Match data

Value betting model

Vaprus

2026/06/16 16:00

- : -

Tallinna FC Flora

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Match Preview: Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Flora (Data-Driven Analysis)

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Match overview

Matches played

Table position

Home/away W

Home/away D

Home/away L

1.33

PPG

1.93

1.67

Last 6 PPG

2.5

1.43

Home/away PPG

1.71

2.91

xG overall

3.33

2.91

Home/away xG overall

3.34

1.10

xG for per game

2.05

1.81

xG against per game

1.28

1.30

Home/away xG for per game

2.15

1.61

Home/away xG against per game

1.19

Last X

Home wins

(7%)

Draws

(3%)

Away wins

(90%)

2026/04/12

2:0

2025/11/08

0:3

2025/09/13

3:0

2025/05/02

0:3

2025/03/08

0:1

2024/09/29

3:0

League table

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ
1	Tallinna FC Levadia	15	12	3	0	42	11	31	39	3.00^0.40	1.32	34.86^7.14	15.24^4.24
2	Nõmme Kalju	15	9	2	4	27	11	16	29	1.67^-0.26	1.39	27.25^-0.25	18.56^7.56
3	Tallinna FC Flora	14	9	0	5	30	15	15	27	2.50^0.57	1.39	28.71^1.29	17.98^2.98
4	Paide	15	6	4	5	23	20	3	22	0.83^-0.64	1.45	23.64^-0.64	23.33^3.33
5	Vaprus	15	6	2	7	19	29	-10	20	1.67^0.34	1.46	16.55^2.45	27.09^-1.91
6	Harju Jalgpallikool	15	6	1	8	20	26	-6	19	0.50^-0.77	1.47	22.33^-2.33	30.14^4.14
7	Tammeka	14	5	2	7	15	19	-4	17	1.67^0.46	1.47	21.86^-6.86	23.51^4.51
8	Nõmme United	15	5	1	9	29	37	-8	16	1.00^-0.07	1.49	21.86^7.14	30.01^-6.99
9	Kuressaare	15	5	1	9	17	26	-9	16	1.17^0.10	1.49	21.54^-4.54	31.28^5.28
10	Trans	15	3	0	12	11	39	-28	9	0.50^-0.10	1.54	24.54^-13.54	25.97^-13.03
#	Team	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG^Δ6	oPPG	xG^Δ	xGA^Δ

Team stats


	(Avg)
7	Played	7
1.57	Avg goals for/against	1.57
2	Avg goals against/for	1.43
3.57	Avg total goals (GF+GA) (3.29)	3
71%	Scoring rate	56%
71%	Conceding rate	71%
29%	Clean sheet/Failed to score	43%
29%	Failed to score/Clean sheet	29%
43%	Scored in both halves (35.5%)	28%
43%	Scored first	43%
29%	Leading/Losing at half-time (29.0%)	29%
14%	Losing/Leading at half-time (21.5%)	29%
3.57	Avg corners for/against	9.29
7	Avg corners against/for	3
10.57	Avg total corners (F+A) (11.43)	12.29
3.71	Avg total cards (F+A) (4.42)	5.14
86%	GF+GA over 0.5 (93.0%)	100%
86%	GF+GA over 1.5 (86.0%)	86%
57%	GF+GA over 2.5 (64.0%)	71%
57%	GF+GA over 3.5 (50.0%)	43%
43%	GF+GA over 4.5 (21.5%)	0%
14%	GF+GA over 5.5 (7.0%)	0%
57%	Both teams scored (43.0%)	29%
57%	GF+GA over 0.5 at HT (57.0%)	57%
29%	GF+GA over 1.5 at HT (29.0%)	29%
14%	GF+GA over 2.5 at HT (7.0%)	0%
71%	Over 7.5 total corners (78.5%)	86%
71%	Over 8.5 total corners (78.5%)	86%
56%	Over 9.5 total corners (71.0%)	86%
56%	Over 10.5 total corners (71.0%)	86%
43%	Over 11.5 total corners (57.0%)	71%
43%	Over 12.5 total corners (35.5%)	28%
14%	Over 13.5 total corners (21.0%)	28%

Streaks


Home (Overall)		Away (Overall)
1 (0)	Consecutive wins	4 (0)
0 (1)	Consecutive draws	0 (0)
0 (0)	Consecutive defeats	0 (1)
0 (1)	No win	0 (1)
4 (0)	No draw	7 (14)
1 (2)	No defeat	4 (0)
4(0)	1 goal scored or more	4(7)
2(0)	1 goal conceded or more	0(1)
0(1)	No goal scored	0(0)
0(1)	No goal conceded	3(0)
2(0)	Match total goals over 2.5	2(3)
0(1)	Match total goals under 2.5	0(0)
1(0)	2 goals scored or more	2(0)
0(0)	2 goals conceded or more	0(1)

Opening goals



3/7 (43%)	Scored first, home/away	3/7 (43%)
6/15 (40%)	Scored first, overall	9/14 (64%)

Timeline analysis

min

Data source28 matches114 goals

Overall

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

0.36

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

4.07

Exp goals after

Goals before

100%

Goals after

Avg goals before

3.71

Exp goals after