Match data

Value betting model

Nõmme Kalju

2026/06/14 11:30

- : -

Paide

AI match insights

Match Preview: Nomme Kalju vs Paide (Data-Driven Analysis)

Unlock AI match insights with a Pro membership

AI match insights delivers AI-powered match previews, giving you smart insights to stay ahead of the game.

Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

PPG

1.5

Last 6 PPG

0.67

1.86

Home/away PPG

1.57

3.01

xG overall

3.09

3.18

Home/away xG overall

3.16

1.83

xG for per game

1.54

1.18

xG against per game

1.55

1.94

Home/away xG for per game

1.65

1.24

Home/away xG against per game

1.51

Last X

Home wins

(46%)

Draws

(22%)

Away wins

(32%)

2026/04/19

1:0

2025/11/08

1:1

2025/09/14

1:1

2025/05/28

0:2

2025/03/09

4:0

2025/03/05

1:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	14	11	3	0	39	10	31	36	3.00^0.43	1.35	34.67^4.33	15.12^5.12
2	Nõmme Kalju	14	9	1	4	26	10	16	28	1.50^-0.50	1.41	25.57^0.43	16.46^6.46
3	Tallinna FC Flora	13	9	0	4	29	12	15	27	3.00^0.92	1.40	28.59^0.41	17.80^5.80
4	Paide	14	6	3	5	22	19	3	21	0.67^-0.83	1.47	21.54^0.46	21.65^2.65
5	Vaprus	15	6	2	7	19	29	-10	20	1.67^0.34	1.49	16.61^2.39	27.34^-1.66
6	Harju Jalgpallikool	15	6	1	8	20	26	-6	19	0.50^-0.77	1.49	22.27^-2.27	29.77^3.77
7	Tammeka	14	5	2	7	15	19	-4	17	1.67^0.46	1.50	22.11^-7.11	23.58^4.58
8	Nõmme United	15	5	1	9	29	37	-8	16	1.00^-0.07	1.51	21.80^7.20	30.13^-6.87
9	Kuressaare	15	5	1	9	17	26	-9	16	1.17^0.10	1.51	21.16^-4.16	31.22^5.22
10	Trans	15	3	0	12	11	39	-28	9	0.50^-0.10	1.57	24.67^-13.67	25.91^-13.09
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
2.29	Avg goals for/against	2
0.86	Avg goals against/for	1.57
3.14	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.35)	3.57
86%	Scoring rate	86%
71%	Conceding rate	86%
29%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	14%
14%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	14%
28%	Scored in both halves (42.0%)	56%
43%	Scored first	57%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (29.0%)	29%
29%	Losing/Leading at half-time (14.5%)	0%
7.29	Avg corners for/against	3.86
4.43	Avg corners against/for	5.57
11.72	Avg total corners (F+A) (10.57)	9.43
4.71	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.57)	4.43
100%	GF+GA over 0.5 (100.0%)	100%
71%	GF+GA over 1.5 (71.0%)	71%
57%	GF+GA over 2.5 (64.0%)	71%
29%	GF+GA over 3.5 (50.0%)	71%
14%	GF+GA over 4.5 (28.5%)	43%
14%	GF+GA over 5.5 (7.0%)	0%
57%	Both teams scored (64.0%)	71%
57%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (57.0%)	57%
43%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (50.0%)	57%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (14.0%)	14%
100%	Over 7.5 total corners (85.5%)	71%
86%	Over 8.5 total corners (71.0%)	56%
71%	Over 9.5 total corners (63.5%)	56%
71%	Over 10.5 total corners (57.0%)	43%
28%	Over 11.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%
28%	Over 12.5 total corners (28.0%)	28%
28%	Over 13.5 total corners (14.0%)	0%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive draws	0 (1)
0 (1)	Consecutive defeats	1 (0)
0 (1)	No win	1 (3)
4 (8)	No draw	2 (0)
1 (0)	No defeat	0 (1)
1(3)	1 goal scored or more	0(1)
0(1)	1 goal conceded or more	4(7)
0(0)	No goal scored	1(0)
1(0)	No goal conceded	0(0)
0(1)	Match total goals over 2.5	0(0)
2(0)	Match total goals under 2.5	1(2)
0(0)	2 goals scored or more	0(0)
0(1)	2 goals conceded or more	0(0)

Opening goals



3/7 (43%)	Scored first, home/away	4/7 (57%)
9/14 (64%)	Scored first, overall	9/14 (64%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source53 matches159 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.72

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

1.28

Exp goals after