2026/07/03 16:00

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AI match insights

Match Preview: Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju (Data-Driven Analysis) Match Background: A classic local derby where the league hierarchy is clear

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.12

PPG

1.72

Last 6 PPG

1.13

Home/away PPG

3.43

xG overall

3.13

3.66

Home/away xG overall

2.94

1.45

xG for per game

1.74

1.98

xG against per game

1.39

1.63

Home/away xG for per game

1.62

2.03

Home/away xG against per game

1.32

Last X

Home wins

(0%)

Draws

(0%)

Away wins

(60%)

2026/04/22

7:1

2024/09/18

3:0

2024/07/19

0:4

2024/05/28

1:1

2024/03/17

0:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	18	13	4	1	46	15	31	43	2.17^-0.22	1.32	41.61^4.39	19.44^4.44
2	Tallinna FC Flora	17	11	0	6	35	19	19	33	2.00^0.06	1.37	37.23^-2.23	24.24^5.24
3	Nõmme Kalju	18	9	4	5	30	15	15	31	1.00^-0.72	1.40	31.27^-1.27	25.05^10.05
4	Paide	18	8	5	5	27	22	5	29	1.50^-0.11	1.41	28.59^-1.59	28.73^6.73
5	Tammeka	16	7	2	7	18	20	-2	23	2.17^0.73	1.43	25.77^-7.77	25.89^5.89
6	Vaprus	17	7	2	8	21	31	-10	23	1.67^0.32	1.44	18.52^2.48	31.46^0.46
7	Nõmme United	17	6	1	10	33	40	-7	19	1.00^-0.12	1.46	24.58^8.42	33.70^-6.30
8	Harju Jalgpallikool	17	6	1	10	21	30	-9	19	0.50^-0.62	1.46	25.28^-4.28	32.82^2.82
9	Kuressaare	17	5	2	10	17	27	-13	17	1.33^0.33	1.48	25.58^-8.58	35.59^8.59
10	Trans	17	3	1	13	11	40	-29	10	0.67^0.08	1.52	27.14^-16.14	28.65^-11.35
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	8
2.5	Avg goals for/against	1.38
2.13	Avg goals against/for	0.63
4.63	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.31)	2
88%	Scoring rate	38%
100%	Conceding rate	88%
0%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	63%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	13%
38%	Scored in both halves (38.0%)	38%
38%	Scored first	75%
38%	Leading/Losing at half-time (50.5%)	63%
38%	Losing/Leading at half-time (25.5%)	13%
5.5	Avg corners for/against	6.13
5.5	Avg corners against/for	4.25
11	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.69)	10.38
4.88	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.69)	4.5
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
100%	GF+GA over 1.5 (81.5%)	63%
100%	GF+GA over 2.5 (62.5%)	25%
63%	GF+GA over 3.5 (38.0%)	13%
50%	GF+GA over 4.5 (25.0%)	0%
25%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.5%)	0%
88%	Both teams scored (56.5%)	25%
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (87.5%)	75%
63%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (38.0%)	13%
38%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (19.0%)	0%
88%	Over 7.5 total corners (81.5%)	75%
75%	Over 8.5 total corners (69.0%)	63%
63%	Over 9.5 total corners (56.5%)	50%
63%	Over 10.5 total corners (56.5%)	50%
38%	Over 11.5 total corners (38.0%)	38%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (31.5%)	38%
25%	Over 13.5 total corners (25.0%)	25%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (1)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	1 (2)
3 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
3 (0)	No win	2 (5)
8 (13)	No draw	0 (0)
0 (1)	No defeat	1 (2)
1(3)	1 goal scored or more	4(7)
8(17)	1 goal conceded or more	2(5)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
8(13)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(1)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
3(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



3/8 (38%)	Scored first, home/away	6/8 (75%)
6/17 (35%)	Scored first, overall	12/18 (67%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source5 matches17 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.4

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.4

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after