Match data

Value betting model

Keçiörengücü

2026/04/26 13:00

2:1

Manisa BBSK

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Match Preview: Keçiörengücü vs Manisa BBSK (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.5

PPG

1.44

2.17

Last 6 PPG

1.72

Home/away PPG

1.06

2.66

xG overall

2.84

2.72

Home/away xG overall

2.87

1.44

xG for per game

1.27

1.22

xG against per game

1.57

1.61

Home/away xG for per game

1.18

1.11

Home/away xG against per game

1.69

Last X

Home wins

(40%)

Draws

(50%)

Away wins

(10%)

2025/12/20

2:2

2025/04/05

1:2

2024/11/23

4:0

2024/01/21

1:1

2023/08/20

0:0

2023/04/29

0:3

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	BB Erzurumspor	37	23	11	3	81	26	55	80	2.33^0.17	1.34	54.62^26.38	37.69^11.69
2	Erokspor	37	21	10	6	80	34	46	73	1.67^-0.30	1.35	57.42^22.58	35.08^1.08
3	Amed	37	21	10	6	78	39	39	73	1.50^-0.47	1.35	65.14^12.86	43.61^4.61
4	Çorum Belediyespor	37	21	7	9	62	38	24	70	1.83^-0.06	1.35	61.60^0.40	34.72^-3.28
5	BB Bodrumspor	37	18	10	9	71	38	32	64	1.67^-0.06	1.36	52.45^18.55	45.28^7.28
6	Pendikspor	37	16	14	7	57	32	25	62	1.50^-0.18	1.36	57.44^-0.44	42.34^10.34
7	Keçiörengücü	37	15	12	10	69	42	30	57	2.17^0.63	1.37	55.78^13.22	44.81^2.81
8	Bandırmaspor	37	15	12	10	46	34	13	57	1.67^0.13	1.37	45.52^0.48	51.90^17.90
9	Manisa BBSK	38	16	7	15	57	56	1	55	2.00^0.55	1.38	46.92^10.08	59.21^3.21
10	Sivasspor	37	14	11	12	47	42	4	53	1.50^0.07	1.38	48.94^-1.94	43.72^1.72
11	İstanbulspor	38	13	13	12	57	55	2	52	2.17^0.80	1.38	51.02^5.98	51.44^-3.56
12	Van BB	38	13	10	15	52	47	5	49	1.00^-0.29	1.39	51.33^0.67	49.00^2.00
13	Sarıyer	37	14	7	16	43	44	0	49	1.83^0.51	1.38	52.76^-9.76	48.12^4.12
14	76 Iğdır Belediyespor	37	13	10	14	49	51	-2	49	0.67^-0.65	1.38	52.05^-3.05	45.62^-5.38
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61	57	4	48	1.00^-0.26	1.39	56.04^4.96	47.36^-9.64
16	Ümraniyespor	37	13	7	17	46	47	-4	46	1.33^0.09	1.39	45.78^0.22	56.04^9.04
17	Serik Belediyespor	38	11	6	21	44	75	-31	39	0.67^-0.36	1.40	44.44^-0.44	58.09^-16.91
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45	72	-27	34	0.33^-0.56	1.41	46.20^-1.20	58.62^-13.38
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33	102	-69	14	1.17^0.80	1.43	32.82^0.18	66.28^-35.72
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22	169	-147	6	0.50^0.34	1.44	27.27^-5.27	86.62^-82.38
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
18	Played	18
2.11	Avg goals for/against	1.11
0.78	Avg goals against/for	1.78
2.89	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.89)	2.89
78%	Scoring rate	72%
56%	Conceding rate	72%
44%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	28%
22%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	28%
50%	Scored in both halves (36.0%)	22%
61%	Scored first	44%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (36.0%)	22%
6%	Losing/Leading at half-time (14.0%)	22%
4.72	Avg corners for/against	3.56
3.56	Avg corners against/for	5.5
8.28	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.67)	9.06
4.11	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.45)	4.78
78%	GF+GA over 0.5 (83.5%)	89%
78%	GF+GA over 1.5 (78.0%)	78%
67%	GF+GA over 2.5 (58.5%)	50%
33%	GF+GA over 3.5 (33.0%)	33%
17%	GF+GA over 4.5 (17.0%)	17%
11%	GF+GA over 5.5 (8.5%)	6%
56%	Both teams scored (56.0%)	56%
72%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (69.5%)	67%
56%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (47.5%)	39%
17%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (14.0%)	11%
67%	Over 7.5 total corners (72.5%)	78%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (56.0%)	56%
28%	Over 9.5 total corners (33.5%)	39%
17%	Over 10.5 total corners (19.5%)	22%
11%	Over 11.5 total corners (8.5%)	6%
6%	Over 12.5 total corners (6.0%)	6%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (3.0%)	6%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (3)
1 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
1 (2)	No win	0 (0)
0 (1)	No draw	6 (13)
5 (0)	No defeat	1 (3)
1(1)	1 goal scored or more	3(6)
1(2)	1 goal conceded or more	1(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(1)
1(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(0)

Opening goals



11/18 (61%)	Scored first, home/away	8/18 (44%)
19/36 (53%)	Scored first, overall	18/36 (50%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source9 matches21 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after