2026/07/04 15:00

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AI match insights

Match Analysis: VPS vs Mariehamn (Data-Driven Preview) Match Context: A mismatch between a stable home side and a struggling visitor

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.62

PPG

0.31

1.83

Last 6 PPG

Home/away PPG

0.17

2.80

xG overall

3.18

2.81

Home/away xG overall

2.97

1.46

xG for per game

0.98

1.34

xG against per game

2.20

1.46

Home/away xG for per game

0.90

1.35

Home/away xG against per game

2.07

Last X

Home wins

(32%)

Draws

(32%)

Away wins

(36%)

2026/05/02

0:1

2025/09/21

2:1

2025/08/01

1:1

2025/06/14

1:5

2024/06/12

0:0

2023/09/03

1:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27	15	12	30	2.33^0.33	1.26	28.00^-1.00	17.14^2.14
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23	12	11	30	1.67^-0.33	1.26	23.50^-0.50	14.02^2.02
3	Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	5	26	1.83^-0.03	1.27	18.14^1.86	18.83^3.83
4	HJK	14	6	4	4	25	17	8	22	1.67^0.10	1.30	22.26^2.74	21.30^4.30
5	VPS	13	5	6	2	17	11	6	21	1.83^0.21	1.29	18.93^-1.93	17.39^6.39
6	TPS	13	5	4	4	15	13	2	19	1.17^-0.29	1.31	18.05^-3.05	20.04^7.04
7	Gnistan	13	5	4	4	19	17	2	19	1.83^0.37	1.31	18.07^0.93	19.31^2.31
8	Ilves	14	4	4	6	24	27	-3	16	1.67^0.53	1.34	17.60^6.40	23.04^-3.96
9	Lahti	13	3	4	6	15	15	0	13	0.83^-0.17	1.35	17.45^-2.45	16.70^1.70
10	SJK	13	2	5	6	15	21	-6	11	0.83^-0.02	1.36	20.87^-5.87	17.88^-3.12
11	Jaro	14	1	5	8	13	31	-18	8	0.67^0.10	1.39	19.90^-6.90	21.28^-9.72
12	Mariehamn	13	0	4	9	6	25	-19	4	0.00^-0.31	1.41	12.72^-6.72	28.55^3.55
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
6	Played	6
2	Avg goals for/against	0.33
1	Avg goals against/for	1.83
3	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.58)	2.17
83%	Scoring rate	100%
83%	Conceding rate	33%
17%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
17%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	67%
17%	Scored in both halves (8.5%)	0%
50%	Scored first	17%
67%	Leading/Losing at half-time (33.5%)	0%
17%	Losing/Leading at half-time (33.5%)	50%
5.17	Avg corners for/against	3.67
5.33	Avg corners against/for	6.83
10.5	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.50)	10.5
4.33	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.92)	3.5
83%	GF+GA over 0.5 (91.5%)	100%
83%	GF+GA over 1.5 (75.0%)	67%
50%	GF+GA over 2.5 (50.0%)	50%
33%	GF+GA over 3.5 (16.5%)	0%
33%	GF+GA over 4.5 (16.5%)	0%
17%	GF+GA over 5.5 (8.5%)	0%
83%	Both teams scored (58.0%)	33%
83%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (66.5%)	50%
33%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (25.0%)	17%
33%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (16.5%)	0%
83%	Over 7.5 total corners (83.0%)	83%
83%	Over 8.5 total corners (75.0%)	67%
67%	Over 9.5 total corners (58.5%)	50%
50%	Over 10.5 total corners (50.0%)	50%
50%	Over 11.5 total corners (50.0%)	50%
17%	Over 12.5 total corners (17.0%)	17%
17%	Over 13.5 total corners (17.0%)	17%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	3 (6)
0 (1)	No win	6 (13)
1 (0)	No draw	3 (6)
6 (4)	No defeat	0 (0)
5(4)	1 goal scored or more	1(0)
5(8)	1 goal conceded or more	6(13)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(2)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
1(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(0)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
1(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(4)

Opening goals



3/6 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	1/6 (17%)
5/13 (38%)	Scored first, overall	2/13 (15%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source27 matches62 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.19

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.3

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.11

Exp goals after