Match data

Value betting model

Bayer Leverkusen

2026/05/16 13:30

1:1

Hamburger SV

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Match Preview: Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.76

PPG

1.12

Last 6 PPG

1.17

1.88

Home/away PPG

0.81

3.14

xG overall

2.95

3.22

Home/away xG overall

3.04

1.67

xG for per game

1.33

1.47

xG against per game

1.62

2.01

Home/away xG for per game

1.21

Home/away xG against per game

1.83

Last X

Home wins

(44%)

Draws

(28%)

Away wins

(28%)

2026/03/04

0:1

2018/02/17

1:2

2017/09/24

3:0

2017/02/03

1:0

2016/09/10

3:1

2016/03/13

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Bayern München	33	27	5	1	117	35	82	86	2.67^0.06	1.30	76.71^40.29	37.47^2.47
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	21	7	5	68	34	34	70	1.50^-0.62	1.33	51.48^16.52	40.27^6.27
3	RB Leipzig	33	20	5	8	65	43	22	65	2.50^0.53	1.34	58.90^6.10	44.41^1.41
4	Stuttgart	33	18	7	8	69	47	22	61	1.33^-0.52	1.35	58.82^10.18	47.31^0.31
5	Hoffenheim	33	18	7	8	65	48	17	61	1.83^-0.02	1.35	54.54^10.46	45.76^-2.24
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	17	7	9	67	46	21	58	2.00^0.24	1.35	55.19^11.81	48.46^2.46
7	Freiburg	33	12	8	13	47	56	-9	44	1.17^-0.16	1.38	45.12^1.88	49.62^-6.38
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	11	10	12	59	63	-4	43	0.83^-0.47	1.38	46.10^12.90	47.47^-15.53
9	Augsburg	33	12	7	14	45	57	-12	43	2.00^0.70	1.38	48.07^-3.07	53.76^-3.24
10	Mainz 05	33	9	10	14	42	53	-11	37	1.17^0.05	1.39	46.44^-4.44	52.16^-0.84
11	Hamburger SV	33	9	10	14	39	53	-14	37	1.17^0.05	1.39	43.91^-4.91	53.62^0.62
12	Union Berlin	33	9	9	15	40	58	-18	36	0.83^-0.26	1.39	45.09^-5.09	48.31^-9.69
13	Borussia M'gladbach	33	8	11	14	38	53	-15	35	1.00^-0.06	1.40	42.53^-4.53	55.26^2.26
14	Köln	33	7	11	15	48	58	-10	32	1.00^0.03	1.40	49.94^-1.94	50.18^-7.82
15	Werder Bremen	33	8	8	17	37	58	-21	32	0.67^-0.30	1.40	48.12^-11.12	51.82^-6.18
16	Wolfsburg	33	6	8	19	42	68	-26	26	0.83^0.04	1.41	44.22^-2.22	63.12^-4.88
17	St. Pauli	33	6	8	19	28	57	-29	26	0.33^-0.46	1.41	39.46^-11.46	48.90^-8.10
18	Heidenheim	33	6	8	19	41	70	-29	26	1.83^1.04	1.41	40.85^0.15	57.59^-12.41
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
16	Played	16
2.31	Avg goals for/against	0.88
1.13	Avg goals against/for	1.94
3.44	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.13)	2.81
100%	Scoring rate	75%
63%	Conceding rate	63%
38%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	25%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	38%
44%	Scored in both halves (28.5%)	13%
81%	Scored first	19%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (31.5%)	13%
19%	Losing/Leading at half-time (28.5%)	38%
6.63	Avg corners for/against	3.63
3.31	Avg corners against/for	5.81
9.94	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.69)	9.44
4.69	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.91)	5.13
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (90.5%)	81%
94%	GF+GA over 1.5 (84.5%)	75%
56%	GF+GA over 2.5 (59.5%)	63%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (38.0%)	38%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (25.0%)	25%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	0%
63%	Both teams scored (59.5%)	56%
81%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (72.0%)	63%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (44.0%)	38%
19%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.5%)	6%
81%	Over 7.5 total corners (78.0%)	75%
63%	Over 8.5 total corners (59.5%)	56%
63%	Over 9.5 total corners (53.5%)	44%
44%	Over 10.5 total corners (34.5%)	25%
31%	Over 11.5 total corners (28.0%)	25%
19%	Over 12.5 total corners (22.0%)	25%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (13.0%)	13%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (2)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (1)	No win	0 (0)
3 (6)	No draw	5 (5)
1 (0)	No defeat	1 (2)
16(11)	1 goal scored or more	2(4)
5(4)	1 goal conceded or more	6(13)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
3(4)	Match total goals over 2.5	5(5)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(2)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



13/16 (81%)	Scored first, home/away	3/16 (19%)
24/33 (73%)	Scored first, overall	11/33 (33%)