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  1. Italy Serie A
  2. AC Milan vs Cagliari
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
AC Milan
AC Milan
2026/05/24 18:45
1:2
FT
Cagliari
Cagliari

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: AC Milan vs Cagliari (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A Mismatch in Quality at the San Siro
In the final matchday of the 2025/2026 Serie A season, AC Milan hosts Cagliari

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Match overview

37
Matches played
37
4
Table position
16
20
W
10
10
D
10
7
L
17
9
Home/away W
3
5
Home/away D
6
4
Home/away L
9
1.89
PPG
1.08
1.17
Last 6 PPG
1.67
1.78
Home/away PPG
0.83
2.75
xG overall
2.60
2.91
Home/away xG overall
2.70
1.48
xG for per game
1.12
1.27
xG against per game
1.48
1.75
Home/away xG for per game
1.09
1.16
Home/away xG against per game
1.61

Last X

24
Home wins
(75%)
7
Draws
(22%)
1
Away wins
(3%)
2026/01/02
Cagliari Calcio0:1AC Milan
2025/01/11
AC Milan1:1Cagliari Calcio
2024/11/09
Cagliari Calcio3:3AC Milan
2024/05/11
AC Milan5:1Cagliari Calcio
2024/01/02
AC Milan4:1Cagliari Calcio
2023/09/27
Cagliari Calcio1:3AC Milan

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Inter Milan38276589355487
2.00
-0.29
1.32
73.03
15.97
39.20
4.20
2Napoli37227857362173
1.33
-0.64
1.34
56.55
0.45
40.85
4.85
3Roma372241157312670
2.67
0.78
1.34
56.83
0.17
42.26
11.26
4AC Milan372010752331970
1.17
-0.72
1.34
54.80
-2.80
47.00
14.00
5Como371911761283368
1.67
-0.17
1.34
59.66
1.34
37.98
9.98
6Juventus371911759322768
1.83
-0.01
1.34
71.35
-12.35
40.54
8.54
7Atalanta381514951361559
1.00
-0.55
1.36
62.20
-11.20
50.46
14.46
8Bologna38168144946356
1.33
-0.14
1.36
52.55
-3.55
43.88
-2.12
9Lazio381412124140154
1.67
0.25
1.37
47.91
-6.91
54.28
14.28
10Udinese37148154547-250
1.67
0.32
1.37
47.55
-2.55
52.14
5.14
11Sassuolo38147174650-449
1.17
-0.12
1.37
45.72
0.28
61.71
11.71
12Parma381112152846-1845
1.50
0.32
1.38
43.28
-15.28
60.42
14.42
13Torino37128174261-1944
1.33
0.14
1.38
47.76
-5.76
56.26
-4.74
14Fiorentina38915144150-942
1.17
0.06
1.38
50.89
-9.89
56.70
6.70
15Genoa371011164150-941
1.33
0.22
1.38
46.54
-5.54
53.08
3.08
16Cagliari371010173852-1440
1.67
0.59
1.38
41.49
-3.49
54.89
2.89
17Lecce3798202750-2335
1.33
0.38
1.39
40.27
-13.27
54.43
4.43
18Cremonese37810193153-2234
1.17
0.25
1.39
39.50
-8.50
63.13
10.13
19Hellas Verona37312222559-3421
0.50
-0.07
1.41
45.52
-20.52
53.97
-5.03
20Pisa38212242671-4518
0.00
-0.47
1.42
40.69
-14.69
60.91
-10.09
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

AC Milan
(Avg)
Cagliari Calcio
18
Played
18
1.33
Avg goals for/against
0.89
1.06
Avg goals against/for
1.61
2.39
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.45)
2.5
83%
Scoring rate
89%
61%
Conceding rate
61%
39%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
11%
17%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
39%
22%
Scored in both halves
(19.5%)
17%
50%
Scored first
28%
28%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(22.5%)
17%
22%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(30.5%)
39%
4.94
Avg corners for/against
3.33
3.61
Avg corners against/for
5.28
8.55
Avg total corners (F+A)
(8.58)
8.61
4.28
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.28)
4.28
94%
GF+GA over 0.5
(91.5%)
89%
61%
GF+GA over 1.5
(72.0%)
83%
50%
GF+GA over 2.5
(55.5%)
61%
22%
GF+GA over 3.5
(19.5%)
17%
11%
GF+GA over 4.5
(5.5%)
0%
0%
GF+GA over 5.5
(0.0%)
0%
50%
Both teams scored
(55.5%)
61%
67%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(67.0%)
67%
33%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(27.5%)
22%
0%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(3.0%)
6%
61%
Over 7.5 total corners
(64.0%)
67%
44%
Over 8.5 total corners
(50.0%)
56%
44%
Over 9.5 total corners
(38.5%)
33%
28%
Over 10.5 total corners
(28.0%)
28%
17%
Over 11.5 total corners
(17.0%)
17%
11%
Over 12.5 total corners
(11.0%)
11%
6%
Over 13.5 total corners
(3.0%)
0%

Streaks

AC MilanHome
(Overall)
Cagliari Calcio
Away
(Overall)
0  (1)
Consecutive wins
0 (1)
0  (0)
Consecutive draws
1 (0)
1  (0)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
3  (0)
No win
6 (0)
1  (3)
No draw
0 (2)
0  (1)
No defeat
1 (1)
1(2)1 goal scored or more0(1)
1(3)1 goal conceded or more0(2)
0(0)No goal scored2(0)
0(0)No goal conceded1(0)
1(2)Match total goals over 2.50(1)
0(0)Match total goals under 2.51(0)
1(2)2 goals scored or more0(1)
1(0)2 goals conceded or more0(0)

Opening goals

AC Milan
Cagliari Calcio
9/18
(50%)
Scored first, home/away
5/18
(28%)
21/37
(57%)
Scored first, overall
12/37
(32%)
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