Match data

Value betting model

Maribor

2026/05/23 15:30

3:0

Aluminij

AI match insights

Match Analysis: Maribor vs Aluminij (Data-Driven Insight)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.56

PPG

1.09

Last 6 PPG

0.67

1.93

Home/away PPG

1.06

3.18

xG overall

3.13

3.25

Home/away xG overall

3.06

1.71

xG for per game

1.29

1.47

xG against per game

1.84

1.82

Home/away xG for per game

1.24

1.43

Home/away xG against per game

1.82

Last X

Home wins

(63%)

Draws

(21%)

Away wins

(16%)

2026/03/20

1:1

2025/12/06

2:3

2025/09/19

2:3

2025/03/04

2:0

2024/04/05

0:2

2024/02/11

7:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Celje	34	23	5	6	85	32	53	74	2.00^-0.18	1.29	61.23^23.77	39.50^7.50
2	Koper	34	20	7	7	71	43	28	67	3.00^1.03	1.31	57.66^13.34	49.49^6.49
3	Bravo	33	18	5	10	60	50	10	59	3.00^1.21	1.20	57.75^2.25	54.13^4.13
4	Maribor	33	15	8	10	57	40	14	53	1.00^-0.56	1.22	54.71^2.29	47.19^7.19
5	Olimpija	32	15	7	10	46	38	8	52	1.67^0.04	1.35	51.83^-5.83	43.02^5.02
6	Radomlje	34	13	6	15	50	63	-13	45	1.50^0.18	1.25	43.89^6.11	59.92^-3.08
7	Aluminij	34	10	6	18	42	61	-16	36	0.67^-0.42	1.41	42.67^-0.67	60.58^-0.42
8	Mura	34	8	7	19	35	55	-20	31	1.00^0.09	1.43	50.55^-15.55	46.73^-8.27
9	NK Primorje	34	6	4	24	31	74	-43	22	0.17^-0.48	1.46	48.07^-17.07	56.26^-17.74
10	Domžale	18	3	3	12	17	38	-21	12	1.17^0.50	1.31	21.82^-4.82	33.35^-4.65
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	16
2.4	Avg goals for/against	1.25
1.13	Avg goals against/for	1.88
3.53	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.33)	3.13
100%	Scoring rate	88%
53%	Conceding rate	81%
47%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	19%
60%	Scored in both halves (36.5%)	13%
93%	Scored first	25%
80%	Leading/Losing at half-time (43.0%)	6%
7%	Losing/Leading at half-time (28.5%)	50%
5.73	Avg corners for/against	3.63
4.07	Avg corners against/for	5.75
9.8	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.59)	9.38
4.73	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.05)	5.38
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
93%	GF+GA over 1.5 (93.5%)	94%
67%	GF+GA over 2.5 (68.0%)	69%
47%	GF+GA over 3.5 (36.0%)	25%
27%	GF+GA over 4.5 (26.0%)	25%
20%	GF+GA over 5.5 (10.0%)	0%
53%	Both teams scored (61.0%)	69%
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (87.5%)	75%
47%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (42.5%)	38%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (9.5%)	6%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (74.5%)	69%
53%	Over 8.5 total corners (51.5%)	50%
40%	Over 9.5 total corners (39.0%)	38%
27%	Over 10.5 total corners (32.5%)	38%
27%	Over 11.5 total corners (23.0%)	19%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.5%)	19%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (9.5%)	6%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (3)	Consecutive defeats	5 (0)
0 (3)	No win	5 (4)
2 (6)	No draw	10 (0)
6 (0)	No defeat	0 (1)
18(2)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
0(3)	1 goal conceded or more	5(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	2(4)
2(0)	No goal conceded	0(1)
0(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
7(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(3)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



14/15 (93%)	Scored first, home/away	4/16 (25%)
20/32 (63%)	Scored first, overall	12/33 (36%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source31 matches92 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.97

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.97

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after