Match data

Value betting model

Gnistan

2026/07/11 14:00

- : -

Mariehamn

AI match insights

Match Preview: Gnistan vs Mariehamn (Data-Driven Analysis) Match Background: A mismatch in form and quality

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.36

PPG

0.29

1.83

Last 6 PPG

1.86

Home/away PPG

0.14

2.90

xG overall

3.14

2.97

Home/away xG overall

2.93

1.36

xG for per game

0.97

1.54

xG against per game

2.17

1.49

Home/away xG for per game

0.90

1.48

Home/away xG against per game

2.03

Last X

Home wins

(55%)

Draws

(36%)

Away wins

(9%)

2026/06/13

0:3

2026/01/30

2:2

2025/08/09

2:5

2025/05/03

2:0

2025/02/08

4:0

2024/09/15

2:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27	15	12	30	2.33^0.33	1.28	28.00^-1.00	17.14^2.14
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23	12	11	30	1.67^-0.33	1.28	23.50^-0.50	14.02^2.02
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22	11	11	27	2.33^0.53	1.30	22.32^-0.32	19.53^8.53
4	Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	5	26	1.83^-0.03	1.30	18.14^1.86	18.83^3.83
5	HJK	14	6	4	4	25	17	8	22	1.67^0.10	1.32	22.26^2.74	21.30^4.30
6	Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19	18	1	19	1.83^0.47	1.34	18.98^0.02	21.50^3.50
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16	16	0	19	1.17^-0.19	1.34	20.40^-4.40	22.06^6.06
8	Lahti	14	4	4	6	16	15	1	16	1.33^0.19	1.36	19.64^-3.64	17.62^2.62
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	-4	16	1.17^0.10	1.37	21.08^3.92	24.97^-4.03
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	-5	14	1.33^0.40	1.38	24.14^-6.14	21.79^-1.21
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	-17	11	0.67^-0.06	1.40	21.83^-6.83	24.76^-7.24
12	Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	-23	4	0.00^-0.29	1.44	13.61^-7.61	30.38^1.38
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
1.86	Avg goals for/against	0.29
1.57	Avg goals against/for	2.14
3.43	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.93)	2.43
86%	Scoring rate	100%
56%	Conceding rate	28%
43%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
14%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	71%
43%	Scored in both halves (21.5%)	0%
86%	Scored first	14%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (14.5%)	0%
29%	Losing/Leading at half-time (43.0%)	57%
3.29	Avg corners for/against	3.43
5.86	Avg corners against/for	6.43
9.15	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.50)	9.86
3.14	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.07)	3
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
86%	GF+GA over 1.5 (78.5%)	71%
57%	GF+GA over 2.5 (57.0%)	57%
43%	GF+GA over 3.5 (28.5%)	14%
43%	GF+GA over 4.5 (21.5%)	0%
14%	GF+GA over 5.5 (7.0%)	0%
43%	Both teams scored (36.0%)	29%
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (71.5%)	57%
43%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.0%)	29%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (7.0%)	0%
71%	Over 7.5 total corners (71.0%)	71%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (56.0%)	56%
43%	Over 9.5 total corners (43.0%)	43%
28%	Over 10.5 total corners (35.5%)	43%
14%	Over 11.5 total corners (28.5%)	43%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (7.0%)	14%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (7.0%)	14%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
1 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	4 (7)
1 (3)	No win	7 (14)
0 (1)	No draw	4 (7)
5 (0)	No defeat	0 (0)
5(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(0)
1(3)	1 goal conceded or more	7(14)
0(1)	No goal scored	1(3)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(1)
2(4)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	2(5)

Opening goals



6/7 (86%)	Scored first, home/away	1/7 (14%)
9/14 (64%)	Scored first, overall	2/14 (14%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source6 matches20 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.5

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.33

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.83

Exp goals after