Match data

Value betting model

Jeju United

2026/07/12 10:30

- : -

Daejeon Citizen

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Match Preview: Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.19

PPG

1.06

1.17

Last 6 PPG

0.83

Home/away PPG

1.86

2.86

xG overall

2.88

2.99

Home/away xG overall

2.89

1.42

xG for per game

1.44

xG against per game

1.44

1.62

Home/away xG for per game

1.39

1.37

Home/away xG against per game

1.50

Last X

Home wins

(45%)

Draws

(23%)

Away wins

(32%)

2026/04/22

0:1

2025/10/18

3:1

2025/06/27

1:1

2025/03/15

1:3

2024/06/19

0:0

2024/05/29

0:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	FC Seoul	16	11	2	3	28	12	16	35	1.67^-0.52	1.27	24.34^3.66	20.60^8.60
2	Jeonbuk Motors	17	8	5	4	25	15	10	29	1.83^0.12	1.31	29.63^-4.63	23.22^8.22
3	Pohang Steelers	17	8	4	5	18	14	4	28	2.17^0.52	1.32	23.59^-5.59	21.68^7.68
4	Gangwon	16	7	6	3	21	11	10	27	2.33^0.64	1.32	27.57^-6.57	18.03^7.03
5	Ulsan	17	8	3	6	24	24	0	27	1.67^0.08	1.33	31.64^-7.64	26.31^2.31
6	Incheon United	16	6	3	7	21	18	3	21	1.17^-0.14	1.35	20.97^0.03	20.05^2.05
7	Anyang	16	4	8	4	21	19	2	20	1.00^-0.25	1.36	19.71^1.29	26.45^7.45
8	Jeju United	16	5	4	7	14	17	-3	19	1.17^-0.02	1.36	22.69^-8.69	23.09^6.09
9	Bucheon 1995	17	4	7	6	14	18	-4	19	1.00^-0.12	1.37	20.05^-6.05	29.15^11.15
10	Daejeon Citizen	16	4	5	7	19	18	1	17	0.83^-0.23	1.37	23.09^-4.09	23.11^5.11
11	Sangju Sangmu	17	2	10	5	17	23	-6	16	0.50^-0.44	1.38	25.47^-8.47	23.23^0.23
12	Gwangju	17	1	5	11	8	41	-33	8	0.33^-0.14	1.43	17.44^-9.44	31.29^-9.71
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	7
0.75	Avg goals for/against	2
1.25	Avg goals against/for	0.86
2	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.43)	2.86
63%	Scoring rate	71%
75%	Conceding rate	71%
25%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	29%
38%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	29%
13%	Scored in both halves (28.0%)	43%
38%	Scored first	57%
25%	Leading/Losing at half-time (34.0%)	43%
38%	Losing/Leading at half-time (26.0%)	14%
3.25	Avg corners for/against	3.29
6.38	Avg corners against/for	5.29
9.63	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.11)	8.58
4.13	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.78)	3.43
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 (94.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 1.5 (73.0%)	71%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 (40.5%)	43%
0%	GF+GA over 3.5 (21.5%)	43%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (14.5%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (46.5%)	43%
63%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (67.0%)	71%
0%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (21.5%)	43%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (7.0%)	14%
63%	Over 7.5 total corners (67.0%)	71%
50%	Over 8.5 total corners (53.0%)	56%
50%	Over 9.5 total corners (46.5%)	43%
38%	Over 10.5 total corners (33.0%)	28%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (26.0%)	14%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (19.5%)	14%
25%	Over 13.5 total corners (12.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
1 (0)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
1 (3)	No win	1 (5)
3 (0)	No draw	6 (0)
0 (1)	No defeat	0 (1)
2(5)	1 goal scored or more	0(2)
4(4)	1 goal conceded or more	1(4)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
2(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(2)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
1(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(4)

Opening goals



3/8 (38%)	Scored first, home/away	4/7 (57%)
7/16 (44%)	Scored first, overall	6/16 (38%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source20 matches58 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.65

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.9

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.25

Exp goals after