Match data

Value betting model

Galway United

2026/07/25 16:00

- : -

Waterford

AI match insights

Match Analysis: Galway United vs Waterford (Data-Driven Preview)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.17

PPG

0.88

1.17

Last 6 PPG

1.83

1.55

Home/away PPG

0.67

3.14

xG overall

3.42

3.17

Home/away xG overall

3.61

1.37

xG for per game

1.38

1.77

xG against per game

2.04

1.66

Home/away xG for per game

1.40

1.51

Home/away xG against per game

2.21

Last X

Home wins

(52%)

Draws

(31%)

Away wins

(17%)

2026/04/24

1:1

2026/03/16

4:3

2025/11/01

1:1

2025/07/25

2:4

2025/05/09

1:0

2025/03/14

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40	22	18	50	2.17^0.17	1.26	40.41^-0.41	29.33^7.33
2	St Patrick's Athl.	25	12	7	6	40	21	19	43	1.83^0.11	1.30	48.83^-8.83	29.63^8.63
3	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40	27	13	43	2.00^0.28	1.30	40.93^-0.93	29.88^2.88
4	Dundalk	25	9	9	7	39	37	2	36	1.17^-0.27	1.33	44.54^-5.54	38.45^1.45
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35	35	0	34	1.50^0.08	1.33	36.89^-1.89	32.47^-2.53
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	1	29	1.17^0.01	1.36	39.91^-7.91	31.75^0.75
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32	39	-7	27	1.17^0.00	1.36	31.53^0.47	40.60^1.60
8	Drogheda United	24	6	7	11	29	41	-12	25	0.83^-0.21	1.37	28.20^0.80	41.07^0.07
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33	47	-14	21	1.83^0.95	1.39	33.06^-0.06	48.93^1.93
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20	40	-20	20	0.17^-0.66	1.39	26.98^-6.98	49.17^9.17
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
11	Played	12
1.73	Avg goals for/against	1.5
1.82	Avg goals against/for	2.67
3.55	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.86)	4.17
82%	Scoring rate	100%
91%	Conceding rate	67%
9%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
18%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	33%
36%	Scored in both halves (39.0%)	42%
45%	Scored first	42%
36%	Leading/Losing at half-time (34.5%)	33%
36%	Losing/Leading at half-time (39.0%)	42%
4.27	Avg corners for/against	4.58
5.45	Avg corners against/for	5.75
9.72	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.03)	10.33
3.64	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.66)	3.67
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
73%	GF+GA over 1.5 (82.5%)	92%
73%	GF+GA over 2.5 (70.0%)	67%
55%	GF+GA over 3.5 (56.5%)	58%
27%	GF+GA over 4.5 (42.5%)	58%
18%	GF+GA over 5.5 (25.5%)	33%
73%	Both teams scored (70.0%)	67%
82%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (91.0%)	100%
27%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (42.5%)	58%
9%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (17.0%)	25%
64%	Over 7.5 total corners (69.5%)	75%
64%	Over 8.5 total corners (69.5%)	75%
45%	Over 9.5 total corners (47.5%)	50%
45%	Over 10.5 total corners (47.5%)	50%
36%	Over 11.5 total corners (39.0%)	42%
27%	Over 12.5 total corners (26.0%)	25%
18%	Over 13.5 total corners (17.5%)	17%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (1)	Consecutive wins	2 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	0 (1)
5 (5)	No draw	2 (0)
2 (1)	No defeat	3 (3)
2(1)	1 goal scored or more	5(3)
9(20)	1 goal conceded or more	12(4)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(4)	Match total goals over 2.5	5(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
2(1)	2 goals scored or more	3(0)
1(3)	2 goals conceded or more	5(0)

Opening goals



5/11 (45%)	Scored first, home/away	5/12 (42%)
9/23 (39%)	Scored first, overall	8/24 (33%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source23 matches55 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.35

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.39

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.04

Exp goals after