Match data

Value betting model

Harju Jalgpallikool

2026/06/13 09:30

2:3

Kuressaare

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Match Preview: Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.36

PPG

0.93

0.5

Last 6 PPG

1.33

1.43

Home/away PPG

0.57

3.47

xG overall

3.49

3.62

Home/away xG overall

3.61

1.43

xG for per game

1.42

2.04

xG against per game

2.07

1.47

Home/away xG for per game

1.42

2.15

Home/away xG against per game

2.19

Last X

Home wins

(33%)

Draws

(56%)

Away wins

(11%)

2026/04/11

3:2

2025/09/17

2:1

2025/08/09

1:3

2025/06/29

1:1

2025/03/16

1:2

2023/11/04

1:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	15	12	3	0	42	11	31	39	3.00^0.40	1.32	34.86^7.14	15.24^4.24
2	Tallinna FC Flora	15	10	0	5	32	16	16	30	2.50^0.50	1.39	30.93^1.07	18.82^2.82
3	Nõmme Kalju	15	9	2	4	27	11	16	29	1.67^-0.26	1.40	27.25^-0.25	18.56^7.56
4	Paide	15	6	4	5	23	20	3	22	0.83^-0.64	1.45	23.64^-0.64	23.33^3.33
5	Vaprus	16	6	2	8	20	31	-11	20	1.67^0.42	1.47	17.38^2.62	29.32^-1.68
6	Harju Jalgpallikool	15	6	1	8	20	26	-6	19	0.50^-0.77	1.47	22.33^-2.33	30.14^4.14
7	Tammeka	14	5	2	7	15	19	-4	17	1.67^0.46	1.48	21.86^-6.86	23.51^4.51
8	Kuressaare	16	5	2	9	17	26	-9	17	1.33^0.27	1.49	22.55^-5.55	33.14^7.14
9	Nõmme United	15	5	1	9	29	37	-8	16	1.00^-0.07	1.49	21.86^7.14	30.01^-6.99
10	Trans	16	3	1	12	11	39	-28	10	0.67^0.04	1.54	26.39^-15.39	26.98^-12.02
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
1.43	Avg goals for/against	0.71
1.29	Avg goals against/for	1.86
2.71	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (2.64)	2.57
86%	Scoring rate	100%
56%	Conceding rate	56%
43%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
14%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	43%
28%	Scored in both halves (21.0%)	14%
71%	Scored first	14%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (14.5%)	0%
14%	Losing/Leading at half-time (42.5%)	71%
3	Avg corners for/against	5.86
8.29	Avg corners against/for	5.71
11.29	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.43)	11.57
6.57	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.64)	2.71
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
86%	GF+GA over 1.5 (86.0%)	86%
57%	GF+GA over 2.5 (57.0%)	57%
29%	GF+GA over 3.5 (21.5%)	14%
0%	GF+GA over 4.5 (0.0%)	0%
0%	GF+GA over 5.5 (0.0%)	0%
43%	Both teams scored (50.0%)	57%
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (86.0%)	86%
43%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (36.0%)	29%
0%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (0.0%)	0%
71%	Over 7.5 total corners (85.5%)	100%
56%	Over 8.5 total corners (78.0%)	100%
56%	Over 9.5 total corners (63.5%)	71%
56%	Over 10.5 total corners (56.0%)	56%
43%	Over 11.5 total corners (43.0%)	43%
43%	Over 12.5 total corners (35.5%)	28%
28%	Over 13.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
0 (0)	No win	3 (1)
3 (6)	No draw	0 (0)
1 (1)	No defeat	1 (2)
5(2)	1 goal scored or more	2(0)
1(1)	1 goal conceded or more	8(0)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(1)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(1)
3(2)	Match total goals over 2.5	1(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(1)
2(2)	2 goals scored or more	1(0)
1(1)	2 goals conceded or more	1(0)

Opening goals



5/7 (71%)	Scored first, home/away	1/7 (14%)
8/14 (57%)	Scored first, overall	5/14 (36%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source9 matches24 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.44

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.67

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.22

Exp goals after