Match data

Value betting model

Tallinna FC Flora

2026/07/17 16:00

- : -

Nõmme United

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Match Preview: Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

PPG

1.16

Last 6 PPG

1.5

1.88

Home/away PPG

1.11

3.43

xG overall

3.47

3.48

Home/away xG overall

3.20

2.08

xG for per game

1.50

1.35

xG against per game

1.97

2.02

Home/away xG for per game

1.28

1.46

Home/away xG against per game

1.92

Last X

Home wins

(86%)

Draws

(14%)

Away wins

(0%)

2026/05/29

0:4

2026/03/10

3:1

2026/03/07

3:0

2024/10/05

0:4

2024/08/18

1:0

2024/06/29

1:1

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	19	14	4	1	49	16	33	46	2.17^-0.25	1.34	43.79^5.21	19.99^3.99
2	Tallinna FC Flora	18	12	0	6	38	19	19	36	2.00^0.00	1.38	37.42^0.58	24.30^5.30
3	Nõmme Kalju	19	10	4	5	33	16	17	34	1.00^-0.79	1.41	33.59^-0.59	26.49^10.49
4	Paide	19	9	5	5	30	23	7	32	2.00^0.32	1.42	30.70^-0.70	29.83^6.83
5	Tammeka	18	8	2	8	21	26	-5	26	1.67^0.23	1.44	28.87^-7.87	28.74^2.74
6	Vaprus	19	8	2	9	27	35	-8	26	1.67^0.30	1.45	21.16^5.84	35.25^0.25
7	Harju Jalgpallikool	19	7	1	11	25	32	-7	22	1.00^-0.16	1.48	28.56^-3.56	35.47^3.47
8	Nõmme United	19	7	1	11	37	45	-8	22	1.50^0.34	1.48	28.47^8.53	37.48^-7.52
9	Kuressaare	19	5	2	12	19	33	-14	17	0.83^-0.06	1.51	27.10^-8.10	38.23^5.23
10	Trans	19	3	1	15	12	46	-34	10	0.17^-0.36	1.55	28.91^-16.91	32.80^-13.20
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
8	Played	9
2.5	Avg goals for/against	1.44
0.88	Avg goals against/for	2.56
3.38	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.69)	4
88%	Scoring rate	100%
50%	Conceding rate	89%
50%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	0%
13%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	11%
50%	Scored in both halves (36.0%)	22%
88%	Scored first	33%
50%	Leading/Losing at half-time (30.5%)	11%
13%	Losing/Leading at half-time (34.5%)	56%
6	Avg corners for/against	4.44
5.25	Avg corners against/for	5.89
11.25	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.79)	10.33
3.63	Avg total cards (F+A) (3.26)	2.89
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
88%	GF+GA over 1.5 (94.0%)	100%
75%	GF+GA over 2.5 (82.0%)	89%
38%	GF+GA over 3.5 (47.0%)	56%
25%	GF+GA over 4.5 (23.5%)	22%
13%	GF+GA over 5.5 (12.0%)	11%
38%	Both teams scored (63.5%)	89%
88%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (88.5%)	89%
63%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (59.5%)	56%
13%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (12.0%)	11%
88%	Over 7.5 total corners (94.0%)	100%
88%	Over 8.5 total corners (88.5%)	89%
75%	Over 9.5 total corners (65.5%)	56%
75%	Over 10.5 total corners (59.5%)	44%
63%	Over 11.5 total corners (53.5%)	44%
25%	Over 12.5 total corners (12.5%)	0%
13%	Over 13.5 total corners (6.5%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
0 (2)	Consecutive wins	2 (1)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
2 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (0)
2 (0)	No win	0 (0)
8 (18)	No draw	7 (15)
0 (2)	No defeat	2 (1)
6(11)	1 goal scored or more	8(5)
2(0)	1 goal conceded or more	9(19)
0(0)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(1)	No goal conceded	0(0)
4(7)	Match total goals over 2.5	7(15)
0(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
0(2)	2 goals scored or more	2(1)
2(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(2)

Opening goals



7/8 (88%)	Scored first, home/away	3/9 (33%)
11/18 (61%)	Scored first, overall	6/19 (32%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source6 matches16 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.5

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

2.67

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.17

Exp goals after