Match data

Value betting model

TPS

2026/07/20 15:00

1:3

Ilves

AI match insights

Match Analysis: TPS vs Ilves (Data-Driven Insight)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.47

PPG

1.07

1.17

Last 6 PPG

1.17

2.38

Home/away PPG

0.38

3.04

xG overall

3.07

3.18

Home/away xG overall

3.38

1.47

xG for per game

1.41

1.57

xG against per game

1.66

1.44

Home/away xG for per game

1.50

1.74

Home/away xG against per game

1.88

Last X

Home wins

(0%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(100%)

2026/06/13

1:0

2026/05/27

1:0

2023/04/26

0:2

2020/09/27

4:0

2020/07/07

0:1

2018/08/25

2:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	KuPS	16	9	6	1	29	15	14	33	2.33^0.27	1.28	30.03^-1.03	18.23^3.23
2	Inter Turku	16	8	7	1	23	12	11	31	1.33^-0.61	1.29	25.84^-2.84	14.88^2.88
3	VPS	16	7	6	3	23	13	10	27	2.17^0.48	1.31	23.54^-0.54	20.79^7.79
4	Oulu	16	8	2	6	20	20	0	26	0.83^-0.80	1.32	20.54^-0.54	21.66^1.66
5	HJK	16	7	4	5	27	20	7	25	1.67^0.11	1.33	24.52^2.48	23.43^3.43
6	Gnistan	16	7	4	5	25	20	5	25	1.83^0.27	1.33	22.78^2.22	23.20^3.20
7	TPS	15	6	4	5	19	16	3	22	1.17^-0.30	1.33	22.01^-3.01	23.53^7.53
8	Lahti	15	5	4	6	18	15	3	19	1.33^0.06	1.35	20.55^-2.55	18.62^3.62
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	-4	16	1.17^0.10	1.37	21.08^3.92	24.97^-4.03
10	SJK	16	3	5	8	18	25	-7	14	0.83^-0.05	1.39	25.23^-7.23	23.82^-1.18
11	Jaro	16	2	6	8	15	32	-17	12	0.83^0.08	1.40	22.69^-7.69	27.09^-4.91
12	Mariehamn	15	0	4	11	8	33	-25	4	0.00^-0.27	1.44	14.37^-6.37	32.96^-0.04
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
1.75	Avg goals for/against	1.5
0.75	Avg goals against/for	2.63
2.5	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.31)	4.13
100%	Scoring rate	100%
50%	Conceding rate	88%
50%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	13%
38%	Scored in both halves (38.0%)	38%
75%	Scored first	50%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (31.5%)	25%
25%	Losing/Leading at half-time (37.5%)	50%
4.38	Avg corners for/against	4.63
6.63	Avg corners against/for	6.13
11.01	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.88)	10.76
5	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.06)	3.13
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 (87.5%)	100%
50%	GF+GA over 2.5 (69.0%)	88%
13%	GF+GA over 3.5 (38.0%)	63%
13%	GF+GA over 4.5 (25.5%)	38%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (6.5%)	13%
50%	Both teams scored (69.0%)	88%
63%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (81.5%)	100%
25%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.0%)	75%
25%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (31.5%)	38%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (87.5%)	75%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (69.0%)	63%
75%	Over 9.5 total corners (62.5%)	50%
75%	Over 10.5 total corners (62.5%)	50%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (44.0%)	50%
13%	Over 12.5 total corners (31.5%)	50%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (19.0%)	25%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	3 (1)
0 (0)	No win	8 (3)
5 (3)	No draw	3 (1)
2 (1)	No defeat	0 (0)
8(3)	1 goal scored or more	2(5)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	8(3)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
1(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
3(3)	Match total goals over 2.5	4(4)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
2(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	4(3)

Opening goals



6/8 (75%)	Scored first, home/away	4/8 (50%)
7/15 (47%)	Scored first, overall	9/15 (60%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source6 matches14 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.17

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.17

Exp goals after