Match data

Value betting model

Gwangju

2026/05/02 10:00

0:5

Daejeon Citizen

AI match insights

Match Preview: Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen (Data-Driven Analysis)

Match Background: A clash of contrasting forms

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

0.6

PPG

1.2

0.17

Last 6 PPG

1.17

Home/away PPG

2.83

xG overall

2.95

3.19

Home/away xG overall

2.98

1.13

xG for per game

1.42

1.70

xG against per game

1.53

1.34

Home/away xG for per game

1.39

1.85

Home/away xG against per game

1.59

Last X

Home wins

(35%)

Draws

(36%)

Away wins

(29%)

2025/08/17

2:0

2025/06/22

2:2

2025/03/29

1:1

2024/11/02

0:0

2024/09/01

2:0

2024/06/22

2:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	FC Seoul	15	10	2	3	27	12	15	32	1.67^-0.46	1.27	23.38^3.62	19.54^7.54
2	Jeonbuk Motors	15	7	5	3	21	12	8	26	2.33^0.69	1.32	24.33^-3.33	18.44^6.44
3	Ulsan	14	8	2	4	22	18	4	26	1.67^-0.19	1.30	25.96^-3.96	21.85^3.85
4	Pohang Steelers	14	6	4	4	12	10	2	22	2.17^0.60	1.32	18.59^-6.59	18.12^8.12
5	Gangwon	14	5	6	3	17	10	7	21	1.83^0.33	1.33	24.01^-7.01	15.45^5.45
6	Incheon United	15	6	3	6	21	17	4	21	1.67^0.27	1.34	19.41^1.59	18.97^1.97
7	Anyang	15	4	8	3	19	16	2	20	1.50^0.29	1.36	17.20^1.80	22.43^6.43
8	Jeju United	15	5	3	7	13	16	-2	18	1.00^-0.29	1.35	19.00^-6.00	20.14^4.14
9	Daejeon Citizen	15	4	4	7	17	16	1	16	1.17^0.10	1.37	21.07^-4.07	21.47^5.47
10	Bucheon 1995	14	3	5	6	9	15	-6	14	0.67^-0.33	1.38	16.11^-7.11	23.17^8.17
11	Sangju Sangmu	15	2	8	5	15	21	-5	14	1.17^0.17	1.38	21.06^-6.06	18.92^-2.08
12	Gwangju	15	1	4	10	7	37	-30	7	0.17^-0.30	1.42	14.97^-7.97	26.60^-10.40
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
4	Played	5
1.25	Avg goals for/against	1.8
2	Avg goals against/for	0.8
3.25	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.92)	2.6
50%	Scoring rate	80%
75%	Conceding rate	80%
25%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	20%
50%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	20%
25%	Scored in both halves (32.5%)	40%
25%	Scored first	60%
0%	Leading/Losing at half-time (20.0%)	40%
25%	Losing/Leading at half-time (22.5%)	20%
2.5	Avg corners for/against	4.4
3	Avg corners against/for	5.8
5.5	Avg total corners (F+A) (7.85)	10.2
5.5	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.55)	3.6
75%	GF+GA over 0.5 (87.5%)	100%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 (55.0%)	60%
50%	GF+GA over 2.5 (45.0%)	40%
50%	GF+GA over 3.5 (45.0%)	40%
50%	GF+GA over 4.5 (35.0%)	20%
25%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.5%)	0%
50%	Both teams scored (55.0%)	60%
50%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (65.0%)	80%
50%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (45.0%)	40%
25%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (22.5%)	20%
25%	Over 7.5 total corners (62.5%)	100%
0%	Over 8.5 total corners (40.0%)	80%
0%	Over 9.5 total corners (30.0%)	60%
0%	Over 10.5 total corners (20.0%)	40%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (0.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (0)	Consecutive wins	2 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
2 (6)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
3 (8)	No win	0 (0)
2 (6)	No draw	4 (7)
0 (0)	No defeat	2 (1)
0(0)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
1(2)	1 goal conceded or more	1(3)
3(5)	No goal scored	1(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(1)
2(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	1(3)

Opening goals



1/4 (25%)	Scored first, home/away	3/5 (60%)
2/10 (20%)	Scored first, overall	4/10 (40%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source31 matches61 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.97

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.97

Exp goals after