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  1. Scotland Championship
  2. Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Ayr United
Ayr United
2026/04/07 18:45
0:3
FT
Dunfermline Athletic
Dunfermline Athletic

AI match insights

Football Match Preview: Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: Mid-Table Rivals Battle for Points
This Scottish Championship Week 28 fixture sees 5th-placed Ayr United host 4th-placed Dunfermline Athletic at Somerset Park

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Match overview

31
Matches played
30
6
Table position
4
7
W
12
15
D
7
9
L
11
3
Home/away W
5
7
Home/away D
3
5
Home/away L
6
1.16
PPG
1.43
0.67
Last 6 PPG
1.67
1.07
Home/away PPG
1.29
2.64
xG overall
2.67
2.60
Home/away xG overall
2.63
1.39
xG for per game
1.35
1.25
xG against per game
1.32
1.38
Home/away xG for per game
1.24
1.22
Home/away xG against per game
1.39

Last X

14
Home wins
(31%)
11
Draws
(25%)
20
Away wins
(44%)
2025/12/20
Dunfermline Athletic FC2:3Ayr United FC
2025/10/31
Ayr United FC0:1Dunfermline Athletic FC
2025/09/23
Dunfermline Athletic FC0:1Ayr United FC
2025/03/29
Ayr United FC3:0Dunfermline Athletic FC
2025/01/14
Dunfermline Athletic FC0:2Ayr United FC
2024/11/23
Ayr United FC1:0Dunfermline Athletic FC

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1St. Johnstone352111366254174
2.33
0.22
1.25
60.46
5.54
28.22
3.22
2Partick Thistle351714452351765
2.00
0.14
1.28
53.24
-1.24
43.14
8.14
3Arbroath351312104341251
1.17
-0.29
1.32
43.84
-0.84
43.15
2.15
4Dunfermline Athletic351481352411150
1.67
0.24
1.32
44.55
7.45
43.70
2.70
5Raith Rovers35119154040042
1.50
0.30
1.35
43.59
-3.59
41.04
1.04
6Queen's Park35913133447-1340
0.83
-0.31
1.36
32.33
1.67
54.73
7.73
7Ayr United35815123846-839
0.67
-0.44
1.36
44.81
-6.81
40.97
-5.03
8Greenock Morton35813143550-1537
1.17
0.11
1.36
39.94
-4.94
51.62
1.62
9Airdrieonians35811163448-1435
1.33
0.33
1.37
39.36
-5.36
50.25
2.25
10Ross County35810173354-2134
1.17
0.20
1.37
43.17
-10.17
48.47
-5.53
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

Ayr United FC
(Avg)
Dunfermline Athletic FC
15
Played
14
1.07
Avg goals for/against
1.5
1.2
Avg goals against/for
1.29
2.27
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.53)
2.79
67%
Scoring rate
64%
87%
Conceding rate
71%
13%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
36%
33%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
29%
13%
Scored in both halves
(24.5%)
36%
40%
Scored first
43%
33%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(34.5%)
36%
33%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(38.0%)
43%
5.47
Avg corners for/against
5.29
4.47
Avg corners against/for
5.71
9.94
Avg total corners (F+A)
(10.47)
11
4.47
Avg total cards (F+A)
(4.84)
5.21
87%
GF+GA over 0.5
(90.0%)
93%
67%
GF+GA over 1.5
(69.0%)
71%
33%
GF+GA over 2.5
(41.5%)
50%
13%
GF+GA over 3.5
(24.5%)
36%
13%
GF+GA over 4.5
(17.0%)
21%
13%
GF+GA over 5.5
(10.0%)
7%
67%
Both teams scored
(55.0%)
43%
73%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(79.5%)
86%
20%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(31.5%)
43%
7%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(10.5%)
14%
87%
Over 7.5 total corners
(86.5%)
86%
73%
Over 8.5 total corners
(76.0%)
79%
53%
Over 9.5 total corners
(54.5%)
56%
40%
Over 10.5 total corners
(41.5%)
43%
27%
Over 11.5 total corners
(31.5%)
36%
13%
Over 12.5 total corners
(24.5%)
36%
7%
Over 13.5 total corners
(17.5%)
28%

Streaks

Ayr United FCHome
(Overall)
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
0 (1)
1  (1)
Consecutive draws
1 (0)
0  (0)
Consecutive defeats
0 (0)
4  (8)
No win
3 (0)
0  (0)
No draw
0 (1)
1  (1)
No defeat
1 (6)
1(3)1 goal scored or more2(1)
0(2)1 goal conceded or more0(0)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
1(0)No goal conceded1(1)
0(2)Match total goals over 2.50(0)
1(0)Match total goals under 2.51(2)
0(0)2 goals scored or more2(1)
0(2)2 goals conceded or more0(0)

Opening goals

Ayr United FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
6/15
(40%)
Scored first, home/away
6/14
(43%)
15/31
(48%)
Scored first, overall
15/30
(50%)

Timeline analysis

0
min
Data source45 matches111 goals
Ayr United FC
Overall
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.09
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
2.47
Exp goals after
0%
Goals before
100%
Goals after
0
Avg goals before
1.38
Exp goals after
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