Match data

Value betting model

Elversberg

2026/05/03 11:30

5:1

Paderborn

AI match insights

Match Preview: Elversberg vs Paderborn (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A high-stakes clash in the 2

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.81

PPG

1.87

1.33

Last 6 PPG

1.33

2.07

Home/away PPG

1.73

2.97

xG overall

3.08

2.97

Home/away xG overall

2.84

1.71

xG for per game

1.71

1.26

xG against per game

1.37

1.84

Home/away xG for per game

1.50

1.13

Home/away xG against per game

1.34

Last X

Home wins

(40%)

Draws

(20%)

Away wins

(40%)

2025/12/06

1:2

2025/04/26

1:1

2024/11/30

1:3

2024/04/27

3:1

2023/11/25

4:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Schalke 04	33	20	7	6	49	31	18	67	2.50^0.47	1.34	53.08^-4.08	37.03^6.03
2	Elversberg	33	17	8	8	61	39	22	59	1.33^-0.46	1.35	55.63^5.37	41.54^2.54
3	Hannover 96	33	16	11	6	57	41	16	59	1.67^-0.12	1.35	52.98^4.02	43.98^2.98
4	Paderborn	33	17	8	8	57	45	12	59	1.33^-0.46	1.35	56.58^0.42	44.31^-0.69
5	Darmstadt 98	33	13	13	7	57	43	14	52	0.33^-1.25	1.36	50.03^6.97	54.66^11.66
6	Hertha BSC	33	14	9	10	46	38	8	51	1.17^-0.38	1.37	47.53^-1.53	49.39^11.39
7	Kaiserslautern	33	15	4	14	51	47	4	49	1.50^0.02	1.37	47.56^3.44	51.72^4.72
8	Nürnberg	33	12	9	12	44	42	2	45	1.50^0.14	1.38	48.26^-4.26	47.33^5.33
9	Karlsruher SC	33	12	8	13	52	62	-10	44	1.17^-0.16	1.38	44.28^7.72	57.46^-4.54
10	Bochum	33	10	11	12	47	46	1	41	1.33^0.09	1.38	50.82^-3.82	48.92^2.92
11	Holstein Kiel	33	11	8	14	43	46	-3	41	2.17^0.93	1.38	43.47^-0.47	52.03^6.03
12	Magdeburg	33	12	3	18	52	57	-5	39	2.00^0.82	1.39	55.52^-3.52	51.31^-5.69
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	10	8	15	52	52	0	38	1.50^0.35	1.39	47.56^4.44	49.92^-2.08
14	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	11	4	18	33	50	-17	37	1.00^-0.12	1.39	46.60^-13.60	51.10^1.10
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	10	7	16	36	53	-17	37	1.33^0.21	1.39	45.08^-9.08	48.03^-4.97
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	9	9	15	47	50	-3	36	1.33^0.24	1.39	53.00^-6.00	46.27^-3.73
17	Greuther Fürth	33	9	7	17	46	68	-22	34	0.83^-0.20	1.40	42.97^3.03	54.97^-13.03
18	Preußen Münster	33	6	12	15	38	58	-20	30	0.67^-0.24	1.40	42.83^-4.83	53.82^-4.18
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	15
1.8	Avg goals for/against	1.4
0.87	Avg goals against/for	0.87
2.67	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.47)	2.27
87%	Scoring rate	60%
53%	Conceding rate	80%
47%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	40%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	20%
47%	Scored in both halves (37.0%)	27%
73%	Scored first	67%
33%	Leading/Losing at half-time (40.0%)	47%
20%	Losing/Leading at half-time (16.5%)	13%
6.47	Avg corners for/against	4.27
3.67	Avg corners against/for	4.47
10.14	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.44)	8.74
3.2	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.13)	5.07
93%	GF+GA over 0.5 (90.0%)	87%
67%	GF+GA over 1.5 (73.5%)	80%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (53.5%)	47%
33%	GF+GA over 3.5 (23.0%)	13%
7%	GF+GA over 4.5 (3.5%)	0%
7%	GF+GA over 5.5 (3.5%)	0%
47%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	53%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (70.0%)	73%
27%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (20.0%)	13%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	0%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (73.5%)	67%
80%	Over 8.5 total corners (60.0%)	40%
67%	Over 9.5 total corners (53.5%)	40%
53%	Over 10.5 total corners (40.0%)	27%
40%	Over 11.5 total corners (30.0%)	20%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (13.5%)	7%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (10.0%)	7%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (1)	No win	1 (2)
6 (0)	No draw	0 (1)
1 (2)	No defeat	5 (0)
6(7)	1 goal scored or more	5(11)
1(3)	1 goal conceded or more	2(5)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
4(5)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(3)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	1(3)

Opening goals



11/15 (73%)	Scored first, home/away	10/15 (67%)
19/31 (61%)	Scored first, overall	18/31 (58%)