3  (1)
Consecutive wins
3 (0)
0  (0)
Consecutive draws
0 (1)
0  (0)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
0  (0)
No win
0 (1)
3  (1)
No draw
3 (0)
4  (7)
No defeat
4 (2)
4(4)1 goal scored or more4(4)
2(3)1 goal conceded or more2(0)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
0(0)No goal conceded0(1)
2(2)Match total goals over 2.52(0)
0(0)Match total goals under 2.50(1)
2(2)2 goals scored or more2(0)
2(2)2 goals conceded or more2(0)

Opening goals

FK Velež Mostar
FK Sarajevo
8/17
(47%)
Scored first, home/away
6/17
(35%)
11/34
(32%)
Scored first, overall
21/34
(62%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source26 matches58 goals
FK Velež Mostar
Overall
FK Sarajevo
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
0.88
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
2.23
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.35
Exp goals after
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