2026/05/23 11:00

0:1

AI match insights

Match Preview: Kapaz vs Neftci (Data-Driven Analysis) Match Background: A clash between a struggling home side and a top-tier contender

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.84

PPG

1.75

Last 6 PPG

2.5

0.87

Home/away PPG

2.96

xG overall

2.81

2.97

Home/away xG overall

2.75

1.17

xG for per game

1.65

1.79

xG against per game

1.16

1.27

Home/away xG for per game

1.54

1.70

Home/away xG against per game

1.21

Last X

Home wins

(21%)

Draws

(25%)

Away wins

(54%)

2026/02/15

1:3

2025/11/01

5:1

2025/05/04

2:2

2025/03/05

1:0

2025/02/28

1:0

2025/02/05

0:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Sabah	33	24	6	3	75	25	50	78	2.00^-0.36	1.29	60.80^14.20	35.41^10.41
2	Qarabağ	33	21	6	6	71	27	44	69	2.17^0.08	1.32	63.04^7.96	32.20^5.20
3	Neftçi	33	16	11	6	57	32	25	59	2.50^0.71	1.34	53.36^3.64	37.26^5.26
4	Turan	33	17	8	8	44	27	17	59	1.17^-0.62	1.34	43.55^0.45	34.36^7.36
5	Zira	33	13	14	6	43	36	7	53	1.50^-0.11	1.36	45.74^-2.74	36.90^0.90
6	Araz	33	14	6	13	45	57	-12	48	1.17^-0.28	1.37	40.81^4.19	51.16^-5.84
7	Sumqayıt	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8	38	1.50^0.35	1.40	41.95^0.05	46.63^-3.37
8	İnter Bakı	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9	38	1.00^-0.15	1.40	36.80^-5.80	46.82^6.82
9	Mil Mugan FK	32	8	11	13	22	40	-18	35	1.67^0.58	1.41	31.87^-9.87	45.77^5.77
10	Qabala	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17	27	1.33^0.51	1.43	41.07^-9.07	47.61^-1.39
11	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36	27	1.00^0.18	1.43	37.38^-12.38	57.73^-3.27
12	Karvan FK	32	3	5	24	22	65	-43	14	1.00^0.56	1.47	28.76^-6.76	53.29^-11.71
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
15	Played	16
0.8	Avg goals for/against	1.81
1.67	Avg goals against/for	0.88
2.47	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.58)	2.69
53%	Scoring rate	63%
80%	Conceding rate	75%
20%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	38%
47%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
0%	Scored in both halves (15.5%)	31%
40%	Scored first	50%
13%	Leading/Losing at half-time (19.0%)	25%
47%	Losing/Leading at half-time (30.0%)	13%
4.53	Avg corners for/against	4.88
4.13	Avg corners against/for	3.75
8.66	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.64)	8.63
3.93	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.66)	3.38
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	88%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (84.0%)	88%
40%	GF+GA over 2.5 (48.0%)	56%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (29.0%)	38%
7%	GF+GA over 4.5 (3.5%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
33%	Both teams scored (41.5%)	50%
60%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (55.0%)	50%
27%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (26.0%)	25%
20%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.0%)	6%
47%	Over 7.5 total corners (55.0%)	63%
40%	Over 8.5 total corners (42.0%)	44%
33%	Over 9.5 total corners (38.5%)	44%
27%	Over 10.5 total corners (35.5%)	44%
27%	Over 11.5 total corners (32.5%)	38%
27%	Over 12.5 total corners (23.0%)	19%
20%	Over 13.5 total corners (16.5%)	13%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	2 (4)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (1)	No win	0 (0)
4 (8)	No draw	2 (5)
1 (0)	No defeat	9 (4)
0(0)	1 goal scored or more	10(11)
4(2)	1 goal conceded or more	0(0)
1(2)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	1(1)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(3)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(1)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



6/15 (40%)	Scored first, home/away	8/16 (50%)
9/32 (28%)	Scored first, overall	17/32 (53%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source26 matches78 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.15

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.85

Exp goals after