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  1. England Premier League
  2. Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Chelsea
Chelsea
2026/05/04 14:00
1:3
FT
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A Clash of Mid-Table Stability vs Defensive Fragility
Chelsea hosts Nottingham Forest in this Premier League encounter

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Match overview

34
Matches played
34
9
Table position
16
13
W
10
9
D
9
12
L
15
6
Home/away W
6
5
Home/away D
3
6
Home/away L
8
1.41
PPG
1.15
0.67
Last 6 PPG
1.83
1.35
Home/away PPG
1.24
2.88
xG overall
2.89
2.94
Home/away xG overall
2.83
1.57
xG for per game
1.45
1.31
xG against per game
1.44
1.71
Home/away xG for per game
1.25
1.23
Home/away xG against per game
1.58

Last X

6
Home wins
(60%)
3
Draws
(30%)
1
Away wins
(10%)
2025/10/18
Nottingham Forest FC0:3Chelsea FC
2025/05/25
Nottingham Forest FC0:1Chelsea FC
2024/10/06
Chelsea FC1:1Nottingham Forest FC
2024/05/11
Nottingham Forest FC2:3Chelsea FC
2023/09/02
Chelsea FC0:1Nottingham Forest FC
2023/05/13
Chelsea FC2:2Nottingham Forest FC

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Arsenal37257569264382
2.00
-0.22
1.32
62.55
6.45
34.96
8.96
2Manchester City37239576334378
2.33
0.22
1.32
67.86
8.14
40.80
7.80
3Manchester United371911766501668
2.17
0.33
1.34
64.68
1.32
50.16
0.16
4Aston Villa37188115448662
1.33
-0.35
1.35
54.57
-0.57
53.61
5.61
5Liverpool371781262521059
1.67
0.08
1.35
63.28
-1.28
48.75
-3.25
6AFC Bournemouth37131775753456
2.33
0.82
1.36
57.35
-0.35
54.42
1.42
7Brighton & Hove Albion371411125243953
1.67
0.24
1.36
57.07
-5.07
49.08
6.08
8Chelsea371410135750752
0.67
-0.74
1.36
57.72
-0.72
47.46
-2.54
9Brentford371410135451352
1.00
-0.41
1.36
47.53
6.47
55.86
4.86
10Sunderland371312124047-751
1.33
-0.05
1.36
44.51
-4.51
60.15
13.15
11Newcastle United37147165353049
1.17
-0.15
1.37
57.68
-4.68
52.70
-0.30
12Everton371310144749-249
0.50
-0.82
1.37
48.69
-1.69
57.13
8.13
13Fulham37147164551-649
0.83
-0.49
1.37
51.22
-6.22
51.21
0.21
14Leeds United371114124953-447
2.33
1.06
1.39
51.60
-2.60
53.86
0.86
15Crystal Palace371112144049-945
0.50
-0.72
1.37
48.81
-8.81
51.32
2.32
16Nottingham Forest371110164750-343
1.83
0.67
1.37
53.09
-6.09
55.96
5.96
17Tottenham Hotspur37911174757-1038
1.33
0.30
1.38
48.80
-1.80
51.86
-5.14
18West Ham United3799194365-2236
1.17
0.20
1.39
45.04
-2.04
64.20
-0.80
19Burnley3749243774-3721
0.17
-0.40
1.41
39.68
-2.68
69.45
-4.55
20Wolverhampton Wanderers37310242667-4119
0.33
-0.18
1.41
41.21
-15.21
59.98
-7.02
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

Chelsea FC
(Avg)
Nottingham Forest FC
17
Played
17
1.35
Avg goals for/against
1.35
1.24
Avg goals against/for
1.41
2.59
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.67)
2.76
76%
Scoring rate
71%
71%
Conceding rate
71%
29%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
29%
24%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
29%
24%
Scored in both halves
(24.0%)
24%
65%
Scored first
35%
47%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(35.5%)
24%
18%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(38.5%)
59%
6.88
Avg corners for/against
4.53
4.06
Avg corners against/for
5.41
10.94
Avg total corners (F+A)
(10.44)
9.94
4.88
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.41)
3.94
94%
GF+GA over 0.5
(97.0%)
100%
82%
GF+GA over 1.5
(85.0%)
88%
53%
GF+GA over 2.5
(56.0%)
59%
24%
GF+GA over 3.5
(24.0%)
24%
6%
GF+GA over 4.5
(6.0%)
6%
0%
GF+GA over 5.5
(0.0%)
0%
53%
Both teams scored
(47.0%)
41%
76%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(82.0%)
88%
24%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(29.5%)
35%
6%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(9.0%)
12%
88%
Over 7.5 total corners
(85.0%)
82%
82%
Over 8.5 total corners
(76.5%)
71%
71%
Over 9.5 total corners
(59.0%)
47%
59%
Over 10.5 total corners
(50.0%)
41%
47%
Over 11.5 total corners
(35.5%)
24%
28%
Over 12.5 total corners
(23.0%)
18%
18%
Over 13.5 total corners
(18.0%)
18%

Streaks

Chelsea FCHome
(Overall)
Nottingham Forest FC
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
2 (2)
0  (0)
Consecutive draws
0 (0)
3  (5)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
5  (5)
No win
0 (0)
3  (7)
No draw
2 (2)
0  (0)
No defeat
3 (6)
2(3)1 goal scored or more10(7)
8(15)1 goal conceded or more2(3)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
0(0)No goal conceded0(0)
2(1)Match total goals over 2.57(1)
0(0)Match total goals under 2.50(0)
1(1)2 goals scored or more5(1)
0(0)2 goals conceded or more1(1)

Opening goals

Chelsea FC
Nottingham Forest FC
11/17
(65%)
Scored first, home/away
6/17
(35%)
17/34
(50%)
Scored first, overall
9/34
(26%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source10 matches28 goals
Chelsea FC
Overall
Nottingham Forest FC
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
2
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
2.8
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
0.8
Exp goals after
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