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  1. England Premier League
  2. Burnley vs Aston Villa
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Burnley
Burnley
2026/05/10 13:00
2:2
FT
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Burnley vs Aston Villa (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash between a struggling side and a European contender

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Match overview

35
Matches played
35
19
Table position
5
4
W
17
8
D
7
23
L
11
2
Home/away W
6
5
Home/away D
5
10
Home/away L
6
0.57
PPG
1.66
0.17
Last 6 PPG
1.33
0.65
Home/away PPG
1.35
2.95
xG overall
2.89
3.03
Home/away xG overall
2.89
1.07
xG for per game
1.45
1.88
xG against per game
1.44
1.17
Home/away xG for per game
1.32
1.86
Home/away xG against per game
1.57

Last X

2
Home wins
(14%)
5
Draws
(36%)
7
Away wins
(50%)
2025/10/05
Aston Villa FC2:1Burnley FC
2023/12/30
Aston Villa FC3:2Burnley FC
2023/08/27
Burnley FC1:3Aston Villa FC
2022/05/19
Aston Villa FC1:1Burnley FC
2022/05/07
Burnley FC1:3Aston Villa FC
2021/01/27
Burnley FC3:2Aston Villa FC

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Arsenal37257569264382
2.00
-0.22
1.32
62.55
6.45
34.96
8.96
2Manchester City37239576334378
2.33
0.22
1.32
67.86
8.14
40.80
7.80
3Manchester United371911766501668
2.17
0.33
1.34
64.68
1.32
50.16
0.16
4Aston Villa37188115448662
1.33
-0.35
1.35
54.57
-0.57
53.61
5.61
5Liverpool371781262521059
1.67
0.08
1.35
63.28
-1.28
48.75
-3.25
6AFC Bournemouth37131775753456
2.33
0.82
1.36
57.35
-0.35
54.42
1.42
7Brighton & Hove Albion371411125243953
1.67
0.24
1.36
57.07
-5.07
49.08
6.08
8Chelsea371410135750752
0.67
-0.74
1.36
57.72
-0.72
47.46
-2.54
9Brentford371410135451352
1.00
-0.41
1.36
47.53
6.47
55.86
4.86
10Sunderland371312124047-751
1.33
-0.05
1.36
44.51
-4.51
60.15
13.15
11Newcastle United37147165353049
1.17
-0.15
1.37
57.68
-4.68
52.70
-0.30
12Everton371310144749-249
0.50
-0.82
1.37
48.69
-1.69
57.13
8.13
13Fulham37147164551-649
0.83
-0.49
1.37
51.22
-6.22
51.21
0.21
14Leeds United371114124953-447
2.33
1.06
1.39
51.60
-2.60
53.86
0.86
15Crystal Palace371112144049-945
0.50
-0.72
1.37
48.81
-8.81
51.32
2.32
16Nottingham Forest371110164750-343
1.83
0.67
1.37
53.09
-6.09
55.96
5.96
17Tottenham Hotspur37911174757-1038
1.33
0.30
1.38
48.80
-1.80
51.86
-5.14
18West Ham United3799194365-2236
1.17
0.20
1.39
45.04
-2.04
64.20
-0.80
19Burnley3749243774-3721
0.17
-0.40
1.41
39.68
-2.68
69.45
-4.55
20Wolverhampton Wanderers37310242667-4119
0.33
-0.18
1.41
41.21
-15.21
59.98
-7.02
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

Burnley FC
(Avg)
Aston Villa FC
17
Played
17
0.88
Avg goals for/against
1.18
1.53
Avg goals against/for
1.41
2.41
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.50)
2.59
47%
Scoring rate
82%
76%
Conceding rate
65%
24%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
18%
53%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
35%
28%
Scored in both halves
(26.0%)
24%
24%
Scored first
29%
12%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(12.0%)
12%
53%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(44.0%)
35%
3.65
Avg corners for/against
4.82
5.71
Avg corners against/for
4.82
9.36
Avg total corners (F+A)
(9.50)
9.64
2.35
Avg total cards (F+A)
(3.32)
4.29
88%
GF+GA over 0.5
(88.0%)
88%
71%
GF+GA over 1.5
(73.5%)
76%
29%
GF+GA over 2.5
(35.0%)
41%
29%
GF+GA over 3.5
(26.5%)
24%
12%
GF+GA over 4.5
(15.0%)
18%
6%
GF+GA over 5.5
(6.0%)
6%
35%
Both teams scored
(47.0%)
59%
76%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(70.5%)
65%
41%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(32.5%)
24%
18%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(15.0%)
12%
59%
Over 7.5 total corners
(65.0%)
71%
53%
Over 8.5 total corners
(56.0%)
59%
47%
Over 9.5 total corners
(53.0%)
59%
35%
Over 10.5 total corners
(44.0%)
53%
28%
Over 11.5 total corners
(28.0%)
28%
24%
Over 12.5 total corners
(21.0%)
18%
18%
Over 13.5 total corners
(12.0%)
6%

Streaks

Burnley FCHome
(Overall)
Aston Villa FC
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
0 (0)
0  (0)
Consecutive draws
0 (0)
2  (5)
Consecutive defeats
1 (2)
13  (9)
No win
5 (2)
2  (5)
No draw
1 (3)
0  (0)
No defeat
0 (0)
1(0)1 goal scored or more1(3)
3(7)1 goal conceded or more6(6)
0(1)No goal scored0(0)
0(0)No goal conceded0(0)
1(0)Match total goals over 2.51(3)
0(1)Match total goals under 2.50(0)
1(0)2 goals scored or more1(2)
1(0)2 goals conceded or more1(3)

Opening goals

Burnley FC
Aston Villa FC
4/17
(24%)
Scored first, home/away
5/17
(29%)
10/35
(29%)
Scored first, overall
15/35
(43%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source14 matches45 goals
Burnley FC
Overall
Aston Villa FC
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.29
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
3.21
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.93
Exp goals after
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