Match data

Value betting model

Dundalk

2026/06/26 18:45

- : -

Waterford

AI match insights

Match Preview: Dundalk vs Waterford (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A lopsided encounter in the Irish top flight

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.67

PPG

0.67

2.17

Last 6 PPG

1.33

Home/away PPG

0.2

3.30

xG overall

3.33

3.16

Home/away xG overall

3.49

1.78

xG for per game

1.32

1.52

xG against per game

2.01

1.72

Home/away xG for per game

1.32

1.44

Home/away xG against per game

2.17

Last X

Home wins

(52%)

Draws

(18%)

Away wins

(30%)

2026/05/04

3:3

2026/03/13

5:0

2024/09/13

2:1

2024/06/28

0:2

2024/05/10

4:1

2024/03/15

0:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Shamrock Rovers	23	13	5	5	35	20	15	44	1.67^-0.24	1.27	36.08^-1.08	26.83^6.83
2	St Patrick's Athl.	21	11	5	5	35	17	18	38	1.67^-0.14	1.28	40.40^-5.40	24.88^7.88
3	Bohemians	23	10	7	6	36	27	9	37	1.50^-0.11	1.30	38.68^-2.68	25.96^-1.04
4	Dundalk	21	9	8	4	34	29	5	35	2.17^0.50	1.29	37.41^-3.41	31.87^2.87
5	Shelbourne	22	7	9	6	31	32	-1	30	1.50^0.14	1.33	33.44^-2.44	29.96^-2.04
6	Derry City	23	5	11	7	28	27	1	26	1.00^-0.13	1.35	35.88^-7.88	29.43^2.43
7	Galway United	20	6	6	8	28	31	-3	24	1.17^-0.03	1.35	27.13^0.87	35.04^4.04
8	Drogheda United	21	5	7	9	27	36	-9	22	0.50^-0.55	1.36	23.88^3.12	36.36^0.36
9	Sligo Rovers	21	5	4	12	15	33	-18	19	0.67^-0.23	1.38	23.69^-8.69	41.84^8.84
10	Waterford	21	2	8	11	25	42	-17	14	1.33^0.66	1.40	27.69^-2.69	42.12^0.12
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
10	Played	10
1.8	Avg goals for/against	1.1
1	Avg goals against/for	2.8
2.8	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.35)	3.9
100%	Scoring rate	100%
60%	Conceding rate	60%
40%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	40%
30%	Scored in both halves (30.0%)	30%
80%	Scored first	40%
40%	Leading/Losing at half-time (35.0%)	30%
20%	Losing/Leading at half-time (30.0%)	40%
5.2	Avg corners for/against	4.5
4.8	Avg corners against/for	5.8
10	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.15)	10.3
5.9	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.85)	3.8
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (85.0%)	90%
60%	GF+GA over 2.5 (60.0%)	60%
30%	GF+GA over 3.5 (40.0%)	50%
10%	GF+GA over 4.5 (30.0%)	50%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (15.0%)	30%
60%	Both teams scored (60.0%)	60%
60%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (80.0%)	100%
30%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (45.0%)	60%
10%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (15.0%)	20%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (75.0%)	70%
80%	Over 8.5 total corners (75.0%)	70%
70%	Over 9.5 total corners (60.0%)	50%
50%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.0%)	50%
30%	Over 11.5 total corners (35.0%)	40%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (25.0%)	30%
20%	Over 13.5 total corners (20.0%)	20%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (3)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (0)	No win	10 (1)
5 (3)	No draw	0 (2)
2 (5)	No defeat	1 (0)
10(8)	1 goal scored or more	3(0)
1(1)	1 goal conceded or more	10(1)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(1)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
1(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	3(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	3(1)

Opening goals



8/10 (80%)	Scored first, home/away	4/10 (40%)
14/21 (67%)	Scored first, overall	6/21 (29%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source20 matches56 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.75

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.05

Exp goals after