Match data

Value betting model

Benfica

2026/04/25 17:00

4:1

Moreirense FC

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Soccer Match Preview: Benfica vs Moreirense FC (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

2.4

PPG

1.3

Last 6 PPG

1.33

2.33

Home/away PPG

1.07

2.96

xG overall

2.48

3.00

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.96

xG for per game

0.99

1.00

xG against per game

1.49

2.09

Home/away xG for per game

1.00

0.91

Home/away xG against per game

1.57

Last X

Home wins

(73%)

Draws

(23%)

Away wins

(4%)

2025/12/14

0:4

2025/02/08

3:2

2024/08/30

1:1

2024/04/14

3:0

2023/12/03

0:0

2022/12/17

1:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	47	88	2.50^-0.08	1.29	54.68^11.32	33.10^15.10
2	Sporting CP	33	24	7	2	86	24	62	79	1.83^-0.56	1.31	66.72^19.28	33.11^9.11
3	Benfica	33	22	11	0	71	24	47	77	2.00^-0.33	1.31	64.18^6.82	33.36^9.36
4	Sporting Braga	33	16	10	7	62	34	28	58	1.50^-0.26	1.34	45.87^16.13	35.21^1.21
5	Famalicão	33	14	11	8	41	29	12	53	1.33^-0.28	1.35	47.19^-6.19	40.40^11.40
6	Gil Vicente	33	13	11	9	47	35	12	50	1.33^-0.19	1.36	51.01^-4.01	38.51^3.51
7	Moreirense FC	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	1.33^0.06	1.37	33.24^3.76	49.04^0.04
8	Vitória Guimarães	33	12	6	15	39	49	-10	42	1.67^0.40	1.37	47.55^-8.55	42.83^-6.17
9	GD Estoril Praia	33	10	9	14	53	54	-1	39	0.33^-0.85	1.38	44.05^8.95	44.55^-9.45
10	Alverca	33	10	9	14	35	51	-16	39	1.67^0.49	1.38	38.01^-3.01	51.68^0.68
11	FC Arouca	33	11	6	16	44	63	-19	39	1.67^0.49	1.38	38.23^5.77	46.65^-16.35
12	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-8	36	1.33^0.24	1.38	41.67^-9.67	38.25^-2.75
13	Rio Ave FC	33	8	11	14	34	56	-22	35	0.83^-0.23	1.38	39.00^-5.00	56.88^0.88
14	CD Nacional	33	8	7	18	35	45	-10	31	1.50^0.56	1.39	45.76^-10.76	51.90^6.90
15	Estrela Amadora	33	6	11	16	36	54	-18	29	0.17^-0.71	1.39	38.38^-2.38	50.21^-3.79
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30	56	-26	29	0.67^-0.21	1.39	32.07^-2.07	50.39^-5.61
17	CD Tondela	33	6	10	17	26	52	-26	28	1.33^0.48	1.40	38.60^-12.60	51.33^-0.67
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	1.67^1.06	1.41	39.00^-12.00	57.81^-9.19
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	15
2.33	Avg goals for/against	1.07
0.67	Avg goals against/for	1.47
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.76)	2.53
100%	Scoring rate	73%
53%	Conceding rate	67%
47%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	27%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
47%	Scored in both halves (37.0%)	27%
80%	Scored first	47%
67%	Leading/Losing at half-time (47.0%)	27%
7%	Losing/Leading at half-time (13.5%)	20%
7.33	Avg corners for/against	3.07
2.67	Avg corners against/for	4.33
10	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.70)	7.4
4.47	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.87)	5.27
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (96.5%)	93%
93%	GF+GA over 1.5 (86.5%)	80%
67%	GF+GA over 2.5 (57.0%)	47%
33%	GF+GA over 3.5 (23.0%)	13%
7%	GF+GA over 4.5 (10.0%)	13%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (3.5%)	7%
53%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	47%
87%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (77.0%)	67%
60%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (46.5%)	33%
27%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.5%)	0%
73%	Over 7.5 total corners (60.0%)	47%
67%	Over 8.5 total corners (47.0%)	27%
60%	Over 9.5 total corners (43.5%)	27%
33%	Over 10.5 total corners (20.0%)	7%
27%	Over 11.5 total corners (17.0%)	7%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (13.5%)	7%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (2)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	3 (0)
2 (2)	No draw	0 (1)
15 (30)	No defeat	1 (2)
17(13)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
2(4)	1 goal conceded or more	8(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(2)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(1)
2(4)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
9(5)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
1(2)	2 goals conceded or more	2(0)

Opening goals



12/15 (80%)	Scored first, home/away	7/15 (47%)
23/30 (77%)	Scored first, overall	15/30 (50%)