Match data

Value betting model

LDU Quito

2026/07/01 22:00

3:0

Orense SC

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Match Preview: LDU Quito vs Orense SC (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.6

PPG

1.47

0.83

Last 6 PPG

0.17

1.57

Home/away PPG

1.43

2.74

xG overall

2.65

2.77

Home/away xG overall

2.80

1.48

xG for per game

1.34

1.26

xG against per game

1.31

1.72

Home/away xG for per game

1.08

1.05

Home/away xG against per game

1.72

Last X

Home wins

(53%)

Draws

(7%)

Away wins

(40%)

2026/02/21

1:2

2025/12/06

2:1

2025/11/05

4:0

2025/06/29

2:1

2025/03/01

4:0

2024/10/06

2:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	CSD Independiente del Valle	20	16	1	3	49	20	29	49	2.50^0.05	1.31	39.34^9.66	20.20^0.20
2	SD Aucas	20	10	5	5	22	19	3	35	2.17^0.42	1.36	31.10^-9.10	21.13^2.13
3	Barcelona	20	9	7	4	22	14	8	34	1.83^0.13	1.36	29.64^-7.64	24.75^10.75
4	CD Universidad Católica	20	9	5	6	31	18	13	32	1.50^-0.10	1.37	30.51^0.49	25.12^7.12
5	Macará	20	8	5	7	21	21	0	29	1.67^0.22	1.38	27.60^-6.60	23.25^2.25
6	LDU Quito	20	8	4	8	19	16	3	28	0.83^-0.57	1.38	30.78^-11.78	23.99^7.99
7	Deportivo Cuenca	20	8	4	8	19	23	-4	28	0.83^-0.57	1.38	26.42^-7.42	32.66^9.66
8	Leones del Norte	20	7	6	7	21	20	1	27	1.83^0.48	1.38	24.55^-3.55	31.62^11.62
9	Guayaquil City FC	20	7	5	8	18	22	-4	26	1.33^0.03	1.39	19.19^-1.19	32.76^10.76
10	Mushuc Runa SC	20	6	6	8	26	30	-4	24	1.33^0.13	1.39	28.18^-2.18	25.43^-4.57
11	CS Emelec	20	7	6	7	17	23	-6	24	1.83^0.48	1.38	23.37^-6.37	28.57^5.57
12	Técnico Universitario	20	7	2	11	19	21	-2	23	1.50^0.35	1.40	27.23^-8.23	25.96^4.96
13	Orense SC	20	6	5	9	23	28	-5	23	0.17^-0.98	1.40	25.21^-2.21	26.74^-1.26
14	Delfin SC	20	6	5	9	13	19	-6	23	1.17^0.02	1.40	23.10^-10.10	26.29^7.29
15	Libertad	20	5	6	9	18	26	-8	21	1.17^0.12	1.40	23.88^-5.88	36.22^10.22
16	Manta FC	20	3	4	13	7	25	-18	13	0.67^0.02	1.43	21.43^-14.43	26.84^1.84
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
0.71	Avg goals for/against	1.43
0.86	Avg goals against/for	1.43
1.57	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.21)	2.86
56%	Scoring rate	86%
56%	Conceding rate	86%
43%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	14%
43%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	14%
0%	Scored in both halves (14.0%)	28%
29%	Scored first	71%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (43.0%)	57%
43%	Losing/Leading at half-time (36.0%)	29%
6.57	Avg corners for/against	2.43
2.86	Avg corners against/for	7
9.43	Avg total corners (F+A) (9.43)	9.43
5.14	Avg total cards (F+A) (5.71)	6.29
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	100%
57%	GF+GA over 1.5 (71.5%)	86%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 (35.5%)	57%
0%	GF+GA over 3.5 (14.5%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (7.0%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
29%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	71%
71%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (85.5%)	100%
0%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (14.5%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
86%	Over 7.5 total corners (71.0%)	56%
43%	Over 8.5 total corners (49.5%)	56%
43%	Over 9.5 total corners (43.0%)	43%
28%	Over 10.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%
14%	Over 11.5 total corners (21.0%)	28%
14%	Over 12.5 total corners (21.0%)	28%
14%	Over 13.5 total corners (14.0%)	14%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
2 (0)	Consecutive wins	3 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (1)	No win	0 (1)
2 (0)	No draw	6 (4)
3 (4)	No defeat	3 (0)
0(0)	1 goal scored or more	1(1)
1(2)	1 goal conceded or more	1(2)
2(4)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(1)
2(4)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	1(2)

Opening goals



2/7 (29%)	Scored first, home/away	5/7 (71%)
7/15 (47%)	Scored first, overall	9/15 (60%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source15 matches42 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.73

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.8

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.07

Exp goals after