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  1. Brazil Serie A
  2. Bahia vs Grêmio
  3. Match data
Match data
Value betting model
Bahia
Bahia
2026/05/17 19:00
1:1
FT
Grêmio
Grêmio

AI match insights

Soccer Match Preview: Bahia vs Gremio (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A study in contrasts, Bahia enters this match sitting 6th in the table, enjoying a relatively strong campaign, while Gremio struggles in 17th, particularly away from home where they have yet to register a victory this season

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Match overview

14
Matches played
15
7
Table position
17
6
W
4
4
D
5
4
L
6
2
Home/away W
0
3
Home/away D
3
2
Home/away L
5
1.57
PPG
1.13
1.33
Last 6 PPG
0.83
1.29
Home/away PPG
0.38
3.12
xG overall
2.73
2.94
Home/away xG overall
2.42
1.49
xG for per game
1.29
1.63
xG against per game
1.44
1.60
Home/away xG for per game
0.96
1.34
Home/away xG against per game
1.46

Last X

8
Home wins
(31%)
7
Draws
(27%)
11
Away wins
(42%)
2025/10/19
EC Bahia4:0Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
2025/05/25
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense1:0EC Bahia
2024/08/17
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense0:2EC Bahia
2024/04/28
EC Bahia1:0Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
2023/11/04
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense1:0EC Bahia
2023/07/12
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense1:1EC Bahia

League table

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ
1Palmeiras18125130131741
2.00
-0.28
1.32
25.68
4.32
26.92
13.92
2Flamengo17104331161534
1.83
-0.17
1.40
27.80
3.20
22.73
6.73
3Fluminense199552924532
1.00
-0.68
1.35
32.59
-3.59
26.01
2.01
4Atlético PR189362418630
1.83
0.16
1.35
25.03
-1.03
20.60
2.60
5Bragantino199372620630
2.17
0.59
1.36
31.75
-5.75
24.37
4.37
6Bahia188552723429
1.33
-0.28
1.36
28.86
-1.86
27.19
4.19
7Coritiba187562424026
1.17
-0.27
1.32
19.69
4.31
32.86
8.86
8São Paulo187472320325
0.83
-0.56
1.35
24.22
-1.22
23.39
3.39
9Botafogo187473332125
1.33
-0.06
1.37
25.70
7.30
31.67
-0.33
10Vitória187472225-325
1.67
0.28
1.37
22.36
-0.36
27.33
2.33
11Corinthians186661819-124
2.00
0.67
1.39
22.39
-4.39
22.45
3.45
12Atlético Mineiro187382223-124
1.67
0.34
1.36
25.84
-3.84
27.95
4.95
13Cruzeiro186662428-424
1.83
0.50
1.38
27.90
-3.90
21.16
-6.84
14Internacional185672122-121
1.33
0.16
1.38
30.61
-9.61
22.09
0.09
15Grêmio195682125-421
0.83
-0.28
1.38
23.47
-2.47
28.81
3.81
16Santos195682731-421
1.17
0.06
1.38
25.23
1.77
28.28
-2.72
17Vasco da Gama195592230-820
0.67
-0.38
1.39
35.07
-13.07
25.45
-4.55
18Mirassol185492025-519
1.67
0.61
1.35
27.50
-7.50
26.20
1.20
19Remo184682129-818
1.67
0.67
1.39
23.39
-2.39
28.76
-0.24
20Chapecoense1816111735-189
0.17
-0.33
1.38
23.01
-6.01
33.85
-1.15
#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
PPGΔ6
oPPG
xGΔ
xGAΔ

Team stats

EC Bahia
(Avg)
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
7
Played
8
1.57
Avg goals for/against
0.5
1.14
Avg goals against/for
1.38
2.71
Avg total goals (GF+GA)
(2.29)
1.88
100%
Scoring rate
75%
71%
Conceding rate
50%
29%
Clean sheet/Failed to score
25%
0%
Failed to score/Clean sheet
50%
14%
Scored in both halves
(7.0%)
0%
43%
Scored first
0%
29%
Leading/Losing at half-time
(14.5%)
0%
43%
Losing/Leading at half-time
(40.5%)
38%
5.86
Avg corners for/against
3
4.43
Avg corners against/for
4.63
10.29
Avg total corners (F+A)
(8.96)
7.63
5
Avg total cards (F+A)
(5.31)
5.63
100%
GF+GA over 0.5
(87.5%)
75%
100%
GF+GA over 1.5
(87.5%)
75%
57%
GF+GA over 2.5
(47.5%)
38%
14%
GF+GA over 3.5
(7.0%)
0%
0%
GF+GA over 4.5
(0.0%)
0%
0%
GF+GA over 5.5
(0.0%)
0%
71%
Both teams scored
(60.5%)
50%
100%
GF+GA over 0.5 at HT
(75.0%)
50%
71%
GF+GA over 1.5 at HT
(48.0%)
25%
0%
GF+GA over 2.5 at HT
(6.5%)
13%
86%
Over 7.5 total corners
(74.5%)
63%
71%
Over 8.5 total corners
(67.0%)
63%
71%
Over 9.5 total corners
(54.5%)
38%
43%
Over 10.5 total corners
(21.5%)
0%
43%
Over 11.5 total corners
(21.5%)
0%
28%
Over 12.5 total corners
(14.0%)
0%
28%
Over 13.5 total corners
(14.0%)
0%

Streaks

EC BahiaHome
(Overall)
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
Away
(Overall)
0  (0)
Consecutive wins
0 (0)
0  (0)
Consecutive draws
1 (0)
1  (1)
Consecutive defeats
0 (1)
3  (4)
No win
8 (2)
1  (1)
No draw
0 (1)
0  (0)
No defeat
1 (0)
10(7)1 goal scored or more2(4)
0(0)1 goal conceded or more2(5)
0(0)No goal scored0(0)
1(1)No goal conceded0(0)
0(0)Match total goals over 2.51(3)
1(1)Match total goals under 2.50(0)
2(3)2 goals scored or more0(0)
0(0)2 goals conceded or more1(3)

Opening goals

EC Bahia
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
3/7
(43%)
Scored first, home/away
0/8
6/14
(43%)
Scored first, overall
4/15
(27%)
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