Match data

Value betting model

Lahti

2026/07/11 12:00

- : -

HJK

AI match insights

Match Preview: Lahti vs HJK (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Context: A clash between 8th-placed Lahti and 5th-placed HJK

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.14

PPG

1.57

1.33

Last 6 PPG

1.67

1.5

Home/away PPG

1.57

2.66

xG overall

3.11

2.61

Home/away xG overall

3.00

1.40

xG for per game

1.59

1.26

xG against per game

1.52

1.54

Home/away xG for per game

1.58

1.07

Home/away xG against per game

1.42

Last X

Home wins

(26%)

Draws

(30%)

Away wins

(44%)

2026/05/04

1:0

2026/01/24

2:0

2024/08/03

2:1

2024/04/11

4:0

2024/02/27

3:0

2023/07/08

0:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27	15	12	30	2.33^0.33	1.28	28.00^-1.00	17.14^2.14
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23	12	11	30	1.67^-0.33	1.28	23.50^-0.50	14.02^2.02
3	VPS	15	7	6	2	22	11	11	27	2.33^0.53	1.30	22.32^-0.32	19.53^8.53
4	Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	5	26	1.83^-0.03	1.30	18.14^1.86	18.83^3.83
5	HJK	14	6	4	4	25	17	8	22	1.67^0.10	1.32	22.26^2.74	21.30^4.30
6	Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19	18	1	19	1.83^0.47	1.34	18.98^0.02	21.50^3.50
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16	16	0	19	1.17^-0.19	1.34	20.40^-4.40	22.06^6.06
8	Lahti	14	4	4	6	16	15	1	16	1.33^0.19	1.36	19.64^-3.64	17.62^2.62
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25	29	-4	16	1.17^0.10	1.37	21.08^3.92	24.97^-4.03
10	SJK	15	3	5	7	18	23	-5	14	1.33^0.40	1.38	24.14^-6.14	21.79^-1.21
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15	32	-17	11	0.67^-0.06	1.40	21.83^-6.83	24.76^-7.24
12	Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	-23	4	0.00^-0.29	1.44	13.61^-7.61	30.38^1.38
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	7
1.5	Avg goals for/against	2.14
1	Avg goals against/for	1
2.5	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.82)	3.14
75%	Scoring rate	71%
63%	Conceding rate	86%
38%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	29%
25%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	14%
25%	Scored in both halves (34.0%)	43%
50%	Scored first	43%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (40.5%)	43%
0%	Losing/Leading at half-time (14.5%)	29%
5.38	Avg corners for/against	5
3.63	Avg corners against/for	6.29
9.01	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.15)	11.29
3.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.87)	3.86
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 (80.5%)	86%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 (47.5%)	57%
25%	GF+GA over 3.5 (27.0%)	29%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (19.5%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (7.0%)	14%
50%	Both teams scored (53.5%)	57%
63%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (74.5%)	86%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (39.5%)	29%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (13.5%)	14%
63%	Over 7.5 total corners (74.5%)	86%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (68.0%)	86%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (53.0%)	56%
38%	Over 10.5 total corners (47.0%)	56%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (40.5%)	43%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (26.5%)	28%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (14.0%)	28%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	2 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (0)	No win	0 (1)
1 (1)	No draw	4 (2)
2 (3)	No defeat	2 (0)
1(2)	1 goal scored or more	3(0)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(1)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(1)
2(1)	No goal conceded	1(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	3(4)
2(4)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



4/8 (50%)	Scored first, home/away	3/7 (43%)
7/14 (50%)	Scored first, overall	6/14 (43%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source29 matches71 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.97

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.45

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.48

Exp goals after