Match data

Value betting model

Fluminense

2026/05/16 22:00

2:1

São Paulo

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Match Preview: Fluminense vs São Paulo (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.8

PPG

1.6

Last 6 PPG

0.83

2.38

Home/away PPG

3.10

xG overall

2.63

3.13

Home/away xG overall

2.57

1.78

xG for per game

1.32

xG against per game

1.31

1.99

Home/away xG for per game

1.18

1.14

Home/away xG against per game

1.39

Last X

Home wins

(42%)

Draws

(23%)

Away wins

(35%)

2025/11/27

6:0

2025/07/27

3:1

2024/09/01

2:0

2024/05/13

2:1

2023/11/23

1:0

2023/07/01

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Palmeiras	18	12	5	1	30	13	17	41	2.00^-0.28	1.32	25.68^4.32	26.92^13.92
2	Flamengo	17	10	4	3	31	16	15	34	1.83^-0.17	1.40	27.80^3.20	22.73^6.73
3	Fluminense	19	9	5	5	29	24	5	32	1.00^-0.68	1.35	32.59^-3.59	26.01^2.01
4	Atlético PR	18	9	3	6	24	18	6	30	1.83^0.16	1.35	25.03^-1.03	20.60^2.60
5	Bragantino	19	9	3	7	26	20	6	30	2.17^0.59	1.36	31.75^-5.75	24.37^4.37
6	Bahia	18	8	5	5	27	23	4	29	1.33^-0.28	1.36	28.86^-1.86	27.19^4.19
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24	24	0	26	1.17^-0.27	1.32	19.69^4.31	32.86^8.86
8	São Paulo	18	7	4	7	23	20	3	25	0.83^-0.56	1.35	24.22^-1.22	23.39^3.39
9	Botafogo	18	7	4	7	33	32	1	25	1.33^-0.06	1.37	25.70^7.30	31.67^-0.33
10	Vitória	18	7	4	7	22	25	-3	25	1.67^0.28	1.37	22.36^-0.36	27.33^2.33
11	Corinthians	18	6	6	6	18	19	-1	24	2.00^0.67	1.39	22.39^-4.39	22.45^3.45
12	Atlético Mineiro	18	7	3	8	22	23	-1	24	1.67^0.34	1.36	25.84^-3.84	27.95^4.95
13	Cruzeiro	18	6	6	6	24	28	-4	24	1.83^0.50	1.38	27.90^-3.90	21.16^-6.84
14	Internacional	18	5	6	7	21	22	-1	21	1.33^0.16	1.38	30.61^-9.61	22.09^0.09
15	Grêmio	19	5	6	8	21	25	-4	21	0.83^-0.28	1.38	23.47^-2.47	28.81^3.81
16	Santos	19	5	6	8	27	31	-4	21	1.17^0.06	1.38	25.23^1.77	28.28^-2.72
17	Vasco da Gama	19	5	5	9	22	30	-8	20	0.67^-0.38	1.39	35.07^-13.07	25.45^-4.55
18	Mirassol	18	5	4	9	20	25	-5	19	1.67^0.61	1.35	27.50^-7.50	26.20^1.20
19	Remo	18	4	6	8	21	29	-8	18	1.67^0.67	1.39	23.39^-2.39	28.76^-0.24
20	Chapecoense	18	1	6	11	17	35	-18	9	0.17^-0.33	1.38	23.01^-6.01	33.85^-1.15
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.88	Avg goals for/against	1
1.13	Avg goals against/for	1.38
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.69)	2.38
100%	Scoring rate	88%
75%	Conceding rate	75%
25%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	13%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	25%
38%	Scored in both halves (25.5%)	13%
88%	Scored first	25%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (31.5%)	13%
13%	Losing/Leading at half-time (31.5%)	50%
5.75	Avg corners for/against	5.63
3.13	Avg corners against/for	4.5
8.88	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.51)	10.13
6.75	Avg total cards (F+A) (6.06)	5.38
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 (75.0%)	75%
75%	GF+GA over 2.5 (56.5%)	38%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (25.5%)	13%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (13.0%)	13%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
75%	Both teams scored (69.0%)	63%
63%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (69.0%)	75%
25%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (19.0%)	13%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (6.5%)	0%
75%	Over 7.5 total corners (75.0%)	75%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (62.5%)	75%
25%	Over 9.5 total corners (50.0%)	75%
13%	Over 10.5 total corners (31.5%)	50%
13%	Over 11.5 total corners (19.0%)	25%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.0%)	25%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (13.0%)	13%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
1 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	3 (1)
1 (2)	No win	5 (2)
0 (0)	No draw	3 (1)
2 (1)	No defeat	0 (0)
10(2)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
6(11)	1 goal conceded or more	8(5)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(1)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
1(3)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



7/8 (88%)	Scored first, home/away	2/8 (25%)
10/15 (67%)	Scored first, overall	7/15 (47%)