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  1. Italy Serie A
  2. Roma vs Fiorentina
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Roma
Roma
2026/05/04 18:45
4:0
FT
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

AI match insights

Match Preview: Roma vs Fiorentina (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: Roma chases European spots while Fiorentina struggles for consistency

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Match overview

34
Matches played
34
6
Table position
15
19
W
8
4
D
13
11
L
13
11
Home/away W
4
3
Home/away D
6
3
Home/away L
7
1.79
PPG
1.09
2.67
Last 6 PPG
1.17
2.12
Home/away PPG
1.06
2.68
xG overall
2.82
2.72
Home/away xG overall
2.75
1.51
xG for per game
1.38
1.17
xG against per game
1.44
1.75
Home/away xG for per game
1.09
0.97
Home/away xG against per game
1.66

Last X

23
Home wins
(56%)
7
Draws
(17%)
11
Away wins
(27%)
2025/10/05
ACF Fiorentina1:2AS Roma
2025/05/04
AS Roma1:0ACF Fiorentina
2024/10/27
ACF Fiorentina5:1AS Roma
2024/03/10
ACF Fiorentina2:2AS Roma
2023/12/10
AS Roma1:1ACF Fiorentina
2023/05/27
ACF Fiorentina2:1AS Roma

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Inter Milan38276589355487
2.00
-0.29
1.32
73.03
15.97
39.20
4.20
2Napoli37227857362173
1.33
-0.64
1.34
56.55
0.45
40.85
4.85
3Roma372241157312670
2.67
0.78
1.34
56.83
0.17
42.26
11.26
4AC Milan372010752331970
1.17
-0.72
1.34
54.80
-2.80
47.00
14.00
5Como371911761283368
1.67
-0.17
1.34
59.66
1.34
37.98
9.98
6Juventus371911759322768
1.83
-0.01
1.34
71.35
-12.35
40.54
8.54
7Atalanta381514951361559
1.00
-0.55
1.36
62.20
-11.20
50.46
14.46
8Bologna38168144946356
1.33
-0.14
1.36
52.55
-3.55
43.88
-2.12
9Lazio381412124140154
1.67
0.25
1.37
47.91
-6.91
54.28
14.28
10Udinese37148154547-250
1.67
0.32
1.37
47.55
-2.55
52.14
5.14
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
1.17
-0.12
1.37
45.72
0.28
61.71
11.71
12Parma381112152846-1845
1.50
0.32
1.38
43.28
-15.28
60.42
14.42
13Torino37128174261-1944
1.33
0.14
1.38
47.76
-5.76
56.26
-4.74
14Fiorentina38915144150-942
1.17
0.06
1.38
50.89
-9.89
56.70
6.70
15Genoa371011164150-941
1.33
0.22
1.38
46.54
-5.54
53.08
3.08
16Cagliari371010173852-1440
1.67
0.59
1.38
41.49
-3.49
54.89
2.89
17Lecce3798202750-2335
1.33
0.38
1.39
40.27
-13.27
54.43
4.43
18Cremonese37810193153-2234
1.17
0.25
1.39
39.50
-8.50
63.13
10.13
19Hellas Verona37312222559-3421
0.50
-0.07
1.41
45.52
-20.52
53.97
-5.03
20Pisa38212242671-4518
0.00
-0.47
1.42
40.69
-14.69
60.91
-10.09
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

AS Roma
(Avg)
ACF Fiorentina
17
Played
17
1.59
Avg goals for/against
1.06
0.59
Avg goals against/for
1.47
2.18
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.35)
2.53
82%
Scoring rate
82%
47%
Conceding rate
65%
53%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
18%
18%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
35%
28%
Scored in both halves
(23.0%)
18%
71%
Scored first
47%
35%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(29.5%)
24%
12%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(18.0%)
24%
5.71
Avg corners for/against
3.41
2.65
Avg corners against/for
5.18
8.36
Avg total corners (F+A)
(8.47)
8.59
3.71
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.15)
4.59
100%
GF+GA over 0.5
(94.0%)
88%
65%
GF+GA over 1.5
(70.5%)
76%
29%
GF+GA over 2.5
(44.0%)
59%
12%
GF+GA over 3.5
(18.0%)
24%
6%
GF+GA over 4.5
(6.0%)
6%
6%
GF+GA over 5.5
(3.0%)
0%
29%
Both teams scored
(44.0%)
59%
53%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(53.0%)
53%
18%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(21.0%)
24%
6%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(6.0%)
6%
59%
Over 7.5 total corners
(65.0%)
71%
47%
Over 8.5 total corners
(50.0%)
53%
28%
Over 9.5 total corners
(37.5%)
47%
24%
Over 10.5 total corners
(18.0%)
12%
12%
Over 11.5 total corners
(9.0%)
6%
6%
Over 12.5 total corners
(6.0%)
6%
0%
Over 13.5 total corners
(0.0%)
0%

Streaks

AS RomaHome
(Overall)
ACF Fiorentina
Away
(Overall)
0  (1)
Consecutive wins
0 (0)
1  (0)
Consecutive draws
1 (2)
0  (0)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
1  (0)
No win
1 (2)
0  (1)
No draw
0 (0)
10  (3)
No defeat
3 (7)
12(14)1 goal scored or more1(2)
0(0)1 goal conceded or more0(1)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
2(1)No goal conceded1(0)
0(0)Match total goals over 2.50(0)
1(1)Match total goals under 2.51(3)
2(4)2 goals scored or more1(0)
0(0)2 goals conceded or more0(0)

Opening goals

AS Roma
ACF Fiorentina
12/17
(71%)
Scored first, home/away
8/17
(47%)
22/34
(65%)
Scored first, overall
15/34
(44%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source41 matches127 goals
AS Roma
Overall
ACF Fiorentina
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.68
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
3.1
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.41
Exp goals after
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