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  1. Germany Bundesliga
  2. Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2026/04/25 13:30
3:4
FT
Bayern München
Bayern München

AI match insights

Match Preview: Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munchen (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: The league leaders visit a mid-table Mainz side

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Match overview

30
Matches played
30
10
Table position
1
8
W
25
10
D
4
12
L
1
4
Home/away W
12
5
Home/away D
3
6
Home/away L
0
1.13
PPG
2.63
1.17
Last 6 PPG
2.67
1.13
Home/away PPG
2.6
2.94
xG overall
3.38
2.82
Home/away xG overall
3.30
1.36
xG for per game
2.32
1.58
xG against per game
1.06
1.50
Home/away xG for per game
2.15
1.32
Home/away xG against per game
1.15

Last X

8
Home wins
(22%)
3
Draws
(8%)
26
Away wins
(70%)
2025/12/14
FC Bayern München2:21. FSV Mainz 05
2025/04/26
FC Bayern München3:01. FSV Mainz 05
2024/12/14
1. FSV Mainz 052:1FC Bayern München
2024/10/30
1. FSV Mainz 050:4FC Bayern München
2024/03/09
FC Bayern München8:11. FSV Mainz 05
2023/10/21
1. FSV Mainz 051:3FC Bayern München

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Bayern München332751117358286
2.67
0.06
1.30
76.71
40.29
37.47
2.47
2Borussia Dortmund33217568343470
1.50
-0.62
1.33
51.48
16.52
40.27
6.27
3RB Leipzig33205865432265
2.50
0.53
1.34
58.90
6.10
44.41
1.41
4Stuttgart33187869472261
1.33
-0.52
1.35
58.82
10.18
47.31
0.31
5Hoffenheim33187865481761
1.83
-0.02
1.35
54.54
10.46
45.76
-2.24
6Bayer Leverkusen33177967462158
2.00
0.24
1.35
55.19
11.81
48.46
2.46
7Freiburg33128134756-944
1.17
-0.16
1.38
45.12
1.88
49.62
-6.38
8Eintracht Frankfurt331110125963-443
0.83
-0.47
1.38
46.10
12.90
47.47
-15.53
9Augsburg33127144557-1243
2.00
0.70
1.38
48.07
-3.07
53.76
-3.24
10Mainz 0533910144253-1137
1.17
0.05
1.39
46.44
-4.44
52.16
-0.84
11Hamburger SV33910143953-1437
1.17
0.05
1.39
43.91
-4.91
53.62
0.62
12Union Berlin3399154058-1836
0.83
-0.26
1.39
45.09
-5.09
48.31
-9.69
13Borussia M'gladbach33811143853-1535
1.00
-0.06
1.40
42.53
-4.53
55.26
2.26
14Köln33711154858-1032
1.00
0.03
1.40
49.94
-1.94
50.18
-7.82
15Werder Bremen3388173758-2132
0.67
-0.30
1.40
48.12
-11.12
51.82
-6.18
16Wolfsburg3368194268-2626
0.83
0.04
1.41
44.22
-2.22
63.12
-4.88
17St. Pauli3368192857-2926
0.33
-0.46
1.41
39.46
-11.46
48.90
-8.10
18Heidenheim3368194170-2926
1.83
1.04
1.41
40.85
0.15
57.59
-12.41
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

1. FSV Mainz 05
(Avg)
FC Bayern München
15
Played
15
1.13
Avg goals for/against
3.27
1.2
Avg goals against/for
0.93
2.33
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(3.27)
4.2
60%
Scoring rate
60%
87%
Conceding rate
100%
13%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
40%
40%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
0%
33%
Scored in both halves
(50.0%)
67%
47%
Scored first
53%
33%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(40.0%)
47%
33%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(26.5%)
20%
6.27
Avg corners for/against
5.27
3.47
Avg corners against/for
3.8
9.74
Avg total corners (F+A)
(9.41)
9.07
4.07
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.24)
4.4
93%
GF+GA over 0.5
(96.5%)
100%
67%
GF+GA over 1.5
(83.5%)
100%
33%
GF+GA over 2.5
(63.0%)
93%
20%
GF+GA over 3.5
(46.5%)
73%
7%
GF+GA over 4.5
(27.0%)
47%
7%
GF+GA over 5.5
(7.0%)
7%
53%
Both teams scored
(56.5%)
60%
73%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(80.0%)
87%
20%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(33.5%)
47%
7%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(3.5%)
0%
80%
Over 7.5 total corners
(66.5%)
53%
67%
Over 8.5 total corners
(60.0%)
53%
60%
Over 9.5 total corners
(53.5%)
47%
47%
Over 10.5 total corners
(40.0%)
33%
27%
Over 11.5 total corners
(27.0%)
27%
20%
Over 12.5 total corners
(16.5%)
13%
20%
Over 13.5 total corners
(13.5%)
7%

Streaks

1. FSV Mainz 05Home
(Overall)
FC Bayern München
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
2 (4)
0  (1)
Consecutive draws
0 (0)
1  (0)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
1  (2)
No win
0 (0)
2  (0)
No draw
2 (4)
0  (1)
No defeat
15 (11)
2(4)1 goal scored or more17(34)
6(7)1 goal conceded or more0(0)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
0(0)No goal conceded1(1)
2(3)Match total goals over 2.50(0)
0(0)Match total goals under 2.51(1)
0(0)2 goals scored or more0(0)
2(1)2 goals conceded or more0(0)

Opening goals

1. FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
7/15
(47%)
Scored first, home/away
8/15
(53%)
15/30
(50%)
Scored first, overall
20/30
(67%)
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