Match data

Value betting model

Ayr United

2026/05/01 18:45

0:1

St. Johnstone

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Match Preview: Ayr United vs St

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.11

PPG

2.11

0.67

Last 6 PPG

2.33

1.12

Home/away PPG

2.06

2.60

xG overall

2.61

2.53

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.36

xG for per game

1.78

1.24

xG against per game

0.83

1.34

Home/away xG for per game

1.66

1.19

Home/away xG against per game

0.91

Last X

Home wins

(14%)

Draws

(29%)

Away wins

(57%)

2026/02/28

3:1

2026/02/17

3:3

2025/12/12

2:4

2025/10/04

0:0

2023/07/25

1:2

2022/07/23

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	St. Johnstone	35	21	11	3	66	25	41	74	2.33^0.22	1.25	60.46^5.54	28.22^3.22
2	Partick Thistle	35	17	14	4	52	35	17	65	2.00^0.14	1.28	53.24^-1.24	43.14^8.14
3	Arbroath	35	13	12	10	43	41	2	51	1.17^-0.29	1.32	43.84^-0.84	43.15^2.15
4	Dunfermline Athletic	35	14	8	13	52	41	11	50	1.67^0.24	1.32	44.55^7.45	43.70^2.70
5	Raith Rovers	35	11	9	15	40	40	0	42	1.50^0.30	1.35	43.59^-3.59	41.04^1.04
6	Queen's Park	35	9	13	13	34	47	-13	40	0.83^-0.31	1.36	32.33^1.67	54.73^7.73
7	Ayr United	35	8	15	12	38	46	-8	39	0.67^-0.44	1.36	44.81^-6.81	40.97^-5.03
8	Greenock Morton	35	8	13	14	35	50	-15	37	1.17^0.11	1.36	39.94^-4.94	51.62^1.62
9	Airdrieonians	35	8	11	16	34	48	-14	35	1.33^0.33	1.37	39.36^-5.36	50.25^2.25
10	Ross County	35	8	10	17	33	54	-21	34	1.17^0.20	1.37	43.17^-10.17	48.47^-5.53
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
17	Played	17
1	Avg goals for/against	1.71
1.24	Avg goals against/for	0.82
2.24	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.38)	2.53
65%	Scoring rate	47%
82%	Conceding rate	82%
18%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	53%
35%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	18%
12%	Scored in both halves (18.0%)	24%
41%	Scored first	59%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (29.0%)	29%
35%	Losing/Leading at half-time (23.5%)	12%
5.41	Avg corners for/against	6.35
4.12	Avg corners against/for	3.88
9.53	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.88)	10.23
4.71	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.83)	4.94
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (85.0%)	82%
65%	GF+GA over 1.5 (68.0%)	71%
35%	GF+GA over 2.5 (41.0%)	47%
12%	GF+GA over 3.5 (20.5%)	29%
12%	GF+GA over 4.5 (12.0%)	12%
12%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.0%)	12%
59%	Both teams scored (53.0%)	47%
71%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (65.0%)	59%
18%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (29.5%)	41%
6%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.0%)	6%
82%	Over 7.5 total corners (79.0%)	76%
71%	Over 8.5 total corners (73.5%)	76%
53%	Over 9.5 total corners (56.0%)	59%
35%	Over 10.5 total corners (38.0%)	41%
24%	Over 11.5 total corners (26.0%)	28%
12%	Over 12.5 total corners (18.0%)	24%
6%	Over 13.5 total corners (15.0%)	24%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	2 (4)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (2)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (2)	No win	0 (0)
2 (4)	No draw	2 (4)
1 (0)	No defeat	9 (13)
1(3)	1 goal scored or more	2(5)
0(2)	1 goal conceded or more	0(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
1(0)	No goal conceded	1(3)
0(2)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	2(4)
0(2)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



7/17 (41%)	Scored first, home/away	10/17 (59%)
17/35 (49%)	Scored first, overall	19/35 (54%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source5 matches14 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.8

Exp goals after