Match data

Value betting model

Incheon United

2026/05/02 07:30

0:1

Gangwon

AI match insights

Match Preview: Incheon United vs Gangwon (Data-Driven Analysis) Match Background: A mid-table clash in the K-League

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.4

PPG

1.3

1.67

Last 6 PPG

1.83

1.2

Home/away PPG

1.4

2.75

xG overall

2.90

2.64

Home/away xG overall

2.90

1.41

xG for per game

1.70

1.34

xG against per game

1.20

1.27

Home/away xG for per game

1.42

1.37

Home/away xG against per game

1.48

Last X

Home wins

(31%)

Draws

(21%)

Away wins

(48%)

2024/10/06

1:3

2024/06/30

0:1

2024/04/21

4:1

2023/09/24

1:1

2023/07/02

1:0

2023/04/16

0:2

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	FC Seoul	15	10	2	3	27	12	15	32	1.67^-0.46	1.27	23.38^3.62	19.54^7.54
2	Jeonbuk Motors	15	7	5	3	21	12	8	26	2.33^0.69	1.32	24.33^-3.33	18.44^6.44
3	Ulsan	14	8	2	4	22	18	4	26	1.67^-0.19	1.30	25.96^-3.96	21.85^3.85
4	Pohang Steelers	14	6	4	4	12	10	2	22	2.17^0.60	1.32	18.59^-6.59	18.12^8.12
5	Gangwon	14	5	6	3	17	10	7	21	1.83^0.33	1.33	24.01^-7.01	15.45^5.45
6	Incheon United	15	6	3	6	21	17	4	21	1.67^0.27	1.34	19.41^1.59	18.97^1.97
7	Anyang	15	4	8	3	19	16	2	20	1.50^0.29	1.36	17.20^1.80	22.43^6.43
8	Jeju United	15	5	3	7	13	16	-2	18	1.00^-0.29	1.35	19.00^-6.00	20.14^4.14
9	Daejeon Citizen	15	4	4	7	17	16	1	16	1.17^0.10	1.37	21.07^-4.07	21.47^5.47
10	Bucheon 1995	14	3	5	6	9	15	-6	14	0.67^-0.33	1.38	16.11^-7.11	23.17^8.17
11	Sangju Sangmu	15	2	8	5	15	21	-5	14	1.17^0.17	1.38	21.06^-6.06	18.92^-2.08
12	Gwangju	15	1	4	10	7	37	-30	7	0.17^-0.30	1.42	14.97^-7.97	26.60^-10.40
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
5	Played	5
1.2	Avg goals for/against	1.2
1.6	Avg goals against/for	0.8
2.8	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.40)	2
100%	Scoring rate	40%
80%	Conceding rate	60%
20%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	60%
0%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	40%
0%	Scored in both halves (20.0%)	40%
60%	Scored first	40%
20%	Leading/Losing at half-time (30.0%)	40%
20%	Losing/Leading at half-time (20.0%)	20%
5	Avg corners for/against	3
3.4	Avg corners against/for	3.8
8.4	Avg total corners (F+A) (7.60)	6.8
4.8	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.70)	4.6
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (90.0%)	80%
80%	GF+GA over 1.5 (70.0%)	60%
80%	GF+GA over 2.5 (60.0%)	40%
20%	GF+GA over 3.5 (20.0%)	20%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
80%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	20%
60%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (60.0%)	60%
40%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (40.0%)	40%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
80%	Over 7.5 total corners (50.0%)	20%
60%	Over 8.5 total corners (40.0%)	20%
20%	Over 9.5 total corners (20.0%)	20%
0%	Over 10.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 11.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 12.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (10.0%)	20%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (2)	Consecutive wins	2 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (0)	No win	0 (1)
5 (2)	No draw	3 (2)
1 (3)	No defeat	2 (0)
1(1)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
1(1)	No goal conceded	4(2)
1(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	2(4)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(1)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



3/5 (60%)	Scored first, home/away	2/5 (40%)
7/10 (70%)	Scored first, overall	4/10 (40%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source29 matches80 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.14

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.76

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.62

Exp goals after