Match data

Value betting model

Greuther Fürth

2026/05/17 13:30

3:0

Fortuna Düsseldorf

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Match Preview: Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.03

PPG

1.12

0.83

Last 6 PPG

1.25

Home/away PPG

0.81

2.97

xG overall

2.96

2.88

Home/away xG overall

3.02

1.30

xG for per game

1.41

1.67

xG against per game

1.55

1.21

Home/away xG for per game

1.38

1.67

Home/away xG against per game

1.64

Last X

Home wins

(36%)

Draws

(28%)

Away wins

(36%)

2025/12/20

2:1

2025/02/28

1:2

2024/09/27

1:2

2024/04/20

1:0

2023/11/12

1:0

2023/02/18

2:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Schalke 04	33	20	7	6	49	31	18	67	2.50^0.47	1.34	53.08^-4.08	37.03^6.03
2	Elversberg	33	17	8	8	61	39	22	59	1.33^-0.46	1.35	55.63^5.37	41.54^2.54
3	Hannover 96	33	16	11	6	57	41	16	59	1.67^-0.12	1.35	52.98^4.02	43.98^2.98
4	Paderborn	33	17	8	8	57	45	12	59	1.33^-0.46	1.35	56.58^0.42	44.31^-0.69
5	Darmstadt 98	33	13	13	7	57	43	14	52	0.33^-1.25	1.36	50.03^6.97	54.66^11.66
6	Hertha BSC	33	14	9	10	46	38	8	51	1.17^-0.38	1.37	47.53^-1.53	49.39^11.39
7	Kaiserslautern	33	15	4	14	51	47	4	49	1.50^0.02	1.37	47.56^3.44	51.72^4.72
8	Nürnberg	33	12	9	12	44	42	2	45	1.50^0.14	1.38	48.26^-4.26	47.33^5.33
9	Karlsruher SC	33	12	8	13	52	62	-10	44	1.17^-0.16	1.38	44.28^7.72	57.46^-4.54
10	Bochum	33	10	11	12	47	46	1	41	1.33^0.09	1.38	50.82^-3.82	48.92^2.92
11	Holstein Kiel	33	11	8	14	43	46	-3	41	2.17^0.93	1.38	43.47^-0.47	52.03^6.03
12	Magdeburg	33	12	3	18	52	57	-5	39	2.00^0.82	1.39	55.52^-3.52	51.31^-5.69
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	10	8	15	52	52	0	38	1.50^0.35	1.39	47.56^4.44	49.92^-2.08
14	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	11	4	18	33	50	-17	37	1.00^-0.12	1.39	46.60^-13.60	51.10^1.10
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	10	7	16	36	53	-17	37	1.33^0.21	1.39	45.08^-9.08	48.03^-4.97
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	9	9	15	47	50	-3	36	1.33^0.24	1.39	53.00^-6.00	46.27^-3.73
17	Greuther Fürth	33	9	7	17	46	68	-22	34	0.83^-0.20	1.40	42.97^3.03	54.97^-13.03
18	Preußen Münster	33	6	12	15	38	58	-20	30	0.67^-0.24	1.40	42.83^-4.83	53.82^-4.18
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
16	Played	16
1.44	Avg goals for/against	0.69
1.94	Avg goals against/for	1.5
3.38	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.79)	2.19
69%	Scoring rate	88%
81%	Conceding rate	56%
19%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
31%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	44%
44%	Scored in both halves (22.0%)	0%
44%	Scored first	31%
19%	Leading/Losing at half-time (19.0%)	19%
38%	Losing/Leading at half-time (34.5%)	31%
4.25	Avg corners for/against	4.5
5.81	Avg corners against/for	5.56
10.06	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.06)	10.06
4.75	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.75)	4.75
94%	GF+GA over 0.5 (97.0%)	100%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (72.0%)	56%
56%	GF+GA over 2.5 (50.0%)	44%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (22.0%)	6%
31%	GF+GA over 4.5 (18.5%)	6%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (9.5%)	6%
56%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	44%
81%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (72.0%)	63%
56%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (40.5%)	25%
25%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.5%)	0%
88%	Over 7.5 total corners (78.5%)	69%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (65.5%)	56%
44%	Over 9.5 total corners (47.0%)	50%
38%	Over 10.5 total corners (41.0%)	44%
25%	Over 11.5 total corners (31.5%)	38%
19%	Over 12.5 total corners (28.5%)	38%
19%	Over 13.5 total corners (22.0%)	25%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
1 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	4 (0)
1 (3)	No win	4 (0)
0 (1)	No draw	6 (11)
2 (0)	No defeat	0 (1)
2(4)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
3(4)	1 goal conceded or more	4(8)
0(0)	No goal scored	4(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(1)
1(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	2(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



7/16 (44%)	Scored first, home/away	5/16 (31%)
13/33 (39%)	Scored first, overall	12/33 (36%)