Match data

Value betting model

Bendel Insurance

2026/05/03 15:00

1:0

Katsina United

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Match Preview: Bendel Insurance vs Katsina United (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.49

PPG

1.41

1.67

Last 6 PPG

1.67

Home/away PPG

0.69

2.84

xG overall

2.71

2.81

Home/away xG overall

2.75

1.53

xG for per game

1.08

1.31

xG against per game

1.63

1.77

Home/away xG for per game

0.96

1.04

Home/away xG against per game

1.79

Last X

Home wins

(57%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(43%)

2025/12/08

0:1

2025/02/03

1:0

2024/09/15

2:1

2024/06/01

2:0

2023/12/16

1:0

2019/05/12

2:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Enugu Rangers	37	18	11	8	45	26	19	65	1.83^0.07	1.36	27.93^17.07	26.98^0.98
2	Rivers United	37	18	10	9	41	31	10	64	2.00^0.27	1.36	40.03^0.97	29.38^-1.62
3	Shooting Stars	37	18	6	13	41	39	2	60	2.17^0.55	1.36	29.53^11.47	26.61^-12.39
4	Ikorodu City	37	16	10	11	42	37	5	58	1.50^-0.07	1.37	34.88^7.12	30.76^-6.24
5	Nasarawa United	37	16	8	13	37	31	6	56	1.00^-0.51	1.37	43.79^-6.79	36.10^5.10
6	Bendel Insurance	37	14	13	10	43	37	6	55	1.67^0.18	1.37	36.01^6.99	31.57^-5.43
7	Abia Warriors	37	16	7	14	30	32	-2	55	1.00^-0.49	1.37	26.80^3.20	25.05^-6.95
8	Katsina United	36	14	9	13	32	32	0	51	1.67^0.25	1.37	14.05^17.95	21.21^-10.79
9	Kano Pillars	37	15	6	16	37	38	-1	51	1.50^0.12	1.38	15.10^21.90	16.10^-21.90
10	Kwara United	37	13	11	13	35	32	3	50	2.33^0.98	1.38	19.75^15.25	27.93^-4.07
11	Barau	37	12	13	12	31	30	1	49	1.33^0.01	1.38	24.65^6.35	24.85^-5.15
12	Plateau United	37	14	5	18	38	40	-2	47	0.83^-0.44	1.38	40.20^-2.20	37.91^-2.09
13	El Kanemi Warriors	37	13	8	16	30	43	-13	47	0.83^-0.44	1.38	11.83^18.17	19.24^-23.76
14	Enyimba	37	12	10	15	41	42	-1	46	1.67^0.43	1.38	29.28^11.72	29.81^-12.19
15	Kun Khalifat	37	12	10	15	39	42	-3	46	2.17^0.93	1.38	24.06^14.94	25.42^-16.58
16	Remo Stars	37	14	4	19	41	46	-5	46	1.67^0.43	1.38	38.27^2.73	32.77^-13.23
17	Warri Wolves	37	12	10	15	34	40	-6	46	1.00^-0.24	1.38	28.23^5.77	38.29^-1.71
18	Niger Tornadoes	37	12	9	16	36	36	0	45	1.00^-0.22	1.38	42.38^-6.38	43.47^7.47
19	Bayelsa United	37	10	10	17	33	42	-9	40	0.50^-0.58	1.39	33.62^-0.62	40.45^-1.55
20	Wikki Tourist	36	9	12	15	31	41	-10	39	0.67^-0.41	1.39	28.18^2.82	24.68^-16.32
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	16
1.59	Avg goals for/against	0.38
0.71	Avg goals against/for	1.19
2.29	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (1.93)	1.56
82%	Scoring rate	81%
53%	Conceding rate	31%
47%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	19%
18%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	69%
35%	Scored in both halves (20.5%)	6%
71%	Scored first	25%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (21.0%)	13%
6%	Losing/Leading at half-time (12.5%)	19%
6.36	Avg corners for/against	1.89
2.64	Avg corners against/for	5.44
9	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.16)	7.33
1.38	Avg total cards (F+A) (1.12)	0.86
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (88.0%)	88%
71%	GF+GA over 1.5 (63.5%)	56%
35%	GF+GA over 2.5 (24.0%)	13%
24%	GF+GA over 3.5 (12.0%)	0%
12%	GF+GA over 4.5 (6.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
47%	Both teams scored (36.0%)	25%
59%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (54.5%)	50%
47%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.0%)	25%
12%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.0%)	0%
56%	Over 7.5 total corners (56.0%)	56%
43%	Over 8.5 total corners (38.0%)	33%
43%	Over 9.5 total corners (38.0%)	33%
43%	Over 10.5 total corners (27.0%)	11%
36%	Over 11.5 total corners (18.0%)	0%
28%	Over 12.5 total corners (14.0%)	0%
14%	Over 13.5 total corners (7.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (2)	Consecutive wins	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
0 (0)	No win	6 (0)
1 (3)	No draw	1 (3)
13 (2)	No defeat	0 (1)
6(4)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	1 goal conceded or more	2(4)
0(0)	No goal scored	3(0)
2(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(1)
2(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



12/17 (71%)	Scored first, home/away	4/16 (25%)
20/35 (57%)	Scored first, overall	18/34 (53%)