Match data

Value betting model

Orense SC

2026/07/26 20:45

- : -

CSD Independiente del Valle

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Match Preview: Orense SC vs CSD Independiente del Valle (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.24

PPG

2.48

0.67

Last 6 PPG

1.36

Home/away PPG

2.7

2.60

xG overall

2.95

2.52

Home/away xG overall

2.89

1.28

xG for per game

1.96

1.32

xG against per game

0.99

1.55

Home/away xG for per game

1.69

0.97

Home/away xG against per game

1.20

Last X

Home wins

(7%)

Draws

(26%)

Away wins

(67%)

2026/04/04

2:0

2025/11/23

0:0

2025/10/17

1:2

2025/08/17

2:1

2025/04/27

1:2

2024/12/01

0:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	CSD Independiente del Valle	21	17	1	3	52	20	32	52	3.00^0.52	1.31	41.11^10.89	20.77^0.77
2	CD Universidad Católica	21	10	5	6	33	19	14	35	1.50^-0.17	1.36	32.88^0.12	26.17^7.17
3	SD Aucas	21	10	5	6	23	21	2	35	1.67^0.00	1.36	32.05^-9.05	22.80^1.80
4	Barcelona	21	9	7	5	23	16	7	34	1.33^-0.29	1.36	30.69^-7.69	27.18^11.18
5	Macará	21	9	5	7	24	21	3	32	2.17^0.65	1.37	29.30^-5.30	24.45^3.45
6	LDU Quito	21	8	5	8	20	17	3	29	0.83^-0.55	1.38	31.88^-11.88	25.52^8.52
7	Leones del Norte	21	7	7	7	22	21	1	28	2.00^0.67	1.38	27.56^-5.56	32.57^11.57
8	Deportivo Cuenca	21	8	4	9	19	26	-7	28	0.67^-0.66	1.38	27.62^-8.62	34.36^8.36
9	Guayaquil City FC	21	7	6	8	19	23	-4	27	1.33^0.04	1.38	20.14^-1.14	35.77^12.77
10	Orense SC	21	7	5	9	25	29	-4	26	0.67^-0.57	1.39	26.89^-1.89	27.70^-1.30
11	Mushuc Runa SC	21	6	7	8	27	31	-4	25	1.33^0.14	1.39	29.16^-2.16	26.89^-4.11
12	CS Emelec	21	7	7	7	18	24	-6	25	1.50^0.17	1.38	24.82^-6.82	29.61^5.61
13	Libertad	21	6	6	9	19	26	-7	24	1.17^0.03	1.39	25.78^-6.78	37.63^11.63
14	Técnico Universitario	21	7	2	12	19	24	-5	23	1.00^-0.10	1.40	27.80^-8.80	27.66^3.66
15	Delfin SC	21	6	5	10	13	20	-7	23	1.17^0.07	1.40	24.52^-11.52	28.13^8.13
16	Manta FC	21	3	5	13	8	26	-18	14	0.83^0.16	1.43	22.95^-14.95	27.94^1.94
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
11	Played	10
1.27	Avg goals for/against	2.5
1.27	Avg goals against/for	1
2.55	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.02)	3.5
82%	Scoring rate	60%
82%	Conceding rate	90%
18%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	40%
18%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	10%
18%	Scored in both halves (34.0%)	50%
45%	Scored first	80%
18%	Leading/Losing at half-time (34.0%)	50%
27%	Losing/Leading at half-time (23.5%)	20%
6	Avg corners for/against	4.6
3.36	Avg corners against/for	3.8
9.36	Avg total corners (F+A) (8.88)	8.4
5.45	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.47)	5.5
91%	GF+GA over 0.5 (95.5%)	100%
91%	GF+GA over 1.5 (90.5%)	90%
55%	GF+GA over 2.5 (62.5%)	70%
9%	GF+GA over 3.5 (24.5%)	40%
9%	GF+GA over 4.5 (24.5%)	40%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (5.0%)	10%
73%	Both teams scored (61.5%)	50%
64%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (72.0%)	80%
36%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (48.0%)	60%
18%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (14.0%)	10%
82%	Over 7.5 total corners (71.0%)	60%
64%	Over 8.5 total corners (57.0%)	50%
45%	Over 9.5 total corners (42.5%)	40%
36%	Over 10.5 total corners (33.0%)	30%
9%	Over 11.5 total corners (19.5%)	30%
9%	Over 12.5 total corners (9.5%)	10%
0%	Over 13.5 total corners (5.0%)	10%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	8 (6)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	0 (0)
5 (3)	No draw	10 (17)
1 (1)	No defeat	8 (6)
1(2)	1 goal scored or more	8(12)
4(3)	1 goal conceded or more	0(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	1(1)
1(2)	Match total goals over 2.5	5(8)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(1)	2 goals scored or more	5(8)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



5/11 (45%)	Scored first, home/away	8/10 (80%)
10/21 (48%)	Scored first, overall	15/21 (71%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source15 matches38 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.53

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.73

Exp goals after