Match data

Value betting model

Waterford

2026/05/04 16:00

3:3

Dundalk

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Waterford vs Dundalk (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.38

PPG

1.5

0.83

Last 6 PPG

0.83

0.67

Home/away PPG

3.37

xG overall

3.40

3.21

Home/away xG overall

3.46

1.20

xG for per game

1.86

2.17

xG against per game

1.54

1.07

Home/away xG for per game

1.79

2.14

Home/away xG against per game

1.67

Last X

Home wins

(32%)

Draws

(13%)

Away wins

(55%)

2026/03/13

5:0

2024/09/13

2:1

2024/06/28

0:2

2024/05/10

4:1

2024/03/15

0:0

2022/09/16

3:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Shamrock Rovers	19	11	4	4	30	17	14	37	2.00^0.05	1.26	30.74^-0.74	23.99^6.99
2	St Patrick's Athl.	18	9	5	4	31	16	14	32	1.50^-0.28	1.28	34.35^-3.35	22.56^6.56
3	Bohemians	19	8	7	4	28	20	10	31	1.83^0.20	1.29	34.34^-6.34	22.17^2.17
4	Dundalk	18	6	8	4	29	27	3	26	0.83^-0.61	1.31	33.89^-4.89	28.80^1.80
5	Shelbourne	18	6	7	5	26	25	1	25	2.00^0.61	1.32	29.83^-3.83	25.18^0.18
6	Derry City	19	4	10	5	21	21	-1	22	0.83^-0.33	1.34	31.15^-10.15	24.98^3.98
7	Galway United	17	5	5	7	25	28	-3	20	1.00^-0.18	1.34	24.40^0.60	31.05^3.05
8	Drogheda United	18	5	5	8	22	29	-7	20	1.17^0.06	1.35	21.35^0.65	31.83^2.83
9	Sligo Rovers	18	5	4	9	14	24	-12	19	1.33^0.27	1.36	21.47^-7.47	35.91^11.91
10	Waterford	18	1	7	10	18	37	-19	10	0.83^0.27	1.41	24.53^-6.53	39.56^2.56
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
6	Played	7
0.5	Avg goals for/against	1.29
1	Avg goals against/for	2
1.5	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.40)	3.29
50%	Scoring rate	100%
83%	Conceding rate	71%
17%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
50%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	29%
0%	Scored in both halves (21.5%)	43%
17%	Scored first	43%
0%	Leading/Losing at half-time (21.5%)	43%
67%	Losing/Leading at half-time (62.0%)	57%
5	Avg corners for/against	7
8.67	Avg corners against/for	4.57
13.67	Avg total corners (F+A) (12.62)	11.57
4	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.36)	4.71
83%	GF+GA over 0.5 (91.5%)	100%
67%	GF+GA over 1.5 (83.5%)	100%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 (28.5%)	57%
0%	GF+GA over 3.5 (28.5%)	57%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (7.0%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (60.5%)	71%
67%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (83.5%)	100%
0%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (14.5%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (100.0%)	100%
100%	Over 8.5 total corners (93.0%)	86%
83%	Over 9.5 total corners (84.5%)	86%
67%	Over 10.5 total corners (76.5%)	86%
67%	Over 11.5 total corners (69.0%)	71%
67%	Over 12.5 total corners (40.5%)	14%
33%	Over 13.5 total corners (23.5%)	14%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
2 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	1 (2)
6 (13)	No win	1 (2)
0 (1)	No draw	2 (3)
2 (0)	No defeat	0 (0)
5(5)	1 goal scored or more	2(5)
7(15)	1 goal conceded or more	9(1)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
3(5)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
3(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



1/6 (17%)	Scored first, home/away	3/7 (43%)
3/13 (23%)	Scored first, overall	8/14 (57%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source19 matches50 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.95

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.63

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.68

Exp goals after