Match data

Value betting model

Mariehamn

2026/06/23 17:00

0:4

HJK

AI match insights

Match Preview: Mariehamn vs HJK (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash of extremes in the Veikkausliiga

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.36

PPG

1.58

0.33

Last 6 PPG

1.33

0.6

Home/away PPG

1.33

3.11

xG overall

2.88

3.26

Home/away xG overall

2.80

0.98

xG for per game

1.50

2.13

xG against per game

1.38

1.06

Home/away xG for per game

1.36

2.20

Home/away xG against per game

1.44

Last X

Home wins

(10%)

Draws

(13%)

Away wins

(77%)

2026/05/30

1:0

2026/01/16

0:1

2025/08/24

8:2

2025/05/24

0:4

2025/02/14

2:1

2024/06/30

1:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Inter Turku	13	7	5	1	20	11	9	26	2.00^0.00	1.27	20.29^-0.29	12.40^1.40
2	Oulu	12	8	1	3	18	9	9	25	2.17^0.09	1.26	15.66^2.34	16.11^7.11
3	KuPS	13	6	6	1	19	12	7	24	2.00^0.15	1.28	22.83^-3.83	14.03^2.03
4	HJK	12	5	4	3	21	13	8	19	1.33^-0.25	1.31	18.00^3.00	16.51^3.51
5	VPS	11	4	5	2	11	9	2	17	1.50^-0.05	1.31	15.59^-4.59	14.07^5.07
6	Gnistan	11	5	2	4	17	15	2	17	2.17^0.62	1.31	14.27^2.73	16.82^1.82
7	TPS	11	4	3	4	12	11	1	15	1.00^-0.36	1.33	14.26^-2.26	17.30^6.30
8	Ilves	12	4	3	5	19	21	-2	15	1.67^0.42	1.34	14.64^4.36	19.15^-1.85
9	Lahti	11	3	2	6	14	14	0	11	0.83^-0.17	1.36	15.63^-1.63	13.95^-0.05
10	SJK	11	2	3	6	12	18	-6	9	0.67^-0.15	1.38	17.72^-5.72	15.70^-2.30
11	Jaro	12	1	4	7	10	27	-17	7	0.50^-0.08	1.40	17.12^-7.12	17.30^-9.70
12	Mariehamn	11	0	4	7	6	19	-13	4	0.33^-0.03	1.42	10.74^-4.74	23.41^4.41
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
5	Played	6
0.8	Avg goals for/against	1.83
1.6	Avg goals against/for	1.17
2.4	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.70)	3
60%	Scoring rate	83%
100%	Conceding rate	83%
0%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	17%
40%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	17%
20%	Scored in both halves (26.5%)	33%
20%	Scored first	33%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (26.5%)	33%
40%	Losing/Leading at half-time (36.5%)	33%
4	Avg corners for/against	4.67
6.8	Avg corners against/for	6.67
10.8	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.07)	11.34
2.4	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.20)	4
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (81.5%)	83%
40%	GF+GA over 2.5 (45.0%)	50%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (18.5%)	17%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (8.5%)	17%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (8.5%)	17%
60%	Both teams scored (63.5%)	67%
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (91.5%)	83%
60%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (46.5%)	33%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (8.5%)	17%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (91.5%)	83%
100%	Over 8.5 total corners (91.5%)	83%
80%	Over 9.5 total corners (65.0%)	50%
40%	Over 10.5 total corners (45.0%)	50%
40%	Over 11.5 total corners (45.0%)	50%
20%	Over 12.5 total corners (26.5%)	33%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (16.5%)	33%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	1 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
1 (4)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
5 (11)	No win	0 (1)
1 (4)	No draw	3 (0)
0 (0)	No defeat	1 (3)
0(1)	1 goal scored or more	2(5)
5(11)	1 goal conceded or more	5(2)
1(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
1(2)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(2)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	1(2)
1(2)	2 goals conceded or more	2(2)

Opening goals



1/5 (20%)	Scored first, home/away	2/6 (33%)
2/11 (18%)	Scored first, overall	5/12 (42%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source32 matches86 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.47

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.69

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.22

Exp goals after